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Velocity Composites Plc revenue decreased slightly on 0.66% and EBITDA Margin increased on 2.5 pp from -3.4% to -0.90%

28 Jan 2020 • About Velocity Composites Plc ($VEL) • By InTwits

Velocity Composites Plc reported FY2019 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -0.9%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -0.9% in FY2019, -3.4% in FY2018, -0.9% in FY2017, 4.4% in FY2016, 8.0% in FY2015
  • Velocity Composites Plc has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.1%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 3.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: £12m in FY2019, £11m in FY2018, £7m in FY2017, £4m in FY2016, £7m in FY2015
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -6.9%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 3.4x while industry average is 0.1x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Velocity Composites Plc's Revenue decreased slightly on 0.66%. During FY2015-FY2019 Revenue growth topped in FY2017 at 46.2% and was decelerating since that time. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.5 pp from -3.4% to -0.90% in FY2019. EBITDA Margin stuck to a declining trend at -2.6 pp per annum in FY2015-FY2019.

Gross Margin increased on 3.3 pp from 18.3% to 21.7% in FY2019. During FY2015-FY2019 Gross Margin bottomed in FY2018 at 18.3%. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 1.5 pp from 22.8% to 21.3% in FY2019.

Net Income margin increased slightly on 1.4 pp from -4.1% to -2.6% in FY2019. During FY2015-FY2019 Net Income margin bottomed in FY2018 at -4.1%.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


Velocity Composites Plc's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.64% in FY2019. The company's CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from FY2016 to FY2019. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 0.94%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-6.9%) and ROE (-7.1%). ROIC increased on 4.2 pp from -11.1% to -6.9% in FY2019. ROE increased on 3.2 pp from -10.3% to -7.1% in FY2019. During the last 5 years ROIC bottomed in FY2018 at -11.1%. During FY2015-FY2019 ROE bottomed in FY2016 at -36.1% and was growing since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 3.4x and Debt / EBITDA is . Debt increased slightly on 1.0% while cash dropped on 27.5%.

Velocity Composites Plc has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (2,829.8%).

Financial and operational results


FY ended 31 Oct 2019

Velocity Composites Plc ($VEL) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201520162017201820192019/2018
P&L
Revenue14.52814.61421.36924.47824.316-0.7%
Gross Profit3.4833.4793.9314.4875.26917.4%
SG&A2.2153.7703.4815.5745.177-7.1%
EBITDA1.1660.647-0.189-0.834-0.220
Net Income1.016-0.274-0.700-0.994-0.636
Balance Sheet
Cash0.1610.0395.4144.7263.424-27.5%
Short Term Debt0.1140.0920.1450.1160.1214.3%
Long Term Debt0.1980.1060.2110.1710.169-1.2%
Cash flow
Capex0.2500.1200.2710.2200.156-29.1%
Ratios
Revenue growth-4.9%0.6%46.2%14.5%-0.7%
EBITDA growth17.5%-44.5%-129.2%341.3%-73.6%

Gross Margin24.0%23.8%18.4%18.3%21.7%3.3%
EBITDA Margin8.0%4.4%-0.9%-3.4%-0.9%2.5%
SG&A, % of revenue15.2%25.8%16.3%22.8%21.3%-1.5%
Net Income Margin7.0%-1.9%-3.3%-4.1%-2.6%1.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.7%0.8%1.3%0.9%0.6%-0.3%

ROIC93.2%32.2%-7.9%-11.1%-6.9%4.2%
ROE177.3%-36.1%-13.1%-10.3%-7.1%3.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.1x0.2x

Peers in Aerospace & Defense


Below we provide Velocity Composites Plc benchmarking against other companies in Aerospace & Defense industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top  FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Boeing Co ($BOE)5.9%-1.6%-1.2%8.3%
Qinetiq Group ($QQ.)-2.4%-1.1%3.6%6.4%
Chemring Group ($BC88)26.5%14.8%-45.7%12.7%
 
Median (3 companies)0.9%-1.3%4.6%6.4%12.7%
Velocity Composites Plc ($VEL)0.6%46.2%14.5%-0.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top  FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Boeing Co ($BOE)14.6%14.6%18.6%19.4%
 
Median (1 company)25.8%19.9%19.5%19.4%
Velocity Composites Plc ($VEL)24.0%23.8%18.4%18.3%21.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top  FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Qinetiq Group ($QQ.)17.9%13.6%20.6%20.8%
Boeing Co ($BOE)9.7%8.2%13.2%13.9%
Chemring Group ($BC88)11.4%14.6%10.6%4.7%18.1%
 
Median (3 companies)12.1%9.7%12.9%13.9%18.1%
Velocity Composites Plc ($VEL)8.0%4.4%-0.9%-3.4%-0.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top  FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Chemring Group ($BC88)2.2%2.2%2.3%6.3%12.2%
Qinetiq Group ($QQ.)3.2%3.8%3.9%5.5%
Boeing Co ($BOE)2.5%2.8%1.9%1.7%
 
Median (3 companies)2.9%3.3%2.8%5.5%12.2%
Velocity Composites Plc ($VEL)1.7%0.8%1.3%0.9%0.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Boeing Co ($BOE)38.9%38.5%82.7%78.8%
Qinetiq Group ($QQ.)26.8%24.7%29.9%20.6%
Chemring Group ($BC88)1.4%5.8%3.3%-3.7%7.9%
Cobham ($85GU)0.5%-36.8%5.9%
Bae Systems ($BA.)27.9%26.0%18.4%
 
Median (6 companies)21.0%15.3%16.6%20.6%7.9%
Velocity Composites Plc ($VEL)93.2%32.2%-7.9%-11.1%-6.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top  FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Chemring Group ($BC88)3.6x1.3x1.4x5.8x1.2x
Boeing Co ($BOE)-0.1x0.1x0.2x0.4x
Qinetiq Group ($QQ.)-1.3x-2.6x-1.3x-1.5x
 
Median (3 companies)0.4x0.6x0.3x0.4x1.2x