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Total Sa CAPEX dropped on 27.1% and Revenue increased slightly on 0.92%

06 Feb 2020 • About Total Sa ($TTA) • By InTwits

Total Sa reported FY2019 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is expanding: 18.5% in FY2019 vs. 16.8% in FY2018 vs. 11.5% in FY2015
  • Total Sa has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 11.4%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 14.6%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: £39m in FY2019, £28m in FY2018, £22m in FY2017, £28m in FY2016, £8m in FY2015
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is 8.8%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased slightly on 0.92%. During the last 5 years Revenue growth topped in FY2018 at 18.0%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.2 pp from 13.7% to 15.0% in FY2019. EBITDA Margin stuck to a growing trend at 1.7 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Net Income margin showed almost no change in FY2019. Net Income margin followed a growing trend at 0.71 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 6.7% in FY2019. CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 7.5 pp from 14.2% in FY2016 to 6.7% in FY2019. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 8.4%. CAPEX as a % of Revenue followed a declining trend at -2.7 pp per annum in FY2015-FY2019.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (8.8%) and ROE (10.1%). ROIC showed almost no change in FY2019. ROE decreased slightly on 0.94 pp from 11.1% to 10.1% in FY2019. ROIC stuck to a growing trend at 1.8 pp per annum in the last 5 years. ROE grew at 1.3 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 1.1x and Debt / EBITDA is 1.9x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 0.3x from 0.8x to 1.1x in FY2019. Debt surged on 23.8% while cash showed almost no change in FY2019. During the last 5 years Net Debt/EBITDA bottomed in FY2017 at 0.8x and was growing since that time.

Total Sa has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (184.6%).

Valuation and dividends


Total Sa's trades at EV/EBITDA 1.1x and P/E 0.1x.

Management team


Total Sa's CEO is Patrick Pouyanne. Patrick Pouyanne is a founder and has 4 years tenure with the company. Total Sa's CFO is Jean Pierre Sbraire. Jean Pierre Sbraire has 0 years tenure at the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 30 Nov -0001

Total Sa ($TTA) key annual financial indicators

mln. €201520162017201820192019/2018
P&L
Revenue129,295115,639132,252156,024157,4600.9%
EBITDA14,89015,70819,93526,19929,15111.3%
EBIT13,839
Tax5,522
Net Income4,5865,6017,6569,70010,0663.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash21,41523,32127,60424,36924,358-0.0%
Accounts Receivable15,080
Inventory12,993
Accounts Payable22,820
Short Term Debt11,49313,1989,23011,61913,19713.6%
Long Term Debt38,26037,37233,48733,39942,54427.4%
Cash flow
Capex22,65716,36712,21114,47510,551-27.1%
Dividends4,164
Ratios
Revenue growth-19.1%-10.6%14.4%18.0%0.9%
EBITDA growth-15.5%5.5%26.9%31.4%11.3%

EBITDA Margin11.5%13.6%15.1%16.8%18.5%1.7%
EBIT Margin8.9%
Net Income Margin3.5%4.8%5.8%6.2%6.4%0.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue17.5%14.2%9.2%9.3%6.7%-2.6%

ROIC2.5%3.2%5.8%9.2%8.8%-0.5%
ROE5.6%6.9%8.8%11.1%10.1%-0.9%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.9x1.7x0.8x0.8x1.1x0.3x
People
Insider ownership0.0%
Employees104,460
Revenue/Employee, th. €1,494

Peers in Oil & Gas Producers


Below we provide Total Sa benchmarking against other companies in Oil & Gas Producers industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Parkmead Group(The) ($PMG)-24.4%-44.0%-60.4%69.7%
Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri A.S. ($TPRD)-7.1%-5.5%54.8%64.1%
Range Resources ($RRL)-37.9%-46.3%19.4%54.8%
Amerisur Resources ($AMER)-22.9%79.6%27.8%
Royal Dutch Shell ($RDSB)-11.8%30.6%27.3%-11.2%
 
Median (7 companies)-19.5%-8.9%19.7%27.8%-9.0%
Total Sa ($TTA)-10.6%14.4%18.0%0.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Oil & Gas Development Co ($OGDC)62.7%54.0%55.3%59.2%
Parkmead Group(The) ($PMG)-111.5%-44.2%28.5%57.8%
Amerisur Resources ($AMER)-20.2%-1.1%21.3%28.4%
Royal Dutch Shell ($RDSB)15.9%18.2%18.0%17.3%19.0%
BP ($BP.A)9.5%11.9%15.1%15.4%16.9%
 
Median (7 companies)12.1%12.2%18.1%17.3%17.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Oil & Gas Development Co ($OGDC)62.4%53.9%55.8%59.3%
Amerisur Resources ($AMER)0.1%-35.0%20.0%28.8%
Royal Dutch Shell ($RDSB)8.9%11.7%13.7%13.7%15.0%
BP ($BP.A)3.0%6.3%9.1%10.1%9.4%
Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri A.S. ($TPRD)10.4%9.3%10.4%9.8%
 
Median (7 companies)18.8%12.8%17.9%10.1%12.2%
Total Sa ($TTA)11.5%13.6%15.1%16.8%18.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Amerisur Resources ($AMER)72.4%65.8%33.8%11.7%
Oil & Gas Development Co ($OGDC)31.5%26.0%23.2%8.5%
Royal Dutch Shell ($RDSB)9.9%9.5%6.8%5.9%6.7%
BP ($BP.A)8.4%9.1%6.9%5.6%5.5%
Range Resources ($RRL)43.4%5.7%0.1%1.9%
 
Median (7 companies)15.4%12.4%11.7%5.6%6.1%
Total Sa ($TTA)17.5%14.2%9.2%9.3%6.7%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri A.S. ($TPRD)25.4%16.8%25.6%31.2%
Oil & Gas Development Co ($OGDC)24.3%13.7%14.2%17.3%
Royal Dutch Shell ($RDSB)-1.5%0.9%5.5%10.9%7.8%
BP ($BP.A)-6.1%-1.8%3.9%8.7%4.3%
Amerisur Resources ($AMER)-11.4%-13.3%0.1%5.0%
 
Median (18 companies)0.5%4.7%5.5%5.0%-1.2%
Total Sa ($TTA)2.5%3.2%5.8%9.2%8.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
BP ($BP.A)4.0x3.0x1.7x1.4x2.1x
Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri A.S. ($TPRD)1.8x1.9x1.1x1.4x
Royal Dutch Shell ($RDSB)1.1x2.7x1.6x0.9x1.5x
Oil & Gas Development Co ($OGDC)-0.1x-0.1x-0.0x-0.0x
Amerisur Resources ($AMER)-622.4x-1.8x-1.1x
 
Median (6 companies)1.4x0.9x1.0x0.5x1.8x
Total Sa ($TTA)1.9x1.7x0.8x0.8x1.1x