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Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India EBITDA dropped on 24.7% in 2015 and EBITDA Margin decreased on 3.6 pp from 19.7% to 16.1%

18-05-2015 • About Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India ($MHRIL) • By InTwits

Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India is a company in decline: FY2015 revenue growth was -8.0%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -3.1%
  • Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 21.2%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 12.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 261 in FY2015, 79.9 in FY2014, 252 in FY2013, 729 in FY2012, 643 in FY2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 6.3%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India ($MHRIL) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue5,0045,7817,3868,1647,509-8.0%
EBITDA1,2641,0051,6881,6051,209-24.7%
Net Income1,0031,023909870812-6.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash637150421451187-58.6%
Short Term Debt3123362964117.6%
Long Term Debt72665401,174577,376.9%
Cash flow
Capex1,0211,5011,9571,2561,3507.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth-43.2%15.5%27.8%10.5%-8.0%
EBITDA growth-18.1%-20.4%67.9%-4.9%-24.7%
EBITDA Margin25.3%17.4%22.9%19.7%16.1%-3.6%
Net Income Margin20.1%17.7%12.3%10.7%10.8%0.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue20.4%26.0%26.5%15.4%18.0%2.6%
ROIC20.1%13.4%22.2%16.3%6.3%-10.0%
ROE21.4%19.2%15.5%12.7%10.9%-1.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.4x-0.1x-0.2x-0.3x0.9x1.1x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 8.0% in FY2015. Revenue decline was worsened by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 3.6 pp from 19.7% to 16.1% in FY2015.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2015 Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India had CAPEX/Revenue of 18.0%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 8.0 pp from 26.0% in FY2012 to 18.0% in FY2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 20.0%.The company has spent a lot to CAPEX (112% of EBITDA) which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (6.29%) and ROE (10.93%). ROIC decreased on 10.0 pp from 16.3% to 6.3% in FY2015. ROE decreased slightly on 1.7 pp from 12.7% to 10.9% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 0.9x Net Debt / EBITDA and 1.0x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 1.1x from -0.3x to 0.9x in FY2015. Debt surged on 4,072% in FY2015 while cash dropped on 58.6% in FY2015.

Valuation


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 19.2x and P/E 27.3x while industy averages are 10.5x and 26.1x.

Management team


Kavinder Singh is a the company's CEO. Kavinder Singh has spent 4 years at the company. The company's CFO is S Krishnan. S Krishnan has 3 years tenure at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Hotels


Below we provide Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India benchmarking against other companies in Hotels industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
The Byke Hospitality ($THEBYKE)-83.8%47.6%105.7%54.3%
Sayaji Hotels ($SAYAJIHOTL)26.3%18.2%24.5%29.4%
Sterling Holiday Resorts (India) ($STERLINH)69.9%50.6%21.3%26.2%
Asian Hotels (East) ($AHLEAST)-62.1%3.4%76.9%18.9%
Hotel Leelaventure ($HOTELEELA)-39.6%23.2%12.7%11.4%
 
Median (15 companies)-27.9%14.9%8.6%5.5%26.2%
Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India ($MHRIL)15.5%27.8%10.5%-8.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Asian Hotels (North) ($ASIANHOTNR)36.6%10.8%22.9%26.9%
Kamat Hotels (India) ($KAMATHOTEL)31.9%29.7%22.1%26.7%
Tgb Banquets And Hotels ($TGBHOTELS)20.0%21.2%23.6%25.0%
Country Club (India) ($COUNCLB)31.8%34.2%32.3%24.2%
Royale Manor Hotels & Industries ($RAYALEMA)24.1%36.3%23.5%23.2%
 
Median (14 companies)25.3%21.9%22.6%21.0%21.3%
Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India ($MHRIL)25.3%17.4%22.9%19.7%16.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Country Club (India) ($COUNCLB)53.8%58.7%36.6%49.6%
Asian Hotels (North) ($ASIANHOTNR)60.3%30.8%60.2%37.2%
Sterling Holiday Resorts (India) ($STERLINH)12.2%48.8%50.4%18.7%
Oriental Hotels ($ORIENTHOT)31.7%24.3%17.7%13.1%7.5%
Sayaji Hotels ($SAYAJIHOTL)7.5%18.9%17.5%12.4%
 
Median (12 companies)27.3%30.8%17.6%8.8%6.1%
Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India ($MHRIL)20.4%26.0%26.5%15.4%18.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
The Byke Hospitality ($THEBYKE)6.0%5.3%14.5%22.6%
Sayaji Hotels ($SAYAJIHOTL)10.2%13.1%9.4%14.2%
Fomento Resorts & Hotels ($FOMEHOT)13.6%10.6%13.8%11.7%
Tgb Banquets And Hotels ($TGBHOTELS)7.4%7.1%8.9%8.9%
Eih ($EIHOTEL)4.5%5.5%4.5%5.8%
 
Median (29 companies)7.6%5.4%4.7%2.8%3.8%
Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India ($MHRIL)20.1%13.4%22.2%16.3%6.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Hotel Leelaventure ($HOTELEELA)23.9x62.5x40.2x33.5x
Asian Hotels (North) ($ASIANHOTNR)9.1x28.4x11.0x15.4x
Kamat Hotels (India) ($KAMATHOTEL)15.0x13.6x17.8x15.1x
Asian Hotels (East) ($AHLEAST)-0.1x-0.0x9.8x8.9x
Oriental Hotels ($ORIENTHOT)3.4x4.3x4.6x6.0x5.5x
 
Median (19 companies)2.2x2.0x2.3x1.0x0.0x
Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India ($MHRIL)-0.4x-0.1x-0.2x-0.3x0.9x