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Newmark Security Net Income jumped on 496% while Revenue decreased on 4.2%

09 Sep 2020 • About Newmark Security ($NWT) • By InTwits

Newmark Security reported FY2020 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Newmark Security is a company in decline: FY2020 revenue growth was -4.2%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -3.9%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 7.1% in FY2020, 4.7% in FY2019, -1.8% in FY2018, -2.4% in FY2017, 10.8% in FY2016
  • Newmark Security has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.8%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 2.3%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: £0m in FY2020, £0m in FY2019, £2m in FY2018, £0m in FY2017, £0m in FY2016
  • In the last 5 years the company invested considerably less than D&A: £2m vs. £8m
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 3.2%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 1.0x while industry average is 0.6x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 4.2%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.4 pp from 4.7% to 7.1% in FY2020. During FY2016-FY2020 EBITDA Margin bottomed in FY2017 at -2.4% and was growing since that time.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in FY2020. During FY2016-FY2020 Gross Margin bottomed in FY2017 at 27.9% and was growing since that time. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2020.

Net Income margin increased on 5.0 pp from 0.97% to 6.0% in FY2020. During FY2016-FY2020 Net Income margin bottomed in FY2017 at -32.7% and was growing since that time.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2020 Newmark Security had CAPEX/Revenue of 0.80%. The company showed small CAPEX/Revenue decline of 0.52 pp from 1.3% in FY2017 to 0.80% in FY2020. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 3.9%. During the last 5 years CAPEX as a % of Revenue topped in FY2018 at 9.8% and was declining since that time.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (14.7%) while ROIC is low (3.2%). ROIC showed almost no change in FY2020. ROE surged on 11.8 pp from 2.9% to 14.7% in FY2020. During FY2016-FY2020 ROE bottomed in FY2017 at -45.2% and was growing since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 1.0x Net Debt / EBITDA and 1.5x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 1.1x from -0.1x to 1.0x in FY2020. Debt surged on 112% while cash dropped on 40.4%.

Newmark Security has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 45.9% of short term debt.

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 5.3x and P/E 5.0x.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 30 Apr 2020

Newmark Security ($NWT) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201620172018201920202020/2019
P&L
Revenue21.82316.03616.05219.58318.767-4.2%
Gross Profit9.0984.4745.7927.7057.449-3.3%
SG&A7.9009.7076.8317.0616.845-3.1%
EBITDA2.357-0.385-0.2950.9111.32745.7%
EBIT1.156-5.233-1.877
Net Income1.227-5.236-1.8680.1891.127496.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash4.2991.3701.0691.0410.620-40.4%
Accounts Receivable3.7153.2862.834
Inventory1.4061.6461.608
Short Term Debt0.0990.0790.4910.7961.35169.7%
Long Term Debt0.0640.0980.0530.1490.654338.9%
Cash flow
Capex0.2050.2111.5760.1960.150-23.5%
Dividends0.0000.000
Ratios
Revenue growth-4.5%-26.5%0.1%22.0%-4.2%
EBITDA growth-32.5%-116.3%-23.4%-408.8%45.7%

Gross Margin41.7%27.9%36.1%39.3%39.7%0.3%
EBITDA Margin10.8%-2.4%-1.8%4.7%7.1%2.4%
EBIT Margin5.3%-32.6%-11.7%
SG&A, % of revenue36.2%60.5%42.6%36.1%36.5%0.4%
Net Income Margin5.6%-32.7%-11.6%1.0%6.0%5.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.9%1.3%9.8%1.0%0.8%-0.2%

ROIC7.9%-43.5%-22.7%3.6%3.2%-0.5%
ROE8.8%-45.2%-25.4%2.9%14.7%11.8%
Net Debt/EBITDA-1.8x-0.1x1.0x1.1x
People
Insider ownership34.1%34.1%34.1%
Employees161
Revenue/Employee, th. £136

Peers in Support Services


Below you can find Newmark Security benchmarking vs. other companies in Support Services industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Mobilityone Ltd ($MBO)-37.9%47.4%35.0%-
Rws Hldgs ($RWS)28.1%34.5%86.6%16.2%-
Sthree ($STHR)13.1%16.1%12.9%6.9%-
Camco Clean Energy ($CCE)-2.5%9.3%97,196.8%4.3%-
Christie Group ($CTG)-11.1%6.2%2.6%-
 
Median (8 companies)4.5%7.0%9.2%3.4%-
Newmark Security ($NWT)--26.5%0.1%22.0%-4.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Rws Hldgs ($RWS)42.8%43.8%38.8%40.1%-
Camco Clean Energy ($CCE)20.9%30.5%38.7%38.2%-
Ricardo ($RCDO)39.0%37.7%37.7%35.1%-
Sthree ($STHR)26.9%25.8%25.5%25.5%-
Driver Group ($DRV)20.7%24.6%26.0%23.1%-
 
Median (7 companies)27.1%28.4%26.0%25.5%-
Newmark Security ($NWT)41.7%27.9%36.1%39.3%39.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Rws Hldgs ($RWS)26.4%25.5%20.8%23.4%-
Camco Clean Energy ($CCE)-51.7%-65.5%15.7%18.2%-
Ricardo ($RCDO)14.7%14.5%11.9%11.6%-
Christie Group ($CTG)4.8%6.5%6.7%10.5%-
Driver Group ($DRV)-4.9%4.5%5.5%6.4%-
 
Median (8 companies)5.3%5.7%6.9%8.4%-
Newmark Security ($NWT)10.8%-2.4%-1.8%4.7%7.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Camco Clean Energy ($CCE)0.7%4.4%4.6%4.2%-
Ricardo ($RCDO)2.6%1.8%2.0%2.0%-
Rws Hldgs ($RWS)0.6%0.9%0.6%1.1%-
Croma Security Solutions Group ($CSSG)0.4%0.5%0.8%1.0%-
Christie Group ($CTG)1.3%0.8%0.9%0.7%-
 
Median (8 companies)1.1%0.9%0.9%0.9%-
Newmark Security ($NWT)0.9%1.3%9.8%1.0%0.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Christie Group ($CTG)--472.3%82.9%-
Sthree ($STHR)46.2%43.4%36.3%40.2%-
Mobilityone Ltd ($MBO)15.0%-8.6%-35.1%29.9%-
Driver Group ($DRV)-19.2%7.6%13.2%14.7%-
Rws Hldgs ($RWS)23.5%20.2%12.8%12.3%-
 
Median (9 companies)8.0%7.9%8.9%12.3%-
Newmark Security ($NWT)7.9%-43.5%-22.7%3.6%3.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Camco Clean Energy ($CCE)--2.9x2.8x-
Mobilityone Ltd ($MBO)1.0x--1.3x-
Ricardo ($RCDO)0.7x0.7x0.6x1.1x-
Christie Group ($CTG)1.3x0.5x0.4x0.6x-
Rws Hldgs ($RWS)0.0x0.5x1.0x0.4x-
 
Median (8 companies)0.4x0.5x0.6x0.5x-
Newmark Security ($NWT)-1.8x---0.1x1.0x