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Tongaat Hulett Ltd CAPEX dropped on 47.2% and Revenue increased slightly on 0.51%

10 Dec 2019 • About Tongaat Hulett Ltd ($THL) • By InTwits

Tongaat Hulett Ltd reported FY2019 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Tongaat Hulett Ltd has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 8.1%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 5.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 1,089 ZARm in FY2019, 2,061 ZARm in FY2018, 1,069 ZARm in FY2017, 1,824 ZARm in FY2016, 808 ZARm in FY2015
  • The company has business model with average profitability: ROIC is 11.4%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 5.6x while industry average is 4.2x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Tongaat Hulett Ltd's Revenue increased slightly on 0.51%. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 3.1 pp from 23.7% to 20.6% in FY2019. During the last 5 years EBITDA Margin topped in FY2017 at 19.3% and was declining since that time.

Gross Margin increased on 6.5 pp from 20.6% to 27.1% in FY2019. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 7.4 pp from 13.1% to 20.5% in FY2019.

Net Income margin dropped on 10.4 pp from 4.2% to -6.2% in FY2019.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2019 Tongaat Hulett Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 6.4%. CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 4.6 pp from 10.9% in FY2016 to 6.4% in FY2019. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 8.2%. Tongaat Hulett Ltd maintained rich investment policy and has spent a big chunk of EBITDA (58.5%) to CAPEX.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 5.6x Net Debt / EBITDA and 6.1x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 3.3x from 2.3x to 5.6x in FY2019. Debt jumped on 19.0% while cash dropped on 63.9%.

Tongaat Hulett Ltd has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 8.4% of short term debt.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 31 Mar 2019

Tongaat Hulett Ltd ($THL) key annual financial indicators

mln. ZAR201520162017201820192019/2018
P&L
Revenue16,15516,67617,91516,98217,0690.5%
Gross Profit3,6233,3224,1013,4974,62232.2%
SG&A1,9482,1012,0742,2313,49856.8%
EBITDA2,6692,9223,4552,9651,860-37.3%
Net Income989716983713-1,063-249.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,6681,8772,7412,662962-63.9%
Short Term Debt1,8503,5633,0564,56411,438150.6%
Long Term Debt4,7104,3964,9755,0480-100.0%
Cash flow
Capex8081,8241,0692,0611,089-47.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth2.8%3.2%7.4%-5.2%0.5%
EBITDA growth-10.5%9.5%18.2%-14.2%-37.3%

Gross Margin22.4%19.9%22.9%20.6%27.1%6.5%
EBITDA Margin16.5%17.5%19.3%17.5%10.9%-6.6%
SG&A, % of revenue12.1%12.6%11.6%13.1%20.5%7.4%
Net Income Margin6.1%4.3%5.5%4.2%-6.2%-10.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue5.0%10.9%6.0%12.1%6.4%-5.8%

ROIC9.7%6.9%9.8%8.3%11.4%3.1%
ROE8.8%5.7%8.2%6.8%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.8x2.1x1.5x2.3x5.6x3.3x

Peers in Food Producers


Below we provide Tongaat Hulett Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Food Producers industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Real Good Food ($RGD)-5.1%-4.0%7.3%20.5%
Wynnstay Group ($WYN)-8.7%-2.4%6.1%18.4%
Carr'S Milling Industries ($CRM)-22.8%-4.9%9.9%16.5%
Zambeef Products ($ZAM)52.8%2.5%14.2%12.7%
Cherkizovo Group OJSC ($CHE)11.1%7.0%9.8%11.0%
 
Median (10 companies)-1.9%0.5%7.0%8.7%12.7%
Tongaat Hulett Ltd ($THL)3.2%7.4%-5.2%0.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Unilever ($ULVR)42.2%42.7%43.1%43.6%
Produce Investments ($PIL)36.4%37.9%35.7%37.8%
Zambeef Products ($ZAM)43.2%36.3%32.9%35.0%34.2%
Cherkizovo Group OJSC ($CHE)24.9%21.7%26.0%25.0%
Real Good Food ($RGD)24.4%26.6%24.4%19.2%
 
Median (9 companies)24.9%26.8%26.0%19.2%34.2%
Tongaat Hulett Ltd ($THL)22.4%19.9%22.9%20.6%27.1%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Unilever ($ULVR)16.8%18.0%19.8%28.1%
Cherkizovo Group OJSC ($CHE)14.7%12.0%16.7%21.6%
Tate & Lyle ($BD15)6.1%10.3%13.9%16.4%
Kerry Group ($KYGA)13.8%13.0%12.3%13.3%
Zambeef Products ($ZAM)14.7%9.7%5.3%8.1%9.0%
 
Median (11 companies)10.4%10.0%12.3%5.1%9.0%
Tongaat Hulett Ltd ($THL)16.5%17.5%19.3%17.5%10.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Cherkizovo Group OJSC ($CHE)12.2%10.4%10.9%9.1%
Real Good Food ($RGD)1.4%6.4%10.0%8.4%
Zambeef Products ($ZAM)15.9%2.1%6.4%5.4%3.6%
Kerry Group ($KYGA)4.1%3.7%4.7%4.5%
Tate & Lyle ($BD15)5.2%7.6%4.6%4.1%
 
Median (11 companies)4.1%3.5%4.6%2.8%3.6%
Tongaat Hulett Ltd ($THL)5.0%10.9%6.0%12.1%6.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Unilever ($ULVR)26.0%24.3%24.6%31.6%
Tate & Lyle ($BD15)1.8%7.2%12.1%14.4%
Cherkizovo Group OJSC ($CHE)8.9%5.6%10.2%13.3%
Origin Enterprises ($OGN)20.1%15.3%11.1%13.0%
Kerry Group ($KYGA)15.8%12.8%11.9%11.3%
 
Median (13 companies)8.9%8.1%7.3%9.9%4.2%
Tongaat Hulett Ltd ($THL)9.7%6.9%9.8%8.3%11.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Cherkizovo Group OJSC ($CHE)3.1x3.8x3.2x2.7x
Zambeef Products ($ZAM)3.0x2.1x4.0x2.0x2.7x
Kerry Group ($KYGA)2.2x1.9x1.8x2.0x
Unilever ($ULVR)1.4x1.4x2.0x1.5x
Tate & Lyle ($BD15)4.0x1.8x1.1x0.9x
 
Median (8 companies)1.6x1.4x2.0x1.2x2.7x
Tongaat Hulett Ltd ($THL)1.8x2.1x1.5x2.3x5.6x