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Indus Gas Ltd Net Income jumped on 30.9% while Revenue decreased on 4.3%

29 Sep 2020 • About Indus Gas Ltd ($INDI) • By InTwits

Indus Gas Ltd reported FY2020 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Indus Gas Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 199.7%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 19.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: £1m in FY2020, £2m in FY2019, £8m in FY2018, £8m in FY2017, £1m in FY2016
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is 9.1%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 4.5x while industry average is 2.1x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 4.3%. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.1 pp from 94.5% to 96.6% in FY2020.

Gross Margin increased on 3.6 pp from 89.8% to 93.4% in FY2020. Gross Margin grew at 5.0 pp per annum in FY2016-FY2020. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 0.59 pp from 1.9% to 1.3% in FY2020. SG&A as a % of Revenue followed a declining trend at -1.1 pp per annum in FY2016-FY2020.

Net Income margin jumped on 22.8 pp from 61.9% to 84.6% in FY2020.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 157% in FY2020. Indus Gas Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 30.4 pp from 187% in FY2017 to 157% in FY2020. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 204%. Battling declining revenue the company made large investments to CAPEX (162% of EBITDA) but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (21.8%) while ROIC is low (9.1%). ROIC showed almost no change in FY2020. ROE increased slightly on 1.2 pp from 20.6% to 21.8% in FY2020. During the last 5 years ROIC topped in FY2018 at 10.0% and was declining since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 4.5x Net Debt / EBITDA and 4.5x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.6x from 5.1x to 4.5x in FY2020. Debt dropped on 13.3% while cash surged on 120%. Net Debt/EBITDA stuck to a declining trend at -0.3x per annum in FY2016-FY2020.

Indus Gas Ltd has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 1.0% of short term debt.

Financial and operational results


Indus Gas Ltd ($INDI) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201620172018201920202020/2019
P&L
Revenue45.59539.07339.80160.60557.971-4.3%
Gross Profit35.43527.93032.19054.41454.119-0.5%
SG&A2.2821.9201.4801.1290.737-34.7%
EBITDA42.52751.86256.92257.28155.994-2.2%
Net Income15.70625.38333.62937.48749.06030.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash61.08211.40213.3420.1290.285120.4%
Short Term Debt37.55746.61437.30042.86929.323-31.6%
Long Term Debt283.779239.647287.451249.722224.294-10.2%
Cash flow
Capex91.43473.142102.604118.94990.872-23.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth10.2%-14.3%1.9%52.3%-4.3%
EBITDA growth13.1%21.9%9.8%0.6%-2.2%

Gross Margin77.7%71.5%80.9%89.8%93.4%3.6%
EBITDA Margin93.3%132.7%143.0%94.5%96.6%2.1%
SG&A, % of revenue5.0%4.9%3.7%1.9%1.3%-0.6%
Net Income Margin34.4%65.0%84.5%61.9%84.6%22.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue200.5%187.2%257.8%196.3%156.8%-39.5%

ROIC8.3%8.9%10.0%9.4%9.1%-0.3%
ROE16.4%21.8%23.0%20.6%21.8%1.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA6.1x5.3x5.5x5.1x4.5x-0.6x

Peers in Oil & Gas Producers


Below we provide Indus Gas Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Oil & Gas Producers industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri A.S. ($TPRD)-5.5%54.8%64.1%1.2%-
Total Sa ($TTA)-10.6%14.4%18.0%0.9%-
BP ($BP.A)-17.9%31.3%24.4%-6.8%-
Royal Dutch Shell ($RDSB)-11.8%30.6%27.3%-11.2%-
 
Median (4 companies)-9.4%19.4%27.3%-2.9%-
Indus Gas Ltd ($INDI)--14.3%1.9%52.3%-4.3%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Royal Dutch Shell ($RDSB)18.2%18.0%17.3%19.0%-
BP ($BP.A)11.9%15.1%15.4%16.9%-
Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri A.S. ($TPRD)10.5%11.5%10.4%5.5%-
 
Median (3 companies)12.2%18.1%22.8%16.9%-
Indus Gas Ltd ($INDI)77.7%71.5%80.9%89.8%93.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Total Sa ($TTA)13.6%15.1%16.8%18.5%-
Royal Dutch Shell ($RDSB)11.7%13.7%13.7%15.0%-
BP ($BP.A)6.3%9.1%10.1%9.4%-
Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri A.S. ($TPRD)9.3%10.4%9.8%4.3%-
 
Median (4 companies)13.0%16.6%13.7%12.2%-
Indus Gas Ltd ($INDI)93.3%132.7%143.0%94.5%96.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Total Sa ($TTA)14.2%9.2%9.3%6.7%-
Royal Dutch Shell ($RDSB)9.5%6.8%5.9%6.7%-
BP ($BP.A)9.1%6.9%5.6%5.5%-
Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri A.S. ($TPRD)2.5%2.0%1.1%1.5%-
 
Median (4 companies)12.8%11.0%5.9%6.1%-
Indus Gas Ltd ($INDI)200.5%187.2%257.8%196.3%156.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri A.S. ($TPRD)16.8%25.6%31.2%10.9%-
Total Sa ($TTA)3.2%5.8%9.2%8.8%-
Royal Dutch Shell ($RDSB)0.9%5.5%10.9%7.8%-
BP ($BP.A)-1.8%3.9%8.7%4.3%-
Spitfire Oil Ltd ($SRO)-4.1%-6.1%-6.3%-6.6%-
 
Median (7 companies)4.3%5.5%5.0%6.0%-
Indus Gas Ltd ($INDI)8.3%8.9%10.0%9.4%9.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri A.S. ($TPRD)1.9x1.1x1.4x2.2x-
BP ($BP.A)3.0x1.7x1.4x2.1x-
Royal Dutch Shell ($RDSB)2.7x1.6x0.9x1.5x-
Total Sa ($TTA)1.7x0.8x0.8x1.1x-
 
Median (4 companies)0.9x0.9x0.9x1.8x-
Indus Gas Ltd ($INDI)6.1x5.3x5.5x5.1x4.5x