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Heavitree Brewery Net Income surged on 45.1% while EBITDA Margin decreased on 3.2 pp from 27.8% to 24.5%

13 Feb 2019 • About Heavitree Brewery ($HVT) • By InTwits

Heavitree Brewery reported FY2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Heavitree Brewery has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 19.3%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 2.4%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: £1m in FY2018, £1m in FY2017, £1m in FY2016, £3m in FY2015, £1m in FY2014
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is 8.7%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 3.7x while industry average is 1.7x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased on 4.3%. Revenue decline was slowing down on average by 1.3 pp per annum in FY2014-FY2018. Revenue growth was financed by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 3.2 pp from 27.8% to 24.5% in FY2018. During the last 5 years EBITDA Margin topped in FY2017 at 27.8%.

Net Income margin increased on 7.1 pp from 18.2% to 25.3% in FY2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 10.2% in FY2018. CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 33.9 pp from 44.1% in FY2015 to 10.2% in FY2018. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 14.4%. During the last 5 years CAPEX as a % of Revenue topped in FY2015 at 44.1% and was declining since that time.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (17.5%) while ROIC is low (8.7%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.5 pp from 10.3% to 8.7% in FY2018. ROE increased on 3.8 pp from 13.7% to 17.5% in FY2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 3.7x and Debt / EBITDA is 3.7x. Net Debt / EBITDA decreased on 0.1x from 3.7x to 3.7x in FY2018. Debt dropped on 10.1% while cash dropped on 21.4%. During FY2014-FY2018 Net Debt/EBITDA topped in FY2015 at 4.6x and was declining since that time.

Heavitree Brewery has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 5.5% of short term debt.

Valuation and dividends


Heavitree Brewery's trades at EV/EBITDA 7.4x and P/E 3.6x.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 31 Oct 2018

Heavitree Brewery ($HVT) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue7.1987.0827.1557.2997.6144.3%
Gross Profit4.0714.0964.200
EBITDA1.6311.6771.7912.0261.867-7.8%
EBIT1.412
Interest expence0.170
Tax0.258
Net Income1.3810.9151.3651.3281.92745.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash0.1120.0510.0570.0560.044-21.4%
Inventory0.010
Short Term Debt4.8341.7531.3271.5920.801-49.7%
Long Term Debt0.0116.0116.0576.0456.0670.4%
Cash flow
Capex0.6493.1241.2751.1170.777-30.4%
Dividends0.000
Ratios
Revenue growth-0.5%-1.6%1.0%2.0%4.3%
EBITDA growth2.9%2.8%6.8%13.1%-7.8%

Gross Margin56.6%57.8%58.7%
EBITDA Margin22.7%23.7%25.0%27.8%24.5%-3.2%
EBIT Margin19.9%
Net Income Margin19.2%12.9%19.1%18.2%25.3%7.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue9.0%44.1%17.8%15.3%10.2%-5.1%

ROIC9.8%9.2%8.5%10.3%8.7%-1.5%
ROE15.7%10.1%15.1%13.7%17.5%3.8%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.9x4.6x4.1x3.7x3.7x-0.1x
Interest coverage ratio (ICR)8.3x
Interest expence / Average debt2.7%
People
Insider ownership18.2%
Employees13
Revenue/Employee, th. £545

Peers in Travel & Leisure


Below we provide Heavitree Brewery benchmarking against other companies in Travel & Leisure industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Nektan ($NKTN)-71.7%995.3%129.1%50.1%
Celtic ($CCP)-21.1%1.8%74.3%12.1%
Webis Holdings ($WEB)29.7%45.3%65.8%24.0%
Easyhotel ($EZH)56.4%8.7%39.7%33.7%
Eclectic Bar Grp ($BAR)-1.9%1.4%38.6%1.2%
 
Median (26 companies)9.4%7.6%8.7%7.9%9.8%
Heavitree Brewery ($HVT)-1.6%1.0%2.0%4.3%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Intercontinental Hotels Group ($IHG)60.1%64.5%86.0%86.0%
Eclectic Bar Grp ($BAR)79.0%79.4%80.7%82.3%82.9%
Paddy Power ($PAP)81.0%74.7%76.9%76.8%
Action Hotels ($AHCG)73.3%74.0%70.7%69.8%
Nektan ($NKTN)57.6%42.6%67.9%64.1%62.2%
 
Median (18 companies)39.7%40.1%39.3%38.1%41.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Irish Continental Group ($ICGC)27.3%23.6%25.7%32.8%
Ryanair Hldgs ($RYA)20.1%25.1%28.9%30.6%31.2%
Dalata Hotel Group ($DAL)7.7%20.8%24.5%29.5%
Paddy Power ($PAP)29.8%20.4%17.0%26.7%
Carnival ($CCL)21.5%26.7%29.3%26.6%28.3%
 
Median (26 companies)12.3%12.5%15.9%16.7%15.2%
Heavitree Brewery ($HVT)22.7%23.7%25.0%27.8%24.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Easyhotel ($EZH)209.8%46.8%153.2%269.8%412.1%
Action Hotels ($AHCG)90.0%172.4%120.1%139.5%
Dalata Hotel Group ($DAL)26.7%12.7%37.4%39.0%
Everyman Media Group ($EMAN)25.9%56.4%64.2%38.4%
Richoux Group ($RIC)14.3%10.0%17.0%34.3%
 
Median (26 companies)5.1%5.7%8.1%5.7%6.8%
Heavitree Brewery ($HVT)9.0%44.1%17.8%15.3%10.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Intercontinental Hotels Group ($IHG)56.3%96.6%51.2%92.2%
Irish Continental Group ($ICGC)40.0%33.9%30.1%35.4%
Air Partner ($AIP)21.2%20.0%20.4%24.6%34.6%
Ryanair Hldgs ($RYA)9.5%13.3%17.2%17.7%18.4%
Hanatour Service Inc ($TOUR)19.6%19.4%8.6%15.7%7.6%
 
Median (27 companies)4.8%5.9%5.3%6.5%8.1%
Heavitree Brewery ($HVT)9.8%9.2%8.5%10.3%8.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Action Hotels ($AHCG)9.6x12.3x14.4x23.9x
Marston'S ($MARS)14.0x8.2x6.2x6.9x8.7x
Rotala ($ROL)2.8x3.6x3.6x3.9x
Fuller Smith & Turner ($BA80)2.7x2.8x3.2x3.1x3.0x
Mandarin Oriental International ($MDOB)2.5x0.8x2.3x2.6x
 
Median (23 companies)1.1x0.8x1.9x1.9x1.4x
Heavitree Brewery ($HVT)2.9x4.6x4.1x3.7x3.7x