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Local Shopping REIT reports 77.4% revenue decline in FY2019

30 Jan 2020 • About Local Shopping REIT ($LSR) • By InTwits

Local Shopping REIT reported FY2019 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Local Shopping REIT is a company in decline: FY2019 revenue growth was -77.4%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -44.0%
  • EBITDA Margin is relatively stable: in FY2019 vs. -193.6% in FY2018 vs. in FY2015
  • Local Shopping REIT spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for FY2015-FY2019 is 0.0%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was -26.4%
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -10.9%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 2.8x while industry average is 3.3x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Local Shopping REIT's Revenue dropped on 77.4%. During FY2015-FY2019 Revenue growth topped in FY2016 at -8.8% and was decelerating since that time.

Gross Margin dropped on 18.5 pp from 27.5% to 9.0% in FY2019. Gross Margin stuck to a declining trend at -17.7 pp per annum in FY2015-FY2019. SG&A as a % of Revenue surged on 162 pp from 45.0% to 207% in FY2019. SG&A as a % of Revenue pursued a growing trend in the last 5 years.

Net Income margin dropped on 33.7 pp from -212% to -245% in FY2019. Net Income margin stuck to a declining trend at -71.2 pp per annum in FY2015-FY2019.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2019 Local Shopping REIT had CAPEX/Revenue of 0.52%. CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 2.5 pp from 3.0% in FY2016 to 0.52% in FY2019. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 4.9%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-10.9%) and ROE (-10.8%). ROIC increased on 3.1 pp from -14.0% to -10.9% in FY2019. ROE surged on 12.1 pp from -22.9% to -10.8% in FY2019. During FY2015-FY2019 ROIC bottomed in FY2018 at -14.0%.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 30 Nov -0001

Local Shopping REIT ($LSR) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201520162017201820192019/2018
P&L
Revenue7.6646.9896.0233.3810.764-77.4%
Gross Profit5.7045.1274.0550.9300.069-92.6%
SG&A1.6991.7101.7381.5221.5803.8%
EBITDA-6.545
Interest expence3.986
Net Income0.0200.631-0.858-7.154-1.874
Balance Sheet
Cash12.74011.00010.4553.2923.5668.3%
Short Term Debt1.0010.9071.2090.000
Long Term Debt55.34750.20229.8930.0000.350
Cash flow
Capex0.2100.5140.1880.004-97.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth-44.7%-8.8%-13.8%-43.9%-77.4%

Gross Margin74.4%73.4%67.3%27.5%9.0%-18.5%
EBITDA Margin-193.6%
SG&A, % of revenue22.2%24.5%28.9%45.0%206.8%161.8%
Net Income Margin0.3%9.0%-14.2%-211.6%-245.3%-33.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue3.0%8.5%5.6%0.5%-5.0%

ROIC2.5%2.4%2.1%-14.0%-10.9%3.1%
ROE0.1%1.8%-2.4%-22.9%-10.8%12.1%
Interest expence / Average debt7.1%
People
Insider ownership29.3%

Peers in Real Estate Investment Trusts


Below we provide Local Shopping REIT benchmarking against other companies in Real Estate Investment Trusts industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Great Portland Estates ($GPOR)-17.6%83.5%-5.4%217.1%
Segro ($SGRO)-14.3%14.1%18.1%10.2%
Town Centre Securities ($50BF)3.2%11.1%5.1%10.0%
Primary Health Properties ($PHP)5.2%6.9%7.5%9.8%
Shaftesbury ($SHB)8.2%7.6%5.0%9.5%
 
Median (9 companies)4.2%11.1%5.1%9.5%
Local Shopping REIT ($LSR)-8.8%-13.8%-43.9%-77.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Mucklow(A.& J.)Group ($MKLW)277.1%121.8%130.8%274.1%
Segro ($SGRO)242.1%141.2%322.3%269.8%
Hibernia REIT ($HBRN)428.5%277.6%231.8%
Shaftesbury ($SHB)503.7%168.3%273.6%166.7%
British Land Co ($BA45)215.1%165.3%36.3%87.6%
 
Median (7 companies)242.1%153.2%130.8%166.7%
Local Shopping REIT ($LSR)-193.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Hibernia REIT ($HBRN)1,795.1%634.9%304.9%191.3%
Segro ($SGRO)189.5%151.6%136.8%172.7%
Shaftesbury ($SHB)51.6%83.7%61.2%148.3%
Primary Health Properties ($PHP)46.7%144.4%104.0%128.0%
British Land Co ($BA45)59.2%84.6%53.0%55.6%
 
Median (9 companies)59.2%84.6%82.3%55.6%
Local Shopping REIT ($LSR)3.0%8.5%5.6%0.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Mucklow(A.& J.)Group ($MKLW)18.5%8.2%8.7%16.9%
Segro ($SGRO)12.0%7.1%15.9%12.0%
Green REIT ($GRN)14.6%12.3%9.8%10.5%
Hibernia REIT ($HBRN)2.1%16.3%11.6%9.0%
Primary Health Properties ($PHP)9.4%7.2%10.2%7.4%
 
Median (9 companies)12.0%7.5%9.0%7.4%
Local Shopping REIT ($LSR)2.5%2.4%2.1%-14.0%-10.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Town Centre Securities ($50BF)6.2x9.8x13.6x8.4x
British Land Co ($BA45)3.2x3.7x14.8x5.4x
Shaftesbury ($SHB)1.3x4.7x3.0x4.1x
Segro ($SGRO)3.0x4.0x1.8x2.2x
Hibernia REIT ($HBRN)0.4x1.2x1.7x
 
Median (7 companies)3.0x3.9x2.7x2.2x