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Cherkizovo Group OJSC Net Income jumped on 107% and Revenue surged on 11.0%

14 Feb 2019 • About Cherkizovo Group OJSC ($CHE) • By InTwits

Cherkizovo Group OJSC reported 2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Cherkizovo Group OJSC is a growth stock: 2018 revenue growth was 11.0%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 13.7% at 2018 ROIC 13.3%
  • Cherkizovo Group OJSC has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 10.5%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 6.2%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹3,588m in FY2018, ₹1,382m in FY2017, ₹1,545m in FY2016, ₹1,792m in FY2015, ₹2,037m in FY2014
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 13.3%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 11.0%. During 2014-2018 Revenue growth bottomed in 2016 at 7.0% and was accelerating since that time. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 7.6 pp from 19.7% to 12.1% in FY2018. During the last 5 years EBITDA Margin bottomed in 2016 at 12.0% and was growing since that time.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 1.0 pp from 26.0% to 25.0% in 2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 0.96 pp from 14.8% to 13.8% in 2018. During 2014-2018 SG&A as a % of Revenue topped in 2016 at 15.2% and was declining since that time.

Net Income margin increased on 5.5 pp from 6.4% to 12.0% in 2018. During 2014-2018 Net Income margin bottomed in 2016 at 2.3% and was growing since that time.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 9.1% in 2018. CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 3.1 pp from 12.2% in 2015 to 9.1% in 2018. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 10.2%.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROE (21.5%) while ROIC is a bit lower (13.3%). ROIC increased on 3.1 pp from 10.2% to 13.3% in 2018. ROE jumped on 10.4 pp from 11.1% to 21.5% in 2018. During the last 5 years ROIC bottomed in 2016 at 5.6% and was growing since that time. During 2014-2018 ROE bottomed in 2016 at 3.7% and was growing since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 2.7x Net Debt / EBITDA and 3.2x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.5x from 3.2x to 2.7x in 2018. Debt surged on 38.0% while cash surged on 1,264%. During the last 5 years Net Debt/EBITDA topped in 2016 at 3.8x and was declining since that time.

Cherkizovo Group OJSC has good short term financial stability: Interest coverage ratio (ICR) is 4.6x. Cherkizovo Group OJSC has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 40.4% of short term debt.

Average interest expence paid by the company was 4.9% in 2018.
The company paid 32.7% of Net Income as dividends in 2018.

Management team


Cherkizovo Group OJSC's CEO Sergey Mikhailov has spent 4 years with the company. Ludmila Mikhailova is a the company's CFO. Ludmila Mikhailova has spent 4 years at the company.

The company has 23,496 employees. Average revenue per employee in 2018 was 4,274,004 RUB.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 31 Dec 2018

Cherkizovo Group OJSC ($CHE) key annual financial indicators

mln. RUB201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue69,35277,03382,41790,465100,42211.0%
Gross Profit22,94719,14917,85523,55925,1046.6%
SG&A9,65611,57512,56213,36313,8653.8%
EBITDA16,94511,3619,91715,10021,65743.4%
EBIT15,612
Interest expence3,375
Tax-187
Net Income13,3526,0071,9195,80012,004107.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,0435,5611,0027059,6131,264.2%
Accounts Receivable5,733
Inventory27,824
Accounts Payable10,830
Short Term Debt13,94524,73013,82418,99523,79825.3%
Long Term Debt14,79116,11924,47030,60344,64345.9%
Cash flow
Capex6,7589,4158,5709,8829,182-7.1%
Dividends3,922
Ratios
Revenue growth31.5%11.1%7.0%9.8%11.0%
EBITDA growth194.6%-33.0%-12.7%52.3%43.4%

Gross Margin33.1%24.9%21.7%26.0%25.0%-1.0%
EBITDA Margin24.4%14.7%12.0%16.7%21.6%4.9%
EBIT Margin15.5%
SG&A, % of revenue13.9%15.0%15.2%14.8%13.8%-1.0%
Net Income Margin19.3%7.8%2.3%6.4%12.0%5.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue9.7%12.2%10.4%10.9%9.1%-1.8%

ROIC22.4%8.9%5.6%10.2%13.3%3.1%
ROE40.3%12.4%3.7%11.1%21.5%10.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.6x3.1x3.8x3.2x2.7x-0.5x
Interest coverage ratio (ICR)4.6x
Interest expence / Average debt4.9%
People
Employees23,496
Revenue/Employee, th. RUB4,274

Peers in Food Producers


Below you can find Cherkizovo Group OJSC benchmarking vs. other companies in Food Producers industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Ukrproduct Group ($UKR)-38.9%-36.8%0.2%51.2%
Narborough Plantations ($NBP)3.5%0.5%38.2%
R.E.A.Hldgs ($RE.B)13.9%-28.1%-12.4%26.5%
Tate & Lyle ($BD15)-15.0%0.6%16.9%-1.6%
Mhp Sa ($MHPC)-14.2%-4.0%13.4%
 
Median (19 companies)2.0%-5.1%0.5%7.0%6.5%
Cherkizovo Group OJSC ($CHE)11.1%7.0%9.8%11.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Narborough Plantations ($NBP)59.7%54.6%56.1%63.0%
Walcom Group Ltd ($WALG)62.2%60.5%58.8%54.6%
Kakuzi ($KAKU)33.0%49.2%46.4%44.7%
Unilever ($ULVR)41.4%42.2%42.7%43.1%43.6%
Produce Investments ($PIL)33.5%36.4%37.9%35.7%37.8%
 
Median (17 companies)29.6%24.4%26.8%24.4%19.2%
Cherkizovo Group OJSC ($CHE)33.1%24.9%21.7%26.0%25.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Narborough Plantations ($NBP)39.6%37.4%40.8%48.6%
Mhp Sa ($MHPC)37.0%38.8%37.0%35.3%
Kakuzi ($KAKU)11.8%29.4%31.8%32.7%
R.E.A.Hldgs ($RE.B)33.2%31.1%22.9%20.7%
Unilever ($ULVR)19.4%16.8%18.0%19.8%28.1%
 
Median (19 companies)8.9%10.4%10.0%12.3%4.8%
Cherkizovo Group OJSC ($CHE)24.4%14.7%12.0%16.7%21.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
R.E.A.Hldgs ($RE.B)11.8%17.4%39.3%32.8%
Ros Agro ($AGRO)7.3%15.3%19.7%21.9%
Kakuzi ($KAKU)22.0%24.9%13.7%10.3%
Real Good Food ($RGD)6.3%1.4%6.4%10.0%8.4%
Mhp Sa ($MHPC)8.2%12.3%8.1%7.9%
 
Median (19 companies)4.1%4.1%3.5%4.6%2.7%
Cherkizovo Group OJSC ($CHE)9.7%12.2%10.4%10.9%9.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Unilever ($ULVR)29.9%26.0%24.3%24.6%31.6%
Mhp Sa ($MHPC)17.6%17.6%16.1%17.6%
Kakuzi ($KAKU)4.3%17.4%15.8%15.6%
Tate & Lyle ($BD15)13.2%1.8%7.2%12.1%14.4%
Kerry Group ($KYGA)16.6%15.8%12.8%11.9%
 
Median (20 companies)11.6%9.7%8.1%7.3%8.3%
Cherkizovo Group OJSC ($CHE)22.4%8.9%5.6%10.2%13.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Avangardco Investments Public Ltd ($AVGR)1.7x241.4x29.9x
R.E.A.Hldgs ($RE.B)3.9x7.2x10.6x10.8x
Ukrproduct Group ($UKR)3.4x17.7x6.2x
Zambeef Products ($ZAM)4.8x3.0x2.1x4.0x2.0x
Ros Agro ($AGRO)0.6x1.8x1.9x3.7x
 
Median (17 companies)1.4x1.6x1.4x1.8x0.9x
Cherkizovo Group OJSC ($CHE)1.6x3.1x3.8x3.2x2.7x