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Paternoster Resources reports 210 pp EBITDA Margin growth from -159% to 50.2% in 2018 in 2018 and 16.9% Revenue growth

05 Feb 2019 • About Paternoster Resources ($PRS) • By InTwits

Paternoster Resources reported 2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 50.2% in 2018, -159.4% in 2017, 53.4% in 2016, 24.7% in 2015, 57.0% in 2014
  • Paternoster Resources has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 58.9%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 2.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: £9m in 2018, £10m in 2017, £484m in 2016, £701m in 2015, £211m in 2014
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 3.0%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 6.6x while industry average is 2.4x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Paternoster Resources's Revenue jumped on 16.9%. Having stable revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin surged on 25.2 pp from -416% to -390% in FY2018.

SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 2.9 pp from 5.5% to 2.6% in 2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue declined at -1.4 pp per annum in 2014-2018.

Net Income margin surged on 194 pp from -229% to -34.6% in 2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In 2018 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 2.6%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 145 pp from 148% in 2015 to 2.6% in 2018. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 36.1%. During 2014-2018 CAPEX as a % of Revenue topped in 2015 at 148% and was declining since that time.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (3.0%) and negative ROE (-25.5%). ROIC jumped on 29.5 pp from -26.4% to 3.0% in 2018. ROE jumped on 54.0 pp from -79.5% to -25.5% in 2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 6.6x and Debt / EBITDA is 7.5x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged6.6x from to 6.6x in 2018. Debt decreased on 7.8% while cash dropped on 39.5%.

Paternoster Resources has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (315.3%).

Management team


Jesper Kragh Andresen is a Paternoster Resources's CEO. Jesper Kragh Andresen is a founder and has spent 2 years with the company. Paternoster Resources's CFO Stig H Christiansen has spent 4 years with the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 31 Dec 2018

Paternoster Resources ($PRS) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue548.7474.7474.0283.0330.816.9%
SG&A43.939.133.615.58.5-45.2%
EBITDA312.6117.3253.2-451.0166.0
EBIT30.8
Tax10.5
Net Income178.8-50.6172.6-647.1-114.5
Balance Sheet
Cash122.457.1205.7231.9140.3-39.5%
Accounts Receivable60.0
Accounts Payable17.8
Short Term Debt0.0139.547.918.644.5139.2%
Long Term Debt830.11,107.51,342.91,329.11,198.5-9.8%
Cash flow
Capex211.0700.7483.910.18.7-13.9%
Dividends34.0
Ratios
Revenue growth4.8%-13.5%-0.1%-40.3%16.9%
EBITDA growth2.0%-62.5%115.9%-278.1%-136.8%

EBITDA Margin57.0%24.7%53.4%-159.4%50.2%209.5%
EBIT Margin6.5%
SG&A, % of revenue8.0%8.2%7.1%5.5%2.6%-2.9%
Net Income Margin32.6%-10.7%36.4%-228.7%-34.6%194.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue38.5%147.6%102.1%3.6%2.6%-0.9%

ROIC15.9%1.7%2.3%-26.4%3.0%29.5%
ROE24.0%-6.9%18.7%-79.5%-25.5%54.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.3x10.1x4.7x6.6x
People
Employees851
Revenue/Employee, th. £558

Peers in Personal Goods


Below you can find Paternoster Resources benchmarking vs. other companies in Personal Goods industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Creightons ($CRL)4.2%4.1%45.6%13.8%
Swallowfield ($SWL)-1.2%10.1%36.5%-0.5%
Pittards ($PTD)-3.0%-12.1%-11.5%12.1%
Svenska Cellulosa Ab-Sca ($0MCK)10.8%-86.7%8.4%
Far Eastern New Century Corp ($FETD)-7.5%-1.0%0.9%
 
Median (6 companies)-2.8%-4.3%-6.2%10.3%6.7%
Paternoster Resources ($PRS)-13.5%-0.1%-40.3%16.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Creightons ($CRL)40.8%39.2%42.2%42.5%40.6%
Pittards ($PTD)20.3%21.7%8.0%23.4%
Far Eastern New Century Corp ($FETD)20.3%23.2%23.7%22.8%
Swallowfield ($SWL)10.3%11.8%14.8%18.7%18.5%
Bagir Grp Ltd ($BAGR)17.4%9.8%16.4%15.0%
 
Median (5 companies)20.3%22.4%20.1%22.8%29.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Svenska Cellulosa Ab-Sca ($0MCK)15.2%14.6%22.1%21.9%
Far Eastern New Century Corp ($FETD)12.1%15.0%15.7%16.5%
Swallowfield ($SWL)4.0%4.5%6.7%6.5%8.9%
Creightons ($CRL)4.7%5.0%4.7%6.1%6.4%
Pittards ($PTD)6.9%6.2%-10.9%5.2%
 
Median (6 companies)5.8%5.6%5.7%6.3%7.6%
Paternoster Resources ($PRS)57.0%24.7%53.4%-159.4%50.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Svenska Cellulosa Ab-Sca ($0MCK)5.5%6.6%19.8%21.5%
Far Eastern New Century Corp ($FETD)12.0%11.1%9.3%10.8%
Pittards ($PTD)1.7%14.3%4.4%2.3%
Swallowfield ($SWL)1.8%3.1%2.2%1.8%2.2%
Creightons ($CRL)1.1%0.8%3.7%1.8%1.8%
 
Median (6 companies)1.8%4.9%4.0%2.1%2.0%
Paternoster Resources ($PRS)38.5%147.6%102.1%3.6%2.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Swallowfield ($SWL)5.1%8.4%18.7%18.4%17.2%
Creightons ($CRL)8.4%8.8%6.7%15.5%14.4%
Far Eastern New Century Corp ($FETD)2.6%3.0%3.1%3.3%
Pittards ($PTD)8.2%5.2%-11.9%3.3%
Svenska Cellulosa Ab-Sca ($0MCK)8.7%9.0%1.9%2.8%
 
Median (6 companies)6.7%6.8%2.5%3.3%15.8%
Paternoster Resources ($PRS)15.9%1.7%2.3%-26.4%3.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Pittards ($PTD)3.2x3.4x5.1x
Far Eastern New Century Corp ($FETD)5.6x5.1x4.7x4.7x
Svenska Cellulosa Ab-Sca ($0MCK)2.2x1.7x9.7x1.8x
Bagir Grp Ltd ($BAGR)4.0x-5.9x0.1x
Swallowfield ($SWL)-0.3x0.3x-0.1x-0.4x0.5x
 
Median (6 companies)2.7x1.7x-0.1x1.0x0.2x