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Colefax Group reports 35.3% EBITDA growth in 2020 and 4.5 pp EBITDA Margin growth from 9.1% to 13.6%

14 Sep 2020 • About Colefax Group ($CFX) • By InTwits

Colefax Group reported FY2020 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is expanding: 13.6% in FY2020 vs. 9.1% in FY2019 vs. 9.4% in FY2016
  • Colefax Group has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.5%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 1.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: £1m in FY2020, £2m in FY2019, £3m in FY2018, £1m in FY2017, £1m in FY2016
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is 7.9%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 1.6x while industry average is -0.4x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 9.3%. During the last 5 years Revenue growth topped in FY2018 at 6.9% and was decelerating since that time. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased on 4.5 pp from 9.1% to 13.6% in FY2020. During the last 5 years EBITDA Margin bottomed in FY2017 at 7.0% and was growing since that time.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 1.6 pp from 54.3% to 55.8% in FY2020. During the last 5 years Gross Margin bottomed in FY2018 at 53.7% and was growing since that time. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 3.5 pp from 48.4% to 51.9% in FY2020.

Net Income margin decreased slightly on 2.0 pp from 4.4% to 2.5% in FY2020.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


Colefax Group's CAPEX/Revenue was 4.1% in FY2020. Colefax Group's CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 1.1 pp from 5.1% in FY2017 to 4.1% in FY2020. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.1%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (7.9%) and ROE (7.0%). ROIC dropped on 10.4 pp from 18.3% to 7.9% in FY2020. ROE decreased on 7.2 pp from 14.2% to 7.0% in FY2020.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 1.6x and Debt / EBITDA is 2.7x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 2.8x from -1.2x to 1.6x in FY2020. Debt surged while cash jumped on 22.0%.

Colefax Group has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (250.2%).

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 4.8x and P/E 17.8x.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 30 Apr 2020

Colefax Group ($CFX) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201620172018201920202020/2019
P&L
Revenue76.87980.47586.05286.35578.364-9.3%
Gross Profit43.29244.35646.24146.85943.762-6.6%
SG&A38.27941.41941.52041.78940.655-2.7%
EBITDA7.2005.6577.4567.87010.65135.3%
Net Income3.4611.8953.8323.8301.920-49.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash10.0856.7109.1779.45811.53822.0%
Short Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0004.612
Long Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.00023.780
Cash flow
Capex2.2784.1262.3822.0463.18355.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth0.1%4.7%6.9%0.4%-9.3%
EBITDA growth7.4%-21.4%31.8%5.6%35.3%

Gross Margin56.3%55.1%53.7%54.3%55.8%1.6%
EBITDA Margin9.4%7.0%8.7%9.1%13.6%4.5%
SG&A, % of revenue49.8%51.5%48.2%48.4%51.9%3.5%
Net Income Margin4.5%2.4%4.5%4.4%2.5%-2.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue3.0%5.1%2.8%2.4%4.1%1.7%

ROIC20.2%11.2%17.6%18.3%7.9%-10.4%
ROE13.8%7.3%14.4%14.2%7.0%-7.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA-1.4x-1.2x-1.2x-1.2x1.6x2.8x

Peers in Household Goods & Home Construction


Below we provide Colefax Group benchmarking against other companies in Household Goods & Home Construction industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
M J Gleeson ($GLE)-12.9%22.7%27.0%-41.1%
Redrow ($RDW)20.2%20.1%15.7%10.0%-
Mcbride ($MCB)--7.0%9.0%4.6%-2.1%
Barratt Developments ($BDEV)-9.8%4.8%-2.3%-28.2%
Crest Nicholson Hldgs ($CRST)23.9%4.6%7.5%-3.1%-
 
Median (5 companies)6.8%4.3%8.2%4.6%-28.2%
Colefax Group ($CFX)-4.7%6.9%0.4%-9.3%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Mcbride ($MCB)35.8%36.4%34.2%33.3%-
M J Gleeson ($GLE)33.5%35.4%33.2%30.0%27.5%
Redrow ($RDW)24.2%24.4%24.4%23.9%-
Barratt Developments ($BDEV)18.9%20.0%20.7%22.8%18.0%
Crest Nicholson Hldgs ($CRST)26.7%26.4%22.0%16.9%-
 
Median (5 companies)26.3%26.2%27.7%23.9%22.7%
Colefax Group ($CFX)56.3%55.1%53.7%54.3%55.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Redrow ($RDW)19.0%19.5%20.1%19.6%-
Barratt Developments ($BDEV)15.9%17.3%17.8%19.0%15.0%
M J Gleeson ($GLE)20.4%21.1%19.2%16.8%5.6%
Crest Nicholson Hldgs ($CRST)20.6%20.4%16.4%10.8%-
Mcbride ($MCB)7.7%9.6%7.6%6.6%-
 
Median (5 companies)17.4%17.6%18.5%16.8%10.3%
Colefax Group ($CFX)9.4%7.0%8.7%9.1%13.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Mcbride ($MCB)1.7%2.4%3.2%2.4%-
M J Gleeson ($GLE)0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%1.6%
Crest Nicholson Hldgs ($CRST)0.2%0.2%0.2%0.3%-
Redrow ($RDW)0.4%0.1%0.1%0.2%-
Barratt Developments ($BDEV)0.1%0.1%0.2%0.2%0.2%
 
Median (5 companies)0.6%0.7%0.5%0.3%0.9%
Colefax Group ($CFX)3.0%5.1%2.8%2.4%4.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Redrow ($RDW)21.8%23.4%26.0%25.4%-
M J Gleeson ($GLE)20.2%20.9%20.7%20.7%2.5%
Barratt Developments ($BDEV)16.5%18.4%18.3%17.3%9.1%
Mcbride ($MCB)19.1%23.8%18.4%14.0%-
Crest Nicholson Hldgs ($CRST)23.5%22.5%18.0%11.2%-
 
Median (5 companies)19.1%19.7%18.4%17.3%5.8%
Colefax Group ($CFX)20.2%11.2%17.6%18.3%7.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Mcbride ($MCB)1.7x1.2x2.2x2.5x-
Redrow ($RDW)0.5x0.2x-0.2x-0.3x-
Crest Nicholson Hldgs ($CRST)-0.4x-0.2x-0.1x-0.3x-
M J Gleeson ($GLE)-0.8x-1.0x-1.1x-0.7x-2.0x
Barratt Developments ($BDEV)-0.9x-0.9x-0.9x-0.8x-0.5x
 
Median (5 companies)-0.4x-0.4x-0.5x-0.3x-1.3x
Colefax Group ($CFX)-1.4x-1.2x-1.2x-1.2x1.6x