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D B Realty Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 40.8x from 14.0x to 54.8x in 2015 while Revenue dropped on 17.2%

26-05-2015 • About D B Realty ($DBREALTY) • By InTwits

D B Realty reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • D B Realty is a company in decline: FY2015 revenue growth was -17.2%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -3.1%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 8.2% in FY2015, 14.1% in FY2014, 1.3% in FY2013, 3.5% in FY2012, 29.0% in FY2011
  • D B Realty has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 6.3%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 11.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 111 in FY2015, 228 in FY2014, 29.8 in FY2013, 894 in FY2012, 531 in FY2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 0.2%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 54.8x while industry average is 7.1x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

D B Realty ($DBREALTY) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue12,6845,9093,4083,1822,634-17.2%
EBITDA3,67320744448216-51.7%
Net Income2,987864331156-95.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash51431127731390-71.1%
Short Term Debt2,9241,5412,8603,5675,50054.2%
Long Term Debt1,7061,5153,3123,0096,454114.5%
Cash flow
Capex53189430228111-51.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth312.3%-53.4%-42.3%-6.6%-17.2%
EBITDA growth0.0%-94.4%-79.0%928.8%-51.7%
EBITDA Margin29.0%3.5%1.3%14.1%8.2%-5.9%
Net Income Margin23.5%14.6%1.0%3.6%0.2%-3.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.2%15.1%0.9%7.2%4.2%-3.0%
ROIC9.5%0.3%-0.2%0.9%0.2%-0.7%
ROE9.4%2.6%0.1%0.3%0.0%-0.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.1x13.2x135.4x14.0x54.8x40.8x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 17.2% in FY2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 5.9 pp from 14.1% to 8.2% in FY2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 3.4 pp from 3.6% to 0.22% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


D B Realty's CAPEX/Revenue was 4.2% in FY2015. D B Realty showed big decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 10.9 pp from 15.1% in FY2012 to 4.2% in FY2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 4.1%.Battling declining revenue the company invested a large share of EBITDA (51.1%) to CAPEX but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (0.19%) and ROE (0.02%). ROIC decreased slightly on 0.70 pp from 0.89% to 0.19% in FY2015. ROE showed almost no change in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 54.8x Net Debt / EBITDA and 55.2x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 40.8x from 14.0x to 54.8x in FY2015. Debt jumped on 81.8% in FY2015 while cash dropped on 71.1% in FY2015.

Valuation


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 133.3x and P/E 2,992.8x while industy averages are 10.5x and 26.1x. The company's EV/(EBITDA-CAPEX) is 272.8x with the industry average at 4.7x.

Appendix 1: Peers in Realty


Below we provide D B Realty benchmarking against other companies in Realty industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Sunteck Realty ($SUNTECK)-16.0%77.7%2,963.6%-67.3%
Nitesh Estates ($NITESHEST)-63.3%-6.3%-28.7%259.1%
The Phoenix Mills ($PHOENIXLTD)-89.4%87.7%19.1%208.3%
Poddar Developers ($PODDARDEV)-18.4%63.9%152.9%56.0%
Lancor Holdings ($LANCORHOL)-47.4%-23.9%74.0%10.5%
 
Median (33 companies)-18.9%0.6%5.6%-1.8%14.1%
D B Realty ($DBREALTY)-53.4%-42.3%-6.6%-17.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Godrej Properties ($GODREJPROP)28.2%24.9%33.3%28.9%19.4%
 
Median (1 company)28.2%24.9%33.3%28.9%19.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Housing Development & Infrastructure ($HDIL)83.7%75.8%40.6%102.5%78.9%
Hubtown ($HUBTOWN)51.6%53.3%72.4%67.6%
Oberoi Realty ($OBEROIRLTY)58.7%59.3%58.9%54.5%56.4%
Pvp Ventures ($PVP)-644.3%73.2%51.1%
The Phoenix Mills ($PHOENIXLTD)71.8%54.7%56.2%46.9%
 
Median (33 companies)23.3%20.1%18.1%20.1%28.7%
D B Realty ($DBREALTY)29.0%3.5%1.3%14.1%8.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
The Phoenix Mills ($PHOENIXLTD)138.3%168.3%108.0%107.1%
Prestige Estates Projects ($PRESTIGE)23.3%37.7%30.2%18.8%
Brigade Enterprises ($BRIGADE)42.6%45.7%10.7%17.0%18.5%
Parsvnath Developers ($PARSVNATH)19.9%15.9%11.6%10.6%
Unitech ($UNITECH)9.8%4.6%12.7%10.6%
 
Median (29 companies)5.5%4.7%2.6%3.5%2.4%
D B Realty ($DBREALTY)4.2%15.1%0.9%7.2%4.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Sunteck Realty ($SUNTECK)0.5%0.4%0.4%24.5%6.8%
Lancor Holdings ($LANCORHOL)38.2%18.0%11.6%19.5%17.7%
Sobha Developers ($SOBHA)12.4%18.8%16.7%14.6%12.7%
Poddar Developers ($PODDARDEV)4.1%3.9%2.6%12.9%19.1%
Puravankara Projects ($PURVA)11.2%13.3%17.0%12.3%9.7%
 
Median (50 companies)9.2%5.9%5.1%5.7%8.5%
D B Realty ($DBREALTY)9.5%0.3%-0.2%0.9%0.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Unitech ($UNITECH)5.5x13.1x14.4x28.0x
Vascon Engineers ($VASCONEQ)2.8x8.4x11.2x25.9x
Peninsula Land ($PENINLAND)2.2x5.5x24.0x
Parsvnath Developers ($PARSVNATH)4.5x5.1x4.7x14.6x9.0x
Ajmera Realty & Infra India ($AJMERA)2.8x4.5x10.7x13.8x
 
Median (39 companies)4.2x5.1x4.8x4.9x4.0x
D B Realty ($DBREALTY)1.1x13.2x135.4x14.0x54.8x