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Frontier Developments revenue dropped on 15.1% while EBITDA Margin increased on 9.1 pp from 32.3% to 41.4%

09 Sep 2020 • About Frontier Developments ($FDEV) • By InTwits

Frontier Developments reported FY2020 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Frontier Developments has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.0%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 3.6%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: £1m in FY2020, £2m in FY2019, £5m in FY2018, £1m in FY2017, £0m in FY2016
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 17.4%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 15.1%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 9.1 pp from 32.3% to 41.4% in FY2020.

Gross Margin increased on 6.8 pp from 60.9% to 67.8% in FY2020. During FY2016-FY2020 Gross Margin bottomed in FY2019 at 60.9%. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 2.1 pp from 22.7% to 24.9% in FY2020.

Net Income margin increased slightly on 0.83 pp from 20.1% to 20.9% in FY2020.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.88% in FY2020. CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 0.82 pp from 1.7% in FY2017 to 0.88% in FY2020. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 5.7%. During FY2016-FY2020 CAPEX as a % of Revenue topped in FY2018 at 13.6% and was declining since that time.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROIC (17.4%) and ROE (18.6%). ROIC dropped on 12.9 pp from 30.3% to 17.4% in FY2020. ROE decreased on 9.2 pp from 27.8% to 18.6% in FY2020.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -0.7x Net Debt / EBITDA and 0.7x Debt / EBITDA. Debt surged while cash surged on 29.5%.

Frontier Developments has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (3,421.9%).

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 32.0x and P/E 64.8x.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 31 May 2020

Frontier Developments ($FDEV) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201620172018201920202020/2019
P&L
Revenue21.36637.36334.19289.66976.089-15.1%
Gross Profit16.26827.35624.10054.64851.557-5.7%
SG&A7.93611.83812.67320.38818.919-7.2%
EBITDA4.87612.6569.36728.96931.4948.7%
Net Income1.4327.7113.59417.99015.894-11.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash8.61012.57924.12435.33245.75129.5%
Short Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0001.337
Long Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.00022.198
Cash flow
Capex0.2330.6334.6602.2690.666-70.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth-6.1%74.9%-8.5%162.3%-15.1%
EBITDA growth-24.9%159.6%-26.0%209.3%8.7%

Gross Margin76.1%73.2%70.5%60.9%67.8%6.8%
EBITDA Margin22.8%33.9%27.4%32.3%41.4%9.1%
SG&A, % of revenue37.1%31.7%37.1%22.7%24.9%2.1%
Net Income Margin6.7%20.6%10.5%20.1%20.9%0.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.1%1.7%13.6%2.5%0.9%-1.7%

ROIC5.7%28.8%6.5%30.3%17.4%-12.9%
ROE6.6%28.5%8.3%27.8%18.6%-9.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA-1.8x-1.0x-2.6x-1.2x-0.7x0.5x

Peers in Leisure Goods


Below you can find Frontier Developments benchmarking vs. other companies in Leisure Goods industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Lightwaverf ($LWRF)-31.3%110.1%-7.2%45.5%-
Character Group ($CCT)22.1%-4.7%-7.9%13.4%-
Lg Electronics Inc ($39IB)-2.0%10.9%-0.1%1.6%-
 
Median (3 companies)-2.0%-4.7%-7.2%13.4%-
Frontier Developments ($FDEV)-74.9%-8.5%162.3%-15.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Character Group ($CCT)31.6%32.6%34.2%34.5%-
Lightwaverf ($LWRF)32.5%35.5%29.3%32.1%-
 
Median (2 companies)31.6%32.6%34.2%33.3%-
Frontier Developments ($FDEV)76.1%73.2%70.5%60.9%67.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Character Group ($CCT)13.1%13.9%12.8%11.5%-
Lightwaverf ($LWRF)-43.8%-15.2%-65.8%-66.7%-
 
Median (2 companies)4.2%6.9%7.7%-27.6%-
Frontier Developments ($FDEV)22.8%33.9%27.4%32.3%41.4%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Lightwaverf ($LWRF)0.3%0.9%2.1%7.7%-
Character Group ($CCT)0.2%0.2%0.3%0.4%-
 
Median (2 companies)3.0%3.7%4.6%4.0%-
Frontier Developments ($FDEV)1.1%1.7%13.6%2.5%0.9%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Character Group ($CCT)33.7%29.9%23.5%21.1%-
Lightwaverf ($LWRF)-71.4%-63.2%-85.2%-90.4%-
Lg Electronics Inc ($39IB)6.5%11.3%11.0%--
 
Median (3 companies)6.5%11.3%11.0%-34.6%-
Frontier Developments ($FDEV)5.7%28.8%6.5%30.3%17.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Character Group ($CCT)-0.4x-0.7x-1.1x-0.5x-
 
Median (1 company)0.1x-0.8x-1.1x-0.5x-
Frontier Developments ($FDEV)-1.8x-1.0x-2.6x-1.2x-0.7x