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International Bus Mach Corp Debt jumped on 72.3% while Revenue decreased on 3.1%

21 Jan 2020 • About International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM) • By InTwits

International Bus Mach Corp reported FY2019 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • International Bus Mach Corp is a company in decline: FY2019 revenue growth was -3.1%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -3.6%
  • International Bus Mach Corp has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.1%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 2.3%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: £39m in FY2019, £28m in FY2018, £22m in FY2017, £28m in FY2016, £8m in FY2015
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 13.0%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 3.8x while industry average is -1.8x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


International Bus Mach Corp's Revenue decreased on 3.1%. During the last 5 years Revenue growth topped in FY2018 at 0.57%. EBITDA Margin showed almost no change in FY2019.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 0.89 pp from 46.4% to 47.3% in FY2019. During the last 5 years Gross Margin bottomed in FY2018 at 46.4%. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 2.4 pp from 24.3% to 26.7% in FY2019.

Net Income margin increased slightly on 1.3 pp from 11.0% to 12.2% in FY2019. During the last 5 years Net Income margin bottomed in FY2017 at 7.3% and was growing since that time.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


International Bus Mach Corp's CAPEX/Revenue was 3.1% in FY2019. International Bus Mach Corp showed small CAPEX/Revenue decline of 1.4 pp from 4.5% in FY2016 to 3.1% in FY2019. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 3.8%.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROE (50.1%) while ROIC is a bit lower (13.0%). ROIC decreased on 6.8 pp from 19.8% to 13.0% in FY2019. ROE decreased slightly on 0.64 pp from 50.8% to 50.1% in FY2019. ROIC stuck to a declining trend at -3.5 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 3.8x Net Debt / EBITDA and 4.3x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 2.1x from 1.7x to 3.8x in FY2019. Debt surged on 72.3% while cash dropped on 28.2%.

International Bus Mach Corp has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 80.3% of short term debt.

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 3.8x and P/E 0.1x.

Management team


The company's CEO Virginia M Rometty "Ginni" is a founder and has spent 7 years with the company. International Bus Mach Corp's CFO is James J Kavanaugh "Jim". James J Kavanaugh "Jim" has 2 years tenure at the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 30 Nov -0001

International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201520162017201820192019/2018
P&L
Revenue81,74179,91979,13979,59177,147-3.1%
Gross Profit40,68438,29436,94336,93636,488-1.2%
SG&A20,43021,06919,68019,36620,6046.4%
EBITDA18,86215,85516,21416,67115,954-4.3%
EBIT15,00711,47411,67312,191
Interest expence468630615723
Tax2,5814495,6422,619
Net Income13,19011,8725,7538,7289,4318.1%
Stock Based Compensation468544534510
Balance Sheet
Cash7,6867,82611,97211,3798,172-28.2%
Inventory1,5511,5531,5831,682
Accounts Payable6,0286,2096,4516,558
Short Term Debt6,4617,5136,98710,20710,177-0.3%
Long Term Debt25,48326,81133,36629,34457,98197.6%
Cash flow
Capex3,5793,5673,2293,3952,370-30.2%
Dividends4,8975,2565,5065,666
Acquisitions3,3495,679496139
Ratios
Revenue growth-11.9%-2.2%-1.0%0.6%-3.1%
EBITDA growth-15.3%-15.9%2.3%2.8%-4.3%

Gross Margin49.8%47.9%46.7%46.4%47.3%0.9%
EBITDA Margin23.1%19.8%20.5%20.9%20.7%-0.3%
EBIT Margin18.4%14.4%14.7%15.3%
SG&A, % of revenue25.0%26.4%24.9%24.3%26.7%2.4%
SBC, % of revenue0.6%0.7%0.7%0.6%
Net Income Margin16.1%14.9%7.3%11.0%12.2%1.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.4%4.5%4.1%4.3%3.1%-1.2%

ROIC29.7%21.5%19.5%19.8%13.0%-6.8%
ROE101.0%73.0%32.1%50.8%50.1%-0.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.3x1.7x1.8x1.7x3.8x2.1x
Interest expence / Average debt1.5%1.9%1.6%1.8%
People
Insider ownership0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
Employees377,757380,300366,600350,600
Revenue/Employee, th. $216210216227

Peers in Software & Computer Services


Below we provide International Bus Mach Corp benchmarking against other companies in Software & Computer Services industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Actual Experience ($ACT)23.4%2.3%-49.1%195.1%
Micro Focus International ($MCRO)92.7%49.2%29.3%128.8%
Proactis Holdings ($PHD)69.6%12.5%31.1%105.6%
Zoo Digital Group ($ZOO)19.9%1.5%41.7%73.2%
Sanderson Group ($SND)16.9%11.1%1.1%48.7%
 
Median (16 companies)7.2%12.2%14.1%26.9%11.7%
International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM)-2.2%-1.0%0.6%-3.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Netcall ($NET)90.9%91.2%91.7%90.2%
Proactis Holdings ($PHD)80.4%82.4%86.0%88.6%
Sanderson Group ($SND)84.5%84.1%82.2%79.6%
Dotdigital Group ($DOTD)89.3%87.4%86.1%78.9%
Micro Focus International ($MCRO)89.0%89.1%77.2%73.0%
 
Median (16 companies)60.2%60.8%57.6%43.4%71.2%
International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM)49.8%47.9%46.7%46.4%47.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Micro Focus International ($MCRO)31.6%40.9%38.9%27.5%
Dotdigital Group ($DOTD)32.0%30.4%31.7%26.9%
Proactis Holdings ($PHD)26.4%23.7%3.7%25.4%
Oxford Metrics ($OMG)28.4%23.1%19.9%23.5%21.3%
Sanderson Group ($SND)20.2%19.9%19.3%17.4%
 
Median (16 companies)12.3%10.3%10.9%9.7%21.3%
International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM)23.1%19.8%20.5%20.9%20.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Csf Group ($CSFG)7.1%4.9%8.5%16.5%
Oxford Metrics ($OMG)2.4%1.8%5.8%3.9%1.3%
Unisys Corp ($USY)5.0%3.0%4.1%3.8%
Actual Experience ($ACT)6.0%39.9%48.7%3.6%
Proactis Holdings ($PHD)1.3%0.9%0.3%2.1%
 
Median (16 companies)1.0%1.1%1.2%0.9%1.3%
International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM)4.4%4.5%4.1%4.3%3.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Triad Group ($TRD)61.5%74.4%61.1%41.0%
Rm ($RM.)289.2%254.7%73.8%39.0%
Dotdigital Group ($DOTD)31.4%28.9%29.3%26.6%
Oxford Metrics ($OMG)14.6%16.3%12.7%16.4%14.7%
Sanderson Group ($SND)10.6%12.0%11.2%10.7%
 
Median (18 companies)4.3%7.1%5.6%5.6%7.2%
International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM)29.7%21.5%19.5%19.8%13.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Micro Focus International ($MCRO)5.3x2.1x6.6x4.2x
Proactis Holdings ($PHD)-0.3x0.1x1.0x2.5x
Zoo Digital Group ($ZOO)38.3x3.2x0.9x
Netcall ($NET)-3.4x-4.3x-4.3x0.3x
Rm ($RM.)-2.2x-2.2x0.7x0.2x
 
Median (13 companies)-0.5x-0.9x-0.5x-0.4x-1.8x
International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM)1.3x1.7x1.8x1.7x3.8x