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Ginni Filaments EBITDA dropped on 27.7% in 2015 and Revenue decreased on 2.3%

04-05-2015 • About Ginni Filaments ($GINNIFIL) • By InTwits

Ginni Filaments reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Ginni Filaments is a company in decline: FY2015 revenue growth was -2.3%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -3.5%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 10.7% in FY2015, 14.5% in FY2014, 12.6% in FY2013, 2.7% in FY2012, 12.6% in FY2011
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 12.8%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Ginni Filaments ($GINNIFIL) key annual financial indicators

mln. INR201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue6,9307,1217,4478,6808,477-2.3%
EBITDA8741959371,260910-27.7%
Net Income183-43717536378-78.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash2339274219-54.8%
Short Term Debt1,8951,3901,9771,5022,02634.8%
Long Term Debt2,3782,2711,8331,6231,114-31.4%
Cash flow
Capex93148134
Ratios
Revenue growth-31.6%2.8%4.6%16.6%-2.3%
EBITDA growth35.1%-77.6%379.4%34.5%-27.7%
EBITDA Margin12.6%2.7%12.6%14.5%10.7%-3.8%
Net Income Margin2.6%-6.1%2.4%4.2%0.9%-3.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.3%2.0%1.6%1.6%
ROIC11.6%-1.0%15.2%21.6%12.8%-8.7%
ROE16.1%-43.2%19.3%31.6%5.2%-26.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA4.9x18.5x4.0x2.4x3.4x1.0x

Revenue and profitability


Ginni Filaments's Revenue decreased on 2.3% in FY2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 3.8 pp from 14.5% to 10.7% in FY2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 3.3 pp from 4.2% to 0.92% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2015 Ginni Filaments had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.6%. Ginni Filaments's CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly1.6 pp from in FY2012 to 1.6% in FY2015.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROIC (12.85%) while ROE is low (5.24%). ROIC decreased on 8.7 pp from 21.6% to 12.8% in FY2015. ROE dropped on 26.3 pp from 31.6% to 5.2% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 3.4x Net Debt / EBITDA and 3.4x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 1.0x from 2.4x to 3.4x in FY2015. Debt showed almost no change in FY2015 while cash dropped on 54.8% in FY2015.

Valuation


Ginni Filaments's trades at EV/EBITDA 4.8x and P/E 15.8x while industy averages are 10.5x and 26.1x.

Appendix 1: Peers in


Below we provide Ginni Filaments benchmarking against other companies in industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Bharat Rasayan ($BHARATRA)-82.3%51.3%32.1%92.7%
Indbulbbph ($INDBULBBPH)-54.2%-3.2%-6.5%33.5%
Uplbbph ($UPLBBPH)33.2%19.7%17.3%10.9%
Monetbbph ($MONETBBPH)-58.7%22.3%3.7%11.6%
Rilbbph ($RILBBPH)34.9%10.8%9.4%-13.6%
 
Median (17 companies)-37.0%17.7%10.8%3.5%-1.3%
Ginni Filaments ($GINNIFIL)2.8%4.6%16.6%-2.3%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Jenson & Nicholson Financial Services ($JNFSL)0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Bombay Drugs & Pharmas ($BOMDRDM)0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Southern Herbals ($SOUTHNHE)0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Tafnccpeq ($TAFNCCPEQ)0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
 
Median (4 companies)0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Madras Fertilizers ($MADRASFERT)48.3%64.5%31.7%61.2%
Kaleconbbph ($KALECONBBPH)27.7%44.3%43.5%
Indbulbbph ($INDBULBBPH)27.9%36.7%34.6%29.5%
Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys ($INDMETA-B)33.0%20.4%21.4%23.2%
Uplbbph ($UPLBBPH)18.8%18.2%18.3%18.8%20.0%
 
Median (15 companies)14.8%15.4%12.4%14.7%10.0%
Ginni Filaments ($GINNIFIL)12.6%2.7%12.6%14.5%10.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Monetbbph ($MONETBBPH)9.6%131.4%5.2%139.2%
Jklakbbph ($JKLAKBBPH)23.6%28.5%28.8%24.6%
Rilbbph ($RILBBPH)12.7%4.6%7.7%13.8%16.9%
Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys ($INDMETA-B)27.1%33.6%18.7%10.1%
Bharat Rasayan ($BHARATRA)3.0%32.9%41.5%7.1%
 
Median (14 companies)7.1%8.8%5.2%3.8%10.9%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Kaleconbbph ($KALECONBBPH)89.0%103.8%
Madras Fertilizers ($MADRASFERT)52.6%44.7%18.0%23.9%
Bharat Rasayan ($BHARATRA)10.0%22.1%13.7%21.9%
Uplbbph ($UPLBBPH)16.3%17.1%15.9%18.2%22.1%
Rane Brake Lining ($RANEBRAKE)15.3%14.1%7.9%11.1%
 
Median (28 companies)10.1%9.4%5.8%5.3%0.0%
Ginni Filaments ($GINNIFIL)11.6%-1.0%15.2%21.6%12.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Monetbbph ($MONETBBPH)5.3x9.8x16.3x27.4x
Asleyf ($ASLEYF)2.0x2.5x5.0x17.8x
Indbulbbph ($INDBULBBPH)8.5x4.3x4.8x5.5x
Jklakbbph ($JKLAKBBPH)3.0x2.1x2.3x5.3x
Madras Fertilizers ($MADRASFERT)5.5x3.5x6.5x5.0x
 
Median (16 companies)1.8x2.1x2.2x2.5x2.3x
Ginni Filaments ($GINNIFIL)4.9x18.5x4.0x2.4x3.4x