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Total Sa EBITDA surged on 31.4% and EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.7 pp from 15.1% to 16.8%

07 Feb 2019 • About Total Sa ($TTA) • By InTwits

Total Sa reported 2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is expanding: 16.8% in 2018 vs. 15.1% in 2017 vs. 11.0% in 2014
  • Total Sa has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 12.5%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 15.3%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: ₹6,512m in FY2018, ₹4,489m in FY2017, ₹2,619m in FY2016, ₹2,509m in FY2015, ₹4,081m in FY2014
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is 9.2%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 18.0%. During 2014-2018 Revenue growth bottomed in 2015 at -19.1% and was accelerating since that time. Revenue growth happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.7 pp from 15.1% to 16.8% in 2018. EBITDA Margin followed a growing trend at 1.5 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Net Income margin showed almost no change in 2018. Net Income margin grew at 1.1 pp per annum in 2014-2018. The efficient tax rate was 36.3% in 2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


Total Sa's CAPEX/Revenue was 9.3% in 2018. Total Sa's CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 8.2 pp from 17.5% in 2015 to 9.3% in 2018. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 10.9%. To secure its fast growth the company invested a large share of EBITDA (55.3%) to CAPEX.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (9.2%) and ROE (11.1%). ROIC increased on 3.4 pp from 5.8% to 9.2% in 2018. ROE increased on 2.2 pp from 8.8% to 11.1% in 2018. During 2014-2018 ROIC bottomed in 2015 at 2.5% and was growing since that time. ROE followed a growing trend at 1.7 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 0.8x Net Debt / EBITDA and 1.7x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA increased on 0.030x from 0.8x to 0.8x in 2018. Debt increased on 5.4% while cash dropped on 11.7%.

Total Sa has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (209.7%).

Valuation and dividends


Total Sa's trades at EV/EBITDA 0.8x and P/E 0.1x.

The company paid 42.9% of Net Income as dividends in 2018.

Management team


Total Sa's CEO Patrick Pouyanne has spent 4 years with the company. CEO total compensation was €3,869,532 in 2018 which included €1,400,000 salary and €2,400,300 annual bonus.

0.0054% of the company is owned by insiders.

The company has 104,460 employees. Average revenue per employee in 2018 was €1,493,624.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 31 Dec 2018

Total Sa ($TTA) key annual financial indicators

mln. €201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue159,859129,295115,639132,252156,02418.0%
EBITDA17,61414,89015,70819,93526,19931.4%
EBIT13,839
Tax5,522
Net Income3,2004,5865,6017,6569,70026.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash20,81121,41523,32127,60424,369-11.7%
Accounts Receivable15,080
Inventory12,993
Accounts Payable22,820
Short Term Debt9,04311,49313,1989,23011,61925.9%
Long Term Debt36,80738,26037,37233,48733,399-0.3%
Cash flow
Capex19,84522,65716,36712,21114,47518.5%
Dividends4,164
Ratios
Revenue growth-6.9%-19.1%-10.6%14.4%18.0%
EBITDA growth-34.9%-15.5%5.5%26.9%31.4%

EBITDA Margin11.0%11.5%13.6%15.1%16.8%1.7%
EBIT Margin8.9%
Net Income Margin2.0%3.5%4.8%5.8%6.2%0.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue12.4%17.5%14.2%9.2%9.3%0.0%

ROIC6.5%2.5%3.2%5.8%9.2%3.4%
ROE4.5%5.6%6.9%8.8%11.1%2.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.4x1.9x1.7x0.8x0.8x0.0x
People
Insider ownership0.0%
Employees104,460
Revenue/Employee, th. €1,494

Peers in Oil & Gas Producers


Below you can find Total Sa benchmarking vs. other companies in Oil & Gas Producers industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Eland Oil & Gas ($ELA)54.8%-86.9%2,804.1%
President Energy ($PPC)-6.1%-19.8%-1.9%81.3%
Amerisur Resources ($AMER)17.9%-69.3%-22.9%79.6%
Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri A.S. ($TPRD)-3.3%-7.1%-5.5%54.8%
Urals Energy Public Co ($UEN)-11.5%-38.8%6.8%52.1%
 
Median (32 companies)-0.2%-20.1%-8.9%19.7%27.3%
Total Sa ($TTA)-19.1%-10.6%14.4%18.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Societatea Natl De Gaze N Romgaz Sa ($SNGR)99.0%98.5%98.7%
Serica Energy ($SQZ)67.0%30.7%60.4%
Oil & Gas Development Co ($OGDC)68.5%62.7%54.0%55.3%59.2%
Tethys Petroleum Limited ($TPL)46.2%-76.0%-30.0%42.8%
Zoltav Resources Inc ($ZOL)32.5%30.7%41.9%36.0%
 
Median (22 companies)17.4%12.1%12.2%18.1%17.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Trinity Exploration & Production ($TRIN)25.1%30.9%13.0%77.1%
Societatea Natl De Gaze N Romgaz Sa ($SNGR)62.5%49.7%59.3%
Oil & Gas Development Co ($OGDC)69.3%62.4%53.9%55.8%59.3%
Zoltav Resources Inc ($ZOL)-16.1%25.6%42.6%49.8%
Serica Energy ($SQZ)61.3%24.6%47.9%
 
Median (32 companies)15.9%18.8%12.8%17.9%10.1%
Total Sa ($TTA)11.0%11.5%13.6%15.1%16.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
President Energy ($PPC)10.4%142.7%147.0%69.1%
Tethys Petroleum Limited ($TPL)95.2%37.5%12.0%66.0%
Ithaca Energy Inc ($IAE)103.5%42.8%41.6%33.9%
Volga Gas ($VGAS)14.0%45.5%12.8%33.9%
Amerisur Resources ($AMER)21.2%72.4%65.8%33.8%
 
Median (32 companies)15.7%15.4%12.4%11.7%5.6%
Total Sa ($TTA)12.4%17.5%14.2%9.2%9.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Trinity Exploration & Production ($TRIN)8.0%11.0%-18.7%80.5%
Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri A.S. ($TPRD)5.3%25.4%16.8%25.6%
Societatea Natl De Gaze N Romgaz Sa ($SNGR)10.9%20.3%
Novatek OAO ($NVTK)21.2%19.4%26.6%17.7%
Serica Energy ($SQZ)-5.5%19.4%5.5%16.9%
 
Median (36 companies)5.2%0.5%4.7%5.5%-6.3%
Total Sa ($TTA)6.5%2.5%3.2%5.8%9.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Ruspetro ($RPO)27.9x116.8x22.9x
Ithaca Energy Inc ($IAE)4.5x7.5x
Jkx Oil & Gas ($JKX)3.5x
Rosneft OJSC ($ROSN)2.8x2.3x2.3x3.1x
Hellenic Petroleum Sa ($HLPD)2.5x2.1x2.1x
 
Median (26 companies)1.3x1.4x0.9x1.0x0.5x
Total Sa ($TTA)1.4x1.9x1.7x0.8x0.8x