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Uflex revenue growth decelerated from 13.1% in FY2014 to 10.3% in FY2015

28-05-2015 • About Uflex ($UFLEX) • By InTwits

Uflex reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 11.9% in FY2015, 12.3% in FY2014, 14.0% in FY2013, 15.3% in FY2012, 34.2% in FY2011
  • Uflex has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 11.6%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 5.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 2,238 in FY2015, 1,935 in FY2014, 5,851 in FY2013, 10,097 in FY2012, 5,450 in FY2011
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is at 8.4%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 2.8x while industry average is 1.6x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Uflex ($UFLEX) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue34,02243,87149,56456,03361,80310.3%
EBITDA11,6456,6936,9416,8837,3506.8%
Net Income6,9802,5501,9042,0162,54826.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash2,3441,5481,4951,8861,855-1.6%
Short Term Debt4,5867,8919,48210,87312,03510.7%
Long Term Debt9,52711,46213,01213,28810,065-24.3%
Cash flow
Capex5,45010,0975,8511,9352,23815.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth-55.5%28.9%13.0%13.1%10.3%
EBITDA growth164.4%-42.5%3.7%-0.8%6.8%
EBITDA Margin34.2%15.3%14.0%12.3%11.9%-0.4%
Net Income Margin20.5%5.8%3.8%3.6%4.1%0.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue16.0%23.0%11.8%3.5%3.6%0.2%
ROIC33.1%12.5%9.9%8.1%8.4%0.3%
ROE47.9%12.3%8.0%7.6%8.7%1.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.0x2.7x3.0x3.2x2.8x-0.5x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 10.3% in FY2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 4.2 pp from 28.9% to 33.1% in FY2015.

Net Income marign increased slightly on 0.52 pp from 3.6% to 4.1% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2015 Uflex had CAPEX/Revenue of 3.6%. CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 19.4 pp from 23.0% in FY2012 to 3.6% in FY2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 6.3%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (8.43%) and ROE (8.74%). ROIC showed almost no change in FY2015. ROE increased slightly on 1.2 pp from 7.6% to 8.7% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 2.8x and Debt / EBITDA is 3.0x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.5x from 3.2x to 2.8x in FY2015. Debt decreased on 8.5% in FY2015 while cash decreased slightly on 1.6% in FY2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Containers & Packaging


Below we provide Uflex benchmarking against other companies in Containers & Packaging industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Neo Corp International ($NEOCORP)-63.2%36.7%45.2%56.4%
Gopala Polyplast ($GOPALA)-42.9%-1.7%17.0%29.6%
Shree Rama Multi-Tech ($SHREERAMA)-25.0%18.2%23.3%2.4%
Shri Jagdamba Polymers ($SHRJAGP)-66.8%35.5%38.3%21.7%
Time Technoplast ($TIMETECHNO)-58.8%19.8%17.6%21.6%
 
Median (19 companies)-49.0%14.8%16.9%14.1%8.5%
Uflex ($UFLEX)28.9%13.0%13.1%10.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Manaksia ($MANAKSIA)16.5%14.4%17.4%20.3%18.6%
Essel Propack ($ESSELPRO)17.8%17.0%17.4%16.9%17.2%
Hindusthan National Glass & Industries ($HINDNATGLS)17.8%15.4%9.3%12.2%12.1%
Kanpur Plastipack ($KANPRPLA)9.3%13.0%13.2%11.9%
Shree Rama Multi-Tech ($SHREERAMA)16.4%3.3%11.3%8.6%
 
Median (11 companies)11.5%12.9%10.6%11.4%6.9%
Uflex ($UFLEX)34.2%15.3%14.0%12.3%11.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Essel Propack ($ESSELPRO)7.9%10.0%6.7%8.5%9.4%
Piramal Glass ($PIRAMGLAS)12.6%20.7%6.0%7.7%
Control Print ($CONTROLPR)3.0%5.0%7.5%
Hindusthan National Glass & Industries ($HINDNATGLS)21.7%75.5%25.0%6.7%0.4%
Time Technoplast ($TIMETECHNO)18.5%17.9%11.1%6.2%
 
Median (6 companies)9.0%8.6%6.4%7.1%6.5%
Uflex ($UFLEX)16.0%23.0%11.8%3.5%3.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Control Print ($CONTROLPR)19.7%22.2%
Manaksia ($MANAKSIA)12.7%12.9%15.5%16.0%11.4%
Neo Corp International ($NEOCORP)17.4%14.9%13.7%15.7%
Kg Petrochem ($KGPETRO)5.0%10.8%10.1%14.3%
Hitech Plast ($HITECHPLAS)18.1%13.8%12.6%14.0%
 
Median (32 companies)8.4%9.1%9.9%12.0%11.4%
Uflex ($UFLEX)33.1%12.5%9.9%8.1%8.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Union Quality Plastics ($UNQTYMI)14.9x12.9x0.0x
Hindusthan National Glass & Industries ($HINDNATGLS)2.1x7.4x15.8x11.2x10.6x
Piramal Glass ($PIRAMGLAS)3.0x3.1x4.1x4.3x
Kg Petrochem ($KGPETRO)6.2x3.3x3.6x3.4x
Neo Corp International ($NEOCORP)3.6x3.5x3.2x3.1x
 
Median (18 companies)3.2x3.2x3.5x0.9x0.0x
Uflex ($UFLEX)1.0x2.7x3.0x3.2x2.8x