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Victrex reports 129% CAPEX growth in 2019 while 9.8% Revenue decline

05 Dec 2019 • About Victrex ($VCT) • By InTwits

Victrex reported FY2019 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Victrex has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 8.5%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 10.2%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: £23m in FY2019, £10m in FY2018, £17m in FY2017, £26m in FY2016, £41m in FY2015
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 21.0%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 9.8%. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 3.1 pp from 44.4% to 41.3% in FY2019.

Gross Margin decreased on 3.8 pp from 63.8% to 60.0% in FY2019. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2019. During FY2015-FY2019 SG&A as a % of Revenue topped in FY2017 at 25.1% and was declining since that time. Stock Based Compensation (SBC) as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2019.

Net Income margin decreased on 2.5 pp from 33.9% to 31.4% in FY2019. During the last 5 years Net Income margin topped in FY2017 at 34.3% and was declining since that time. The efficient tax rate was 11.7% in FY2019.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


Victrex's CAPEX/Revenue was 7.7% in FY2019. Victrex showed decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 2.5 pp from 10.3% in FY2016 to 7.7% in FY2019. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 5.5%. During FY2015-FY2019 CAPEX as a % of Revenue bottomed in FY2018 at 3.0%.

Inventories as a % of Revenue surged on 10.1 pp from 21.3% to 31.4% in FY2019.

Victrex has spent £12m on M&A in FY2019 which accounts for 4.0% of revenue.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROIC (21.0%) while ROE is a bit lower (19.4%). ROIC decreased on 4.3 pp from 25.3% to 21.0% in FY2019. ROE decreased on 3.4 pp from 22.8% to 19.4% in FY2019. ROIC stuck to a declining trend at -1.7 pp per annum in FY2015-FY2019.

Leverage (Debt)


The company has no debt. Cash increased slightly on 1.8%.

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 16.4x and P/E 22.4x.

The company paid 132.0% of Net Income as dividends in FY2019.

Management team


Victrex's CEO is Jakob Sigurdsson. Jakob Sigurdsson has 2 years tenure with the company. CEO total compensation was £763,672 in FY2019 which included £545,000 salary. Richard Armitage is a Victrex's CFO. Richard Armitage has spent 1 year at the company.

At the end of financial year the company had 3.0% shares owned by insiders. Insider ownership didn't change in 2019.

At the end of financial year the company had 973 employees. The number of employees jumped on 11.3%. Average revenue per employee in FY2019 was £302,158 and it dropped on 19.0%.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 30 Sep 2019

Victrex ($VCT) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201520162017201820192019/2018
P&L
Revenue263.5252.3290.2326.0294.0-9.8%
Gross Profit168.2158.7183.8208.0176.3-15.2%
SG&A24.058.472.781.172.2-11.0%
EBITDA119.2115.9128.7144.9121.5-16.1%
EBIT126.9104.1-18.0%
Tax16.912.3-27.2%
Net Income83.582.599.5110.692.4-16.5%
Stock Based Compensation2.62.1-19.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash53.864.0120.171.272.51.8%
Inventory69.392.233.0%
Short Term Debt0.00.00.00.00.0
Long Term Debt0.00.00.00.00.0
Cash flow
Capex41.225.916.79.922.7129.3%
Dividends106.0122.015.1%
Acquisitions11.8
Ratios
Revenue growth4.3%-4.3%15.0%12.3%-9.8%
EBITDA growth6.2%-2.8%11.0%12.6%-16.1%

Gross Margin63.8%62.9%63.3%63.8%60.0%-3.8%
EBITDA Margin45.2%45.9%44.3%44.4%41.3%-3.1%
EBIT Margin38.9%35.4%-3.5%
SG&A, % of revenue9.1%23.1%25.1%24.9%24.6%-0.3%
SBC, % of revenue0.8%0.7%-0.1%
Net Income Margin31.7%32.7%34.3%33.9%31.4%-2.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue15.6%10.3%5.8%3.0%7.7%4.7%

ROIC28.9%26.0%24.9%25.3%21.0%-4.3%
ROE23.5%22.1%22.9%22.8%19.4%-3.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.5x-0.6x-0.9x-0.5x-0.6x-0.1x
People
Insider ownership3.0%3.0%0.0%
Employees87497311.3%
Revenue/Employee, th. £373302-19.0%

Peers in Chemicals


Below we provide Victrex benchmarking against other companies in Chemicals industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top  FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Hardide ($HDD)-0.9%-28.7%51.3%42.3%
Plastics Capital ($PLA)21.9%28.4%29.5%16.6%
Lg Chem ($LGCD)-10.5%2.2%24.4%9.7%
 
Median (3 companies)-0.9%-15.7%16.6%16.6%
Victrex ($VCT)-4.3%15.0%12.3%-9.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top  FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Hardide ($HDD)32.0%49.1%52.3%
Plastics Capital ($PLA)35.3%33.2%32.1%31.4%
Lg Chem ($LGCD)18.1%19.7%21.6%19.0%
 
Median (3 companies)39.5%33.2%38.1%31.4%
Victrex ($VCT)63.8%62.9%63.3%63.8%60.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top  FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Lg Chem ($LGCD)15.2%16.1%16.9%13.2%
Plastics Capital ($PLA)13.3%9.5%8.9%8.6%
Hardide ($HDD)-49.1%-22.7%-11.9%
 
Median (3 companies)23.1%18.6%23.3%8.6%
Victrex ($VCT)45.2%45.9%44.3%44.4%41.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top  FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Hardide ($HDD)26.2%4.7%19.2%
Lg Chem ($LGCD)8.1%6.8%8.8%15.0%
Plastics Capital ($PLA)2.5%4.5%5.3%4.8%
 
Median (3 companies)8.2%7.8%7.5%15.0%
Victrex ($VCT)15.6%10.3%5.8%3.0%7.7%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Lg Chem ($LGCD)11.6%12.0%16.0%10.7%
Plastics Capital ($PLA)6.8%4.3%7.2%6.7%
Hardide ($HDD)-35.4%-32.1%-21.6%
Halosource Inc ($HALO)-37.2%-104.9%
Croda International ($50GP)30.5%27.7%27.5%
 
Median (9 companies)15.4%12.7%14.3%6.7%
Victrex ($VCT)28.9%26.0%24.9%25.3%21.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top  FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Plastics Capital ($PLA)2.2x2.3x2.8x2.3x
Lg Chem ($LGCD)0.3x0.4x0.2x0.8x
 
Median (2 companies)1.3x1.5x2.0x1.5x
Victrex ($VCT)-0.5x-0.6x-0.9x-0.5x-0.6x