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Kier Group revenue decline accelerated from 6.8% in FY2019 to 13.4% in FY2020

17 Sep 2020 • About Kier Group ($KIE) • By InTwits

Kier Group reported FY2020 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -2.9%
  • Kier Group spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for FY2016-FY2020 is 0.0%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was -0.2%
  • Kier Group has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 0.3%.
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -16.9%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 2.5x while industry average is 0.1x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 13.4%. Revenue decline was accelerating on average at -8.1 pp per annum in FY2016-FY2020. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.2 pp from -4.0% to -2.9% in FY2020.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 1.5 pp from 7.4% to 5.9% in FY2020. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 1.3 pp from 12.8% to 11.4% in FY2020.

Net Income margin decreased on 2.7 pp from -5.3% to -8.0% in FY2020. During FY2016-FY2020 Net Income margin topped in FY2018 at 2.1% and was declining since that time.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2020 Kier Group had CAPEX/Revenue of 0.11%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from FY2017 to FY2020. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 0.31%. During FY2016-FY2020 CAPEX as a % of Revenue topped in FY2018 at 0.52% and was declining since that time.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-16.9%) and ROE (-71.9%). ROIC increased slightly on 1.7 pp from -18.6% to -16.9% in FY2020. ROE dropped on 34.5 pp from -37.5% to -71.9% in FY2020. During the last 5 years ROE topped in FY2018 at 15.8% and was declining since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 2.5x and Debt / EBITDA is . Net Debt / EBITDA didn't change in FY2020. Debt jumped on 82.3% while cash surged on 32.8%.

Kier Group has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (437.1%).

Management team


The company's CEO is Andrew Oswell Bede Davies. Andrew Oswell Bede Davies has 1 year tenure with the company. Kier Group's CFO Simon J Kesterton has spent 1 year with the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 30 Jun 2020

Kier Group ($KIE) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201620172018201920202020/2019
P&L
Revenue3,9914,1294,2403,9513,423-13.4%
Gross Profit356289402291202-30.6%
SG&A380302314505392-22.4%
EBITDA2833149-159-99
Net Income-181187-210-273
Balance Sheet
Cash18750033131241432.8%
Short Term Debt1459163195201.6%
Long Term Debt31658752847683074.4%
Cash flow
Capex141622124-67.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth21.8%3.4%2.7%-6.8%-13.4%
EBITDA growth-70.7%17.9%350.0%-207.3%-38.2%

Gross Margin8.9%7.0%9.5%7.4%5.9%-1.5%
EBITDA Margin0.7%0.8%3.5%-4.0%-2.9%1.2%
SG&A, % of revenue9.5%7.3%7.4%12.8%11.4%-1.3%
Net Income Margin-0.4%0.3%2.1%-5.3%-8.0%-2.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.4%0.4%0.5%0.3%0.1%-0.2%

ROIC-2.2%-1.6%7.7%-18.6%-16.9%1.7%
ROE-3.0%2.0%15.8%-37.5%-71.9%-34.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA5.1x4.4x1.4x

Peers in Construction & Materials


Below we provide Kier Group benchmarking against other companies in Construction & Materials industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Volution Group ($FAN)18.7%19.8%11.1%14.6%-
Aukett Swanke Group ($AUK)9.0%-12.7%-18.5%4.7%-
James Halstead ($JHD)-0.5%6.5%3.6%1.4%-
Alumasc Group ($ALU)-13.6%-6.1%-8.4%-15.7%
Titon Hldgs ($TON)6.6%18.1%6.3%-8.8%-
 
Median (6 companies)7.7%9.4%7.0%-3.5%-17.8%
Kier Group ($KIE)-3.4%2.7%-6.8%-13.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Volution Group ($FAN)48.8%49.2%47.0%47.1%-
James Halstead ($JHD)42.4%43.5%41.9%43.0%-
Titon Hldgs ($TON)29.7%25.9%28.9%30.2%-
Alumasc Group ($ALU)33.4%31.3%30.6%29.8%29.7%
Galliford Try ($GFRD)10.9%7.9%9.7%0.7%2.6%
 
Median (5 companies)29.7%26.9%28.9%30.2%16.2%
Kier Group ($KIE)8.9%7.0%9.5%7.4%5.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
James Halstead ($JHD)21.6%20.8%-20.3%-
Volution Group ($FAN)22.2%20.6%17.6%18.9%-
Titon Hldgs ($TON)9.8%8.8%9.0%8.8%-
Alumasc Group ($ALU)9.7%9.8%7.8%3.9%6.9%
Aukett Swanke Group ($AUK)6.6%-0.9%-18.2%1.3%-
 
Median (7 companies)10.9%9.4%9.0%3.9%2.3%
Kier Group ($KIE)0.7%0.8%3.5%-4.0%-2.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Alumasc Group ($ALU)1.1%0.9%3.1%2.6%1.8%
Titon Hldgs ($TON)3.0%1.9%1.9%2.6%-
Volution Group ($FAN)1.9%1.3%2.3%1.8%-
James Halstead ($JHD)2.1%1.8%1.4%1.7%-
Aukett Swanke Group ($AUK)0.8%0.2%0.6%0.7%-
 
Median (7 companies)2.4%2.0%2.1%1.7%0.9%
Kier Group ($KIE)0.4%0.4%0.5%0.3%0.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
James Halstead ($JHD)47.1%46.5%39.9%36.7%-
Titon Hldgs ($TON)13.3%12.0%12.2%9.5%-
Volution Group ($FAN)9.0%9.2%6.9%8.8%-
Alumasc Group ($ALU)47.8%50.2%23.1%4.8%7.8%
Aukett Swanke Group ($AUK)9.6%-6.9%-41.3%-0.9%-
 
Median (8 companies)9.1%8.7%7.9%2.0%1.3%
Kier Group ($KIE)-2.2%-1.6%7.7%-18.6%-16.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Volution Group ($FAN)1.0x1.0x2.1x1.7x-
Alumasc Group ($ALU)-1.0x-0.6x0.6x1.5x1.9x
James Halstead ($JHD)-0.9x-1.0x--1.3x-
Titon Hldgs ($TON)-1.0x-1.3x-1.3x-1.9x-
Aukett Swanke Group ($AUK)-0.6x---3.0x-
 
Median (5 companies)-0.7x-0.2x-0.7x-1.3x1.9x