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Nexus Infrastructure Plc Net Income dropped on 42.8% while Revenue jumped on 14.9%

10 Dec 2019 • About Nexus Infrastructure Plc ($NEXS) • By InTwits

Nexus Infrastructure Plc reported FY2019 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Nexus Infrastructure Plc has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.2%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 1.3%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: £2m in FY2019, £1m in FY2018, £4m in FY2017, £1m in FY2016, £1m in FY2015
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 18.5%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Nexus Infrastructure Plc's Revenue surged on 14.9%. During FY2015-FY2019 Revenue growth bottomed in FY2017 at -0.51% and was accelerating since that time. Revenue growth was financed by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 2.7 pp from 8.0% to 5.3% in FY2019.

Gross Margin decreased on 2.5 pp from 20.5% to 18.0% in FY2019. During FY2015-FY2019 Gross Margin topped in FY2018 at 20.5%. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.65 pp from 13.5% to 14.1% in FY2019. SG&A as a % of Revenue stuck to a growing trend at 1.1 pp per annum in FY2015-FY2019. Stock Based Compensation (SBC) as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2019.

Net Income margin decreased on 2.7 pp from 5.4% to 2.7% in FY2019. The efficient tax rate was 26.8% in FY2019.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2019 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.3%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 0.53 pp from 0.77% in FY2016 to 1.3% in FY2019. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.6%.

Inventories as a % of Revenue decreased on 2.2 pp from 2.5% to 0.24% in FY2019.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROIC (18.5%) and ROE (18.5%). ROIC dropped on 12.4 pp from 30.9% to 18.5% in FY2019. ROE dropped on 19.1 pp from 37.6% to 18.5% in FY2019. ROIC stuck to a declining trend at -7.7 pp per annum in FY2015-FY2019. During FY2015-FY2019 ROE topped in FY2016 at 56.7% and was declining since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -2.2x and Debt / EBITDA is 1.1x. Debt surged on 33.7% while cash increased on 3.6%.

Nexus Infrastructure Plc has good short term financial stability: Interest coverage ratio (ICR) is 17.7x. Nexus Infrastructure Plc has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (790.7%).

Average interest expence charged on company's debt was 3.6% in FY2019.

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 6.5x and P/E 17.1x.

The company paid 71.9% of Net Income as dividends in FY2019.

Management team


Insider ownership is 26.6%. Insider ownership didn't change in 2019.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 30 Nov -0001

Nexus Infrastructure Plc ($NEXS) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201520162017201820192019/2018
P&L
Revenue130.9135.7135.0134.9155.114.9%
Gross Profit20.626.327.227.627.91.0%
SG&A12.515.917.918.221.920.5%
EBITDA9.311.610.710.88.2-24.1%
EBIT9.46.0-36.5%
Interest expence0.50.3-26.6%
Tax1.91.5-20.2%
Net Income6.38.45.87.34.2-42.8%
Stock Based Compensation-0.10.6
Balance Sheet
Cash27.734.027.126.427.43.6%
Inventory3.30.4-88.6%
Short Term Debt1.02.62.72.43.542.4%
Long Term Debt0.28.87.04.65.929.1%
Cash flow
Capex0.61.14.10.82.0148.0%
Dividends2.03.050.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth20.8%3.7%-0.5%-0.1%14.9%
EBITDA growth27.0%25.2%-7.8%0.3%-24.1%

Gross Margin15.8%19.4%20.2%20.5%18.0%-2.5%
EBITDA Margin7.1%8.6%7.9%8.0%5.3%-2.7%
EBIT Margin7.0%3.9%-3.1%
SG&A, % of revenue9.6%11.7%13.3%13.5%14.1%0.7%
SBC, % of revenue-0.0%0.4%0.4%
Net Income Margin4.8%6.2%4.3%5.4%2.7%-2.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.4%0.8%3.0%0.6%1.3%0.7%

ROIC49.5%45.3%32.5%30.9%18.5%-12.4%
ROE44.5%56.7%38.4%37.6%18.5%-19.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA-2.9x-1.9x-1.6x-1.8x-2.2x-0.4x
Interest expence / Average debt5.5%3.6%-1.9%
People
Insider ownership26.6%26.6%0.0%
Employees886
Revenue/Employee, th. £152

Peers in Construction & Engineering


Below we provide Nexus Infrastructure Plc benchmarking against other companies in Construction & Engineering industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top  FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Larsen & Toubro ($LTOD)6.0%11.7%7.6%9.5%
Electrosteel Castings ($ECS)1.5%-8.2%-5.7%3.6%
Hindustan Construction Co ($HIN)7.9%-17.5%15.5%2.7%
 
Median (3 companies)6.0%-8.2%7.6%3.6%
Nexus Infrastructure Plc ($NEXS)3.7%-0.5%-0.1%14.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top  FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Larsen & Toubro ($LTOD)12.8%10.5%10.3%16.6%
Electrosteel Castings ($ECS)12.8%12.3%13.9%11.9%
Hindustan Construction Co ($HIN)12.0%13.5%7.9%7.7%
 
Median (3 companies)12.8%12.3%10.3%11.9%
Nexus Infrastructure Plc ($NEXS)7.1%8.6%7.9%8.0%5.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top  FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Larsen & Toubro ($LTOD)7.0%4.3%2.8%2.4%
Electrosteel Castings ($ECS)5.8%1.7%1.5%1.4%
Hindustan Construction Co ($HIN)9.2%1.1%2.5%0.0%
 
Median (3 companies)7.0%1.7%2.5%1.4%
Nexus Infrastructure Plc ($NEXS)0.4%0.8%3.0%0.6%1.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top  FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Hindustan Construction Co ($HIN)7.4%8.9%8.2%11.7%
Larsen & Toubro ($LTOD)6.8%6.3%6.1%11.0%
Electrosteel Castings ($ECS)5.0%4.6%4.6%4.5%
 
Median (3 companies)6.8%6.3%6.1%11.0%
Nexus Infrastructure Plc ($NEXS)49.5%45.3%32.5%30.9%18.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top  FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Larsen & Toubro ($LTOD)7.4x7.9x8.0x5.1x
Hindustan Construction Co ($HIN)9.3x6.4x8.5x4.9x
Electrosteel Castings ($ECS)8.0x6.9x5.2x4.6x
 
Median (3 companies)8.0x6.9x8.0x4.9x
Nexus Infrastructure Plc ($NEXS)-2.9x-1.9x-1.6x-1.8x-2.2x