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Essar Oil Debt surged on 28.9% in 2015 while EBITDA decreased on 6.3%

25-05-2015 • About Essar Oil ($ESSAROIL) • By InTwits

Essar Oil reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is relatively stable: 5.7% in FY2015 vs. 5.1% in FY2014 vs. 5.3% in FY2011
  • Essar Oil has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.8%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 6.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 7,697 in FY2015, 13,680 in FY2014, 22,167 in FY2013, 27,920 in FY2012, 43,741 in FY2011
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 14.2%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 5.7x while industry average is 3.9x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Essar Oil ($ESSAROIL) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue470,609583,366885,781986,019829,825-15.8%
EBITDA25,13023,27536,93750,58047,373-6.3%
Net Income-2,517-12,855-11,8041,27015,2661,101.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash15,3615,0563,41012,7863,287-74.3%
Short Term Debt29,77555,081101,95767,570118,85875.9%
Long Term Debt116,183122,028145,387142,846152,4086.7%
Cash flow
Capex43,74127,92022,16713,6807,697-43.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth28.9%24.0%51.8%11.3%-15.8%
EBITDA growth124.8%-7.4%58.7%36.9%-6.3%
EBITDA Margin5.3%4.0%4.2%5.1%5.7%0.6%
Net Income Margin-0.5%-2.2%-1.3%0.1%1.8%1.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue9.3%4.8%2.5%1.4%0.9%-0.5%
ROIC10.1%7.8%9.9%14.6%14.2%-0.4%
ROE-5.8%-36.5%-39.6%5.2%38.7%33.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA5.2x7.4x6.6x3.9x5.7x1.7x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 15.8% in FY2015. Revenue decline happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 0.58 pp from 5.1% to 5.7% in FY2015.

Net Income marign increased slightly on 1.7 pp from 0.13% to 1.8% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Essar Oil's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.93% in FY2015. CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 3.9 pp from 4.8% in FY2012 to 0.93% in FY2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.6%.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROE (38.74%) while ROIC is a bit lower (14.20%). ROIC showed almost no change in FY2015. ROE surged on 33.6 pp from 5.2% to 38.7% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 5.7x Net Debt / EBITDA and 5.7x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 1.7x from 3.9x to 5.7x in FY2015. Debt jumped on 28.9% in FY2015 while cash dropped on 74.3% in FY2015.

Management team


Essar Oil's CEO Lalit Kumar Gupta has spent 6 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Integrated Oil & Gas


Below we provide Essar Oil benchmarking against other companies in Integrated Oil & Gas industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Deep Industries ($DEEPIND)22.5%8.0%39.1%11.5%
Reliance Industries ($RELIANCE)34.9%10.8%9.4%-13.6%
 
Median (2 companies)28.7%9.4%24.2%-1.0%
Essar Oil ($ESSAROIL)24.0%51.8%11.3%-15.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Deep Industries ($DEEPIND)52.6%47.6%55.5%57.8%54.5%
Reliance Industries ($RELIANCE)14.2%9.7%8.3%8.1%10.0%
 
Median (2 companies)33.4%28.7%31.9%32.9%32.2%
Essar Oil ($ESSAROIL)5.3%4.0%4.2%5.1%5.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Deep Industries ($DEEPIND)46.1%164.0%27.8%66.1%36.1%
Reliance Industries ($RELIANCE)12.7%4.6%7.7%13.8%16.9%
 
Median (2 companies)29.4%84.3%17.8%40.0%26.5%
Essar Oil ($ESSAROIL)9.3%4.8%2.5%1.4%0.9%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Deep Industries ($DEEPIND)11.6%9.6%9.5%13.1%12.3%
Reliance Industries ($RELIANCE)10.1%8.5%7.6%7.3%7.0%
 
Median (2 companies)10.8%9.1%8.5%10.2%9.7%
Essar Oil ($ESSAROIL)10.1%7.8%9.9%14.6%14.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Reliance Industries ($RELIANCE)1.8x1.7x2.1x2.9x3.9x
Deep Industries ($DEEPIND)1.5x3.5x2.4x2.1x2.1x
 
Median (2 companies)1.7x2.6x2.3x2.5x3.0x
Essar Oil ($ESSAROIL)5.2x7.4x6.6x3.9x5.7x