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Sunteck Realty reports 67.3% revenue decline in FY2015 and 14.0 pp EBITDA Margin growth from 30.3% to 44.2%

26-05-2015 • About Sunteck Realty ($SUNTECK) • By InTwits

Sunteck Realty reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Sunteck Realty is a company in decline: FY2015 revenue growth was -67.3%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -3.6%
  • Sunteck Realty has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.6%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 8.3%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 17.7 in FY2015, 10.4 in FY2014, 5.7 in FY2013, 16.9 in FY2012, 11.1 in FY2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 6.8%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 7.2x while industry average is 7.1x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Sunteck Realty ($SUNTECK) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue2021703029,2563,028-67.3%
EBITDA6856552,8011,339-52.2%
Net Income3231401,510682-54.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash2742383361221,092797.7%
Short Term Debt4,0154,9385,1175,95810,70579.7%
Long Term Debt81121-56.4%
Cash flow
Capex11176101870.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth-94.4%-16.0%77.7%2,963.6%-67.3%
EBITDA growth-48.1%-18.2%-1.6%5,010.2%-52.2%
EBITDA Margin33.7%32.8%18.1%30.3%44.2%14.0%
Net Income Margin15.7%18.3%13.3%16.3%22.5%6.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue5.5%9.9%1.9%0.1%0.6%0.5%
ROIC0.5%0.4%0.4%24.5%6.8%-17.7%
ROE0.6%0.5%0.7%26.8%6.5%-20.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA55.0x84.4x87.2x2.1x7.2x5.1x

Revenue and profitability


Sunteck Realty's Revenue dropped on 67.3% in FY2015. Revenue decline happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin surged on 14.0 pp from 30.3% to 44.2% in FY2015.

Net Income marign increased on 6.2 pp from 16.3% to 22.5% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.59% in FY2015. CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 9.3 pp from 9.9% in FY2012 to 0.59% in FY2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 0.86%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (6.81%) and ROE (6.47%). ROIC dropped on 17.7 pp from 24.5% to 6.8% in FY2015. ROE dropped on 20.3 pp from 26.8% to 6.5% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 7.2x and Debt / EBITDA is 8.0x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 5.1x from 2.1x to 7.2x in FY2015. Debt surged on 79.6% in FY2015 while cash surged on 798% in FY2015.

Valuation


Sunteck Realty's trades at EV/EBITDA 19.3x and P/E 23.8x while industy averages are 10.5x and 26.1x. Sunteck Realty's EV/(EBITDA-CAPEX) is 19.6x with the industry average at 4.7x.

Appendix 1: Peers in Realty


Below we provide Sunteck Realty benchmarking against other companies in Realty industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Nitesh Estates ($NITESHEST)-63.3%-6.3%-28.7%259.1%
The Phoenix Mills ($PHOENIXLTD)-89.4%87.7%19.1%208.3%
Poddar Developers ($PODDARDEV)-18.4%63.9%152.9%56.0%
Lancor Holdings ($LANCORHOL)-47.4%-23.9%74.0%10.5%
Arihant Superstructures ($ASL)-13.9%-36.5%9.1%42.0%
 
Median (33 companies)-18.9%0.6%3.4%-4.5%14.1%
Sunteck Realty ($SUNTECK)-16.0%77.7%2,963.6%-67.3%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Godrej Properties ($GODREJPROP)28.2%24.9%33.3%28.9%19.4%
 
Median (1 company)28.2%24.9%33.3%28.9%19.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Housing Development & Infrastructure ($HDIL)83.7%75.8%40.6%102.5%78.9%
Hubtown ($HUBTOWN)51.6%53.3%72.4%67.6%
Oberoi Realty ($OBEROIRLTY)58.7%59.3%58.9%54.5%56.4%
Pvp Ventures ($PVP)-644.3%73.2%51.1%
The Phoenix Mills ($PHOENIXLTD)71.8%54.7%56.2%46.9%
 
Median (33 companies)23.3%19.4%13.4%19.8%25.3%
Sunteck Realty ($SUNTECK)33.7%32.8%18.1%30.3%44.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
The Phoenix Mills ($PHOENIXLTD)138.3%168.3%108.0%107.1%
Prestige Estates Projects ($PRESTIGE)23.3%37.7%30.2%18.8%
Brigade Enterprises ($BRIGADE)42.6%45.7%10.7%17.0%18.5%
Parsvnath Developers ($PARSVNATH)19.9%15.9%11.6%10.6%
Unitech ($UNITECH)9.8%4.6%12.7%10.6%
 
Median (29 companies)5.3%4.7%2.6%3.7%2.6%
Sunteck Realty ($SUNTECK)5.5%9.9%1.9%0.1%0.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Lancor Holdings ($LANCORHOL)38.2%18.0%11.6%19.5%17.7%
Sobha Developers ($SOBHA)12.4%18.8%16.7%14.6%12.7%
Poddar Developers ($PODDARDEV)4.1%3.9%2.6%12.9%19.1%
Puravankara Projects ($PURVA)11.2%13.3%17.0%12.3%9.7%
The Phoenix Mills ($PHOENIXLTD)4.5%4.9%5.4%11.1%
 
Median (50 companies)9.4%5.9%5.1%5.6%8.5%
Sunteck Realty ($SUNTECK)0.5%0.4%0.4%24.5%6.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Unitech ($UNITECH)5.5x13.1x14.4x28.0x
Vascon Engineers ($VASCONEQ)2.8x8.4x11.2x25.9x
Peninsula Land ($PENINLAND)2.2x5.5x24.0x
Parsvnath Developers ($PARSVNATH)4.5x5.1x4.7x14.6x9.0x
D B Realty ($DBREALTY)1.1x13.2x135.4x14.0x54.8x
 
Median (39 companies)3.8x5.1x4.8x5.0x4.0x
Sunteck Realty ($SUNTECK)55.0x84.4x87.2x2.1x7.2x