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Kerry Group reports 12.0% EBITDA growth in 2018 and 1.1 pp EBITDA Margin growth from 12.3% to 13.3%

19 Feb 2019 • About Kerry Group ($KYGA) • By InTwits

Kerry Group reported 2018 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • EBITDA Margin is relatively stable: 13.3% in 2018 vs. 12.3% in 2017 vs. 12.5% in 2014
  • Kerry Group has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.3%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 4.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 226 TRYm in 2018, 164 TRYm in 2017, 180 TRYm in 2016, 240 TRYm in 2015, 717 TRYm in 2014
  • The company has business model with average profitability: ROIC is 11.3%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased on 3.1%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.4 pp from 24.6% to 26.0% in 2018.

Net Income margin decreased slightly on 1.0 pp from 9.2% to 8.2% in 2018. During the last 5 years Net Income margin topped in 2017 at 9.2%. The efficient tax rate was 12.5% in 2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


Kerry Group's CAPEX/Revenue was 4.5% in 2018. CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from 2015 to 2018. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.3%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (14.2%) while ROIC is low (11.3%). ROIC decreased slightly on 0.66 pp from 11.9% to 11.3% in 2018. ROE decreased on 3.4 pp from 17.7% to 14.2% in 2018. ROIC declined at -1.4 pp per annum in 2014-2018. ROE declined at -2.1 pp per annum in 2014-2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 2.0x and Debt / EBITDA is 2.4x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 0.1x from 1.8x to 2.0x in 2018. Debt surged on 22.5% while cash surged on 32.4%.

Kerry Group has good short term financial stability: Interest coverage ratio (ICR) is 10.4x. Kerry Group has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (2,998.6%).

Average interest expence charged on company's debt was 3.1% in 2018.

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 2.1x and P/E 0.3x.

The company paid 21.1% of Net Income as dividends in 2018.

Management team


Kerry Group's CEO Edmond Scanlon has spent 2 years with the company. CEO total compensation was €2,577,000 in 2018 which included €1,050,000 salary and €948,000 annual bonus. The company's CFO Marguerite Larkin has spent 1 year with the company.

At the end of financial year the company had 0.074% shares owned by insiders.

The company has 25,255 employees. Average revenue per employee in 2018 was €261,635.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 31 Dec 2018

Kerry Group ($KYGA) key annual financial indicators

mln. €201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue5,7576,1056,1316,4086,6083.1%
EBITDA72084079878587912.0%
EBIT691
Interest expence66
Tax77
Net Income480525533589541-8.2%
Stock Based Compensation12
Balance Sheet
Cash28423656531341432.4%
Accounts Receivable968
Inventory878
Accounts Payable1,482
Short Term Debt3033819313143.8%
Long Term Debt1,2712,0121,8671,7282,12022.6%
Cash flow
Capex274252224301296-1.7%
Dividends114
Ratios
Revenue growth-1.4%6.1%0.4%4.5%3.1%
EBITDA growth144.5%16.7%-5.0%-1.6%12.0%

EBITDA Margin12.5%13.8%13.0%12.3%13.3%1.1%
EBIT Margin10.5%
SBC, % of revenue0.2%
Net Income Margin8.3%8.6%8.7%9.2%8.2%-1.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.8%4.1%3.7%4.7%4.5%-0.2%

ROIC16.6%15.8%12.8%11.9%11.3%-0.7%
ROE22.8%20.9%18.1%17.7%14.2%-3.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.8x2.2x1.9x1.8x2.0x0.1x
Interest expence / Average debt3.1%
People
Insider ownership0.1%
Employees25,255
Revenue/Employee, th. €262

Peers in Food Producers


Below you can find Kerry Group benchmarking vs. other companies in Food Producers industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Ukrproduct Group ($UKR)-38.9%-36.8%0.2%51.2%
Narborough Plantations ($NBP)3.5%0.5%38.2%
R.E.A.Hldgs ($RE.B)13.9%-28.1%-12.4%26.5%
Tate & Lyle ($BD15)-15.0%0.6%16.9%-1.6%
Mhp Sa ($MHPC)-14.2%-4.0%13.4%
 
Median (19 companies)4.3%-5.1%0.6%7.3%8.7%
Kerry Group ($KYGA)6.1%0.4%4.5%3.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Narborough Plantations ($NBP)59.7%54.6%56.1%63.0%
Walcom Group Ltd ($WALG)62.2%60.5%58.8%54.6%
Kakuzi ($KAKU)33.0%49.2%46.4%44.7%
Unilever ($ULVR)41.4%42.2%42.7%43.1%43.6%
Produce Investments ($PIL)33.5%36.4%37.9%35.7%37.8%
 
Median (18 companies)32.5%24.6%26.6%25.2%19.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Narborough Plantations ($NBP)39.6%37.4%40.8%48.6%
Mhp Sa ($MHPC)37.0%38.8%37.0%35.3%
Kakuzi ($KAKU)11.8%29.4%31.8%32.7%
R.E.A.Hldgs ($RE.B)33.2%31.1%22.9%20.7%
Unilever ($ULVR)19.4%16.8%18.0%19.8%28.1%
 
Median (19 companies)8.9%10.4%10.0%13.7%5.1%
Kerry Group ($KYGA)12.5%13.8%13.0%12.3%13.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
R.E.A.Hldgs ($RE.B)11.8%17.4%39.3%32.8%
Ros Agro ($AGRO)7.3%15.3%19.7%21.9%
Cherkizovo Group OJSC ($CHE)9.7%12.2%10.4%10.9%9.1%
Kakuzi ($KAKU)22.0%24.9%13.7%10.3%
Real Good Food ($RGD)6.3%1.4%6.4%10.0%8.4%
 
Median (19 companies)4.1%5.0%4.9%4.6%2.8%
Kerry Group ($KYGA)4.8%4.1%3.7%4.7%4.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Unilever ($ULVR)29.9%26.0%24.3%24.6%31.6%
Mhp Sa ($MHPC)17.6%17.6%16.1%17.6%
Kakuzi ($KAKU)4.3%17.4%15.8%15.6%
Tate & Lyle ($BD15)13.2%1.8%7.2%12.1%14.4%
Origin Enterprises ($OGN)16.9%20.1%15.3%11.1%13.0%
 
Median (20 companies)11.6%8.9%7.9%7.3%8.4%
Kerry Group ($KYGA)16.6%15.8%12.8%11.9%11.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Avangardco Investments Public Ltd ($AVGR)1.7x241.4x29.9x
R.E.A.Hldgs ($RE.B)3.9x7.2x10.6x10.8x
Ukrproduct Group ($UKR)3.4x17.7x6.2x
Zambeef Products ($ZAM)4.8x3.0x2.1x4.0x2.0x
Ros Agro ($AGRO)0.6x1.8x1.9x3.7x
 
Median (17 companies)1.4x1.6x1.4x2.0x1.2x
Kerry Group ($KYGA)1.8x2.2x1.9x1.8x2.0x