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Tata Motors is an attractive stock for a growth investor

05-06-2014 • About Tata Motors ($TATAMOTORS) • By InTwits

Tata Motors is a growth stock in Commercial Vehicles industry. It showed noticeble revenue performance in the last years among with attractive profitability and financial model.

Growth story


Tata Motors showed fast growth in the last financial year. The company's revenue surged on 23.3% in FY2014. Together with revenue growth Tata Motors also managed to keep EBITDA growth. EBITDA grew 36.9% for the same period.

If we look for the longer period Tata Motors showed fast revenue growth of 23.9% from FY2011 to FY2014 annually. EBITDA surged on 25.8% from FY2011 to FY2014 annually.

Tata Motors ($TATAMOTORS) financials for the last 5 years

mln. INR FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014
Revenue904,5681,199,5261,627,9341,848,4792,279,459
Revenue growth, %32.6%35.7%13.5%23.3%
SG&A, %
EBITDA63,186154,700200,383224,942307,838
EBITDA growth, %144.8%29.5%12.3%36.9%
EBITDA margin, %6.99%12.9%12.3%12.2%13.5%
Net Income25,71192,736135,16598,926139,910
Net Income margin, % 2.84%7.73%8.30%5.35%6.14%
 
CAPEX84,75481,240138,756188,626269,751
CAPEX/Revenue, %9.37%6.77%8.52%10.2%11.8%
Debt422,927381,996512,277581,088658,043
Cash87,433109,328164,769198,109294,593
Net Debt/EBITDA5.3x1.8x1.7x1.7x1.2x
 
ROIC, %4.8%19.3%20.1%16.6%17.2%
ROE, %36.3%67.7%52.1%28.1%27.1%

Profitability and return on investment


EBITDA growth was supported by margin expansion. The company's EBITDA margin surged on 1.30 pp from 12.2% to 13.5% in FY2014. In the last 3 years EBITDA margin increased slightly on 0.600 pp from 12.9% in FY2011 to 13.5% in FY2014.

Tata Motors shows attractive ROIC at 17.2% for the last 12 months which assumes stable development model. Three years ago it was a bit higher at 19.3%. It's average level of ROIC for the last three years was 18.0%.

Net Income margin surged on 0.700 pp from 5.40% to 6.10% in FY2014. In the last 3 years the company showed big decline in Net Income margin of 1.60 pp from 7.70% in FY2011 to 6.10% in FY2014.

Tata Motors operates at ROE of 27.1%. Average ROE for the last three years was 35.8%.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX)


To this fast growth the company had to invest in CAPEX.In FY2014 Tata Motors had CAPEX/Revenue of 11.8%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue surged on 5.06 pp from 6.77% in FY2011 to 11.8% in FY2014. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 10.2%.

Leverage (Debt)


Tata Motors has medium debt level at 1.2x Net Debt/EBITDA to maintain high growth. In the longer period leverage dropped on 0.58x from 1.76x in FY2011 to 1.18x in FY2014.

Valuation vs. comparable companies


The company trades at 1.6x EV/EBITDA which is 90% lower than 16.0x Commercial Vehicles industry avearge calculated based on 21 companies. The company trades at 0.9x P/E which is 88% lower than 7.8x Commercial Vehicles industry avearge calculated based on 2 companies.

For capital intensive compnanies it's worth taking a look at EV/(EBITDA-CAPEX) multiple. The company trades at 13.0x EV/(EBITDA-CAPEX) which is not surprisingly 179% higher than 4.6x Commercial Vehicles industry avearge calculated based on 2 companies.

Peers in Commercial Vehicles


Below you can find Tata Motors benchmarking vs. other companies in Commercial Vehicles industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014
Top
V.S.T.Tillers Tractors ($VSTTILLERS)-36.0%24.2%-9.2%29.6%
Trf ($TRF)-16.6%19.2%-16.0%5.4%
Beml ($BEML)-17.6%2.7%3.2%3.7%
Ashok Leyland ($ASHOKLEY)54.3%15.5%-3.3%-8.0%
 
Median (4 companies)-17.1%17.3%-6.3%4.5%
Tata Motors ($TATAMOTORS)32.6%35.7%13.5%23.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014
Top
V.S.T.Tillers Tractors ($VSTTILLERS)9.7%17.0%14.0%15.1%19.2%
Ashok Leyland ($ASHOKLEY)10.6%11.0%9.7%7.0%4.1%
Beml ($BEML)9.1%4.1%4.8%-1.5%4.0%
Trf ($TRF)6.5%2.2%6.3%-1.5%1.3%
 
Median (4 companies)9.4%7.5%8.0%2.8%4.1%
Tata Motors ($TATAMOTORS)7.0%12.9%12.3%12.2%13.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014
Top
V.S.T.Tillers Tractors ($VSTTILLERS)2.7%1.3%2.4%6.7%5.9%
Ashok Leyland ($ASHOKLEY)9.6%3.2%5.4%5.2%3.6%
Beml ($BEML)2.1%6.4%4.4%4.8%1.5%
Trf ($TRF)2.0%2.9%1.5%1.1%0.4%
 
Median (4 companies)2.1%3.0%3.4%5.0%2.5%
Tata Motors ($TATAMOTORS)9.4%6.8%8.5%10.2%11.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014
Top 5
V.S.T.Tillers Tractors ($VSTTILLERS)51.6%45.9%36.4%29.3%41.0%
Beml ($BEML)8.9%2.3%2.6%-2.9%1.9%
Trf ($TRF)22.1%3.3%11.4%-4.1%0.5%
Ashok Leyland ($ASHOKLEY)8.4%13.6%12.2%5.8%-0.5%
Skyline Millars ($SKYLMILAR)12.7%10.8%8.0%5.8%
 
Median (6 companies)12.1%7.0%9.7%5.8%1.2%
Tata Motors ($TATAMOTORS)4.8%19.3%20.1%16.6%17.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014
Top
Trf ($TRF)2.4x11.2x5.2x36.0x
Ashok Leyland ($ASHOKLEY)3.1x2.0x2.5x5.0x17.8x
Beml ($BEML)1.2x6.9x5.8x8.0x
V.S.T.Tillers Tractors ($VSTTILLERS)-0.1x-0.2x-0.1x-0.4x-0.2x
 
Median (4 companies)1.8x2.0x2.5x0.5x12.9x
Tata Motors ($TATAMOTORS)5.3x1.8x1.7x1.7x1.2x