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Turkiye Garanti Bankasi revenue increased on 7.9%

30 Jan 2020 • About Turkiye Garanti Bankasi ($39IS) • By InTwits

Turkiye Garanti Bankasi reported 2019 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Turkiye Garanti Bankasi is a fast growth stock: 2019 revenue growth was 7.9%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 20.7% at 2019 ROIC 6.3%
  • Turkiye Garanti Bankasi has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.6%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 1.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 607 TRYm in 2019, 1,794 TRYm in 2018, 819 TRYm in 2017, 1,021 TRYm in 2016, 561 TRYm in 2015
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 6.3%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 1.1x while industry average is
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Turkiye Garanti Bankasi's Revenue increased on 7.9%.

Net Income margin decreased slightly on 1.8 pp from 13.1% to 11.3% in 2019. During 2015-2019 Net Income margin topped in 2017 at 18.9% and was declining since that time.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In 2019 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.1%. The company showed decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 2.5 pp from 3.6% in 2016 to 1.1% in 2019. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 2.4%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (12.3%) while ROIC is low (6.3%). ROIC showed almost no change in 2019. ROE decreased on 2.8 pp from 15.1% to 12.3% in 2019. During the last 5 years ROIC topped in 2018 at 6.5%. During 2015-2019 ROE topped in 2017 at 16.5% and was declining since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt dropped on 22.0% while cash increased slightly on 0.57%.

Turkiye Garanti Bankasi has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (307.8%).

Management team


Recep Bastug is a the company's CEO. Recep Bastug is a founder and has spent 0 years with the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 31 Dec 2019

Turkiye Garanti Bankasi ($39IS) key annual financial indicators

mln. TRY201520162017201820192019/2018
P&L
Revenue23,52728,32133,57850,57054,5717.9%
Net Income3,5815,1056,3326,6426,165-7.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash25,28723,95133,60441,62141,8560.6%
Short Term Debt13,01515,66628,97815,93513,600-14.7%
Long Term Debt49,40456,56660,28857,08943,369-24.0%
Cash flow
Capex5611,0218191,794607-66.2%
Dividends1,932
Ratios
Revenue growth10.3%20.4%18.6%50.6%7.9%

Net Income Margin15.2%18.0%18.9%13.1%11.3%-1.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.4%3.6%2.4%3.5%1.1%-2.4%

ROIC4.3%5.5%6.5%6.5%6.3%-0.2%
ROE12.5%15.4%16.5%15.1%12.3%-2.8%
People
Employees18,337
Revenue/Employee, th. TRY2,758

Peers in Banks


Below you can find Turkiye Garanti Bankasi benchmarking vs. other companies in Banks industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Bank Muscat ($BKM)6.9%8.2%5,513.3%19.2%
Yapi Ve Kredi Bankasi As ($YKBD)25.3%17.8%18.8%51.8%
Finansbank ($FBKD)16.8%19.0%50.1%13.9%
Turk Ekonomi Bankasi As ($TURA)14.6%18.1%2.6%44.8%
Turkiye Is Bankasi ($TIBD)15.8%16.8%18.1%34.0%
 
Median (19 companies)4.8%3.4%4.5%12.2%6.4%
Turkiye Garanti Bankasi ($39IS)20.4%18.6%50.6%7.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Banco Santander Sa ($BNC)10.2%9.1%10.0%14.7%
Bcb Hldgs Ltd ($BCBW)2.5%3.0%7.3%5.9%
Barclays ($BARC)7.1%6.3%5.4%4.9%
Royal Bank Of Scotland Group ($RBS)4.6%5.6%7.1%3.7%
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria Sa ($BVA)6.0%3.3%1.9%2.5%
 
Median (16 companies)2.6%2.0%1.8%1.3%1.2%
Turkiye Garanti Bankasi ($39IS)2.4%3.6%2.4%3.5%1.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Bcb Hldgs Ltd ($BCBW)-8.7%5.7%5.0%34.6%
Commercial Intl Bank(Egypt)S.A.E ($CBKD)30.3%28.0%25.3%25.4%
Komercni Banka ($KMCA)7.4%8.0%9.1%8.7%
Finansbank ($FBKD)3.1%4.3%4.6%5.4%4.7%
Bank Muscat ($BKM)5.0%4.8%6.5%5.4%4.6%
 
Median (34 companies)3.4%4.5%4.4%4.1%4.4%
Turkiye Garanti Bankasi ($39IS)4.3%5.5%6.5%6.5%6.3%