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Oil And Natural Gas Corporation reports 30.8% Net Income decline and 8.0% Revenue decline

28-05-2015 • About Oil And Natural Gas Corporation ($ONGC) • By InTwits

Oil And Natural Gas Corporation reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Oil And Natural Gas Corporation has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 12.0%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 2.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 920 in FY2015, 1,890 in FY2014, 550 in FY2013, 1,300 in FY2012, 990 in FY2011
  • The company has business model with average profitability: ROIC is at 10.2%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Oil And Natural Gas Corporation ($ONGC) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue1,175,2511,463,4961,614,6601,732,4501,593,715-8.0%
EBITDA423,970496,047440,893491,931425,981-13.4%
Net Income224,559281,436242,196265,065183,335-30.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash205,597277,434195,446232,42959,160-74.5%
Short Term Debt27,271107,579118,429174,31963,690-63.5%
Long Term Debt39,77152,08688,427316,809475,75550.2%
Cash flow
Capex197,042191,431179,609149,385169,06013.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth15.5%24.5%10.3%7.3%-8.0%
EBITDA growth19.7%17.0%-11.1%11.6%-13.4%
EBITDA Margin36.1%33.9%27.3%28.4%26.7%-1.7%
Net Income Margin19.1%19.2%15.0%15.3%11.5%-3.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue16.8%13.1%11.1%8.6%10.6%2.0%
ROIC24.3%25.2%18.6%15.8%10.2%-5.5%
ROE20.7%22.4%16.8%16.3%10.4%-5.9%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.3x-0.2x0.0x0.5x1.1x0.6x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 8.0% in FY2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased slightly on 1.7 pp from 28.4% to 26.7% in FY2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 3.8 pp from 15.3% to 11.5% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 10.6% in FY2015. CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 2.5 pp from 13.1% in FY2012 to 10.6% in FY2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 10.1%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (10.23%) and ROE (10.40%). ROIC decreased on 5.5 pp from 15.8% to 10.2% in FY2015. ROE decreased on 5.9 pp from 16.3% to 10.4% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 1.1x and Debt / EBITDA is 1.3x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 0.6x from 0.5x to 1.1x in FY2015. Debt increased on 9.8% in FY2015 while cash dropped on 74.5% in FY2015.

Valuation


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 7.7x and P/E 15.3x while industy averages are 10.5x and 26.1x. Oil And Natural Gas Corporation's EV/(EBITDA-CAPEX) is 12.8x with the industry average at 4.7x.

Appendix 1: Peers in Exploration & Production


Below you can find Oil And Natural Gas Corporation benchmarking vs. other companies in Exploration & Production industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Aban Offshore ($ABAN)-5.5%16.1%7.2%2.7%
Cairn India ($CAIRN)15.5%48.3%7.1%-21.9%
Oil India ($OIL)-26.6%18.5%1.1%-2.8%
Shiv-Vani Oil & Gas Exploration Services ($SHIV-VANI)503.4%1.5%-16.5%-72.5%
 
Median (4 companies)238.4%8.5%8.6%2.1%-9.6%
Oil And Natural Gas Corporation ($ONGC)24.5%10.3%7.3%-8.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Cairn India ($CAIRN)82.0%78.6%74.6%73.3%73.1%
Aban Offshore ($ABAN)65.6%59.7%55.4%57.0%58.9%
Oil India ($OIL)43.9%42.7%43.7%37.6%
 
Median (3 companies)56.8%53.2%50.2%57.0%66.0%
Oil And Natural Gas Corporation ($ONGC)36.1%33.9%27.3%28.4%26.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Aban Offshore ($ABAN)16.8%20.9%25.4%36.1%22.7%
Oil India ($OIL)11.4%9.4%17.9%29.4%
Cairn India ($CAIRN)25.1%25.0%9.3%15.3%38.1%
 
Median (3 companies)14.1%22.9%17.9%29.4%30.4%
Oil And Natural Gas Corporation ($ONGC)16.8%13.1%11.1%8.6%10.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Cairn India ($CAIRN)17.6%16.6%22.7%21.3%10.0%
Selan Exploration Technology ($SELAN)19.6%23.2%21.9%18.6%
Oil India ($OIL)21.1%19.8%18.3%10.5%
Aban Offshore ($ABAN)10.7%8.6%9.2%9.4%9.1%
Shiv-Vani Oil & Gas Exploration Services ($SHIV-VANI)13.1%11.7%8.0%
 
Median (5 companies)17.6%16.6%18.3%14.5%9.6%
Oil And Natural Gas Corporation ($ONGC)24.3%25.2%18.6%15.8%10.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Aban Offshore ($ABAN)5.7x7.1x6.6x6.5x5.9x
Oil India ($OIL)0.2x-0.0x0.2x2.7x
Cairn India ($CAIRN)0.2x-0.3x-0.0x-0.0x-0.0x
Selan Exploration Technology ($SELAN)0.8x-1.7x-0.2x-2.2x
 
Median (4 companies)0.8x-0.0x0.2x1.3x2.9x
Oil And Natural Gas Corporation ($ONGC)-0.3x-0.2x0.0x0.5x1.1x