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Wynnstay Group reports 22.4% EBITDA growth in 2018 and 18.4% Revenue growth

23 Jan 2019 • About Wynnstay Group ($WYN) • By InTwits

Wynnstay Group reported FY2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is relatively stable: 2.7% in FY2018 vs. 2.6% in FY2017 vs. 2.6% in FY2014
  • Wynnstay Group has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 0.6%.
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is 9.9%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 18.4%. During FY2014-FY2018 Revenue growth bottomed in FY2015 at -8.7% and was accelerating since that time. EBITDA Margin showed almost no change in FY2018.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in FY2018. During FY2014-FY2018 Gross Margin topped in FY2016 at 15.6% and was declining since that time. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2018.

Net Income margin increased slightly on 1.7 pp from -0.072% to 1.7% in FY2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


Wynnstay Group's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.50% in FY2018. The company showed almost no change in CAPEX/Revenue from FY2015 to FY2018. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 0.59%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (9.9%) and ROE (8.7%). ROIC increased slightly on 1.6 pp from 8.3% to 9.9% in FY2018. ROE increased on 9.1 pp from -0.33% to 8.7% in FY2018. During the last 5 years ROIC bottomed in FY2016 at 8.0% and was growing since that time. During FY2014-FY2018 ROE bottomed in FY2017 at -0.33%.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 0.1x Net Debt / EBITDA and 0.6x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 0.5x from -0.4x to 0.1x in FY2018. Debt jumped on 73.6% while cash dropped on 25.1%.

Wynnstay Group has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (171.8%).

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 6.4x and P/E 10.4x.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 30 Nov -0001

Wynnstay Group ($WYN) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue413.6377.4368.1390.7462.718.4%
Gross Profit53.255.557.452.961.716.7%
SG&A4.74.95.35.910.5%
EBITDA10.711.110.110.312.622.4%
Net Income6.76.75.8-0.37.7
Balance Sheet
Cash9.09.810.18.96.7-25.1%
Short Term Debt3.93.62.62.53.954.7%
Long Term Debt2.34.03.21.93.898.6%
Cash flow
Capex2.51.82.72.02.314.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth0.0%-8.7%-2.4%6.1%18.4%
EBITDA growth-3.7%3.6%-8.8%1.5%22.4%

Gross Margin12.9%14.7%15.6%13.5%13.3%-0.2%
EBITDA Margin2.6%2.9%2.8%2.6%2.7%0.1%
SG&A, % of revenue1.2%1.3%1.4%1.3%-0.1%
Net Income Margin1.6%1.8%1.6%-0.1%1.7%1.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.6%0.5%0.7%0.5%0.5%-0.0%

ROIC10.0%9.7%8.0%8.3%9.9%1.6%
ROE9.0%8.3%6.9%-0.3%8.7%9.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.3x-0.2x-0.4x-0.4x0.1x0.5x

Peers in Food Producers


Below you can find Wynnstay Group benchmarking vs. other companies in Food Producers industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Ukrproduct Group ($UKR)-38.9%-36.8%0.2%51.2%
Narborough Plantations ($NBP)3.5%0.5%38.2%
R.E.A.Hldgs ($RE.B)13.9%-28.1%-12.4%26.5%
Tate & Lyle ($BD15)-15.0%0.6%16.9%-1.6%
Mhp Sa ($MHPC)-14.2%-4.0%13.4%
 
Median (19 companies)2.0%1.3%0.6%7.3%6.5%
Wynnstay Group ($WYN)-8.7%-2.4%6.1%18.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Narborough Plantations ($NBP)59.7%54.6%56.1%63.0%
Walcom Group Ltd ($WALG)62.2%60.5%58.8%54.6%
Kakuzi ($KAKU)33.0%49.2%46.4%44.7%
Unilever ($ULVR)41.4%42.2%42.7%43.1%
Produce Investments ($PIL)33.5%36.4%37.9%35.7%37.8%
 
Median (17 companies)32.7%24.9%26.8%26.0%19.2%
Wynnstay Group ($WYN)12.9%14.7%15.6%13.5%13.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Narborough Plantations ($NBP)39.6%37.4%40.8%48.6%
Mhp Sa ($MHPC)37.0%38.8%37.0%35.3%
Kakuzi ($KAKU)11.8%29.4%31.8%32.7%
R.E.A.Hldgs ($RE.B)33.2%31.1%22.9%20.7%
Unilever ($ULVR)19.4%16.8%18.0%19.8%
 
Median (19 companies)11.8%13.8%11.2%13.7%4.8%
Wynnstay Group ($WYN)2.6%2.9%2.8%2.6%2.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
R.E.A.Hldgs ($RE.B)11.8%17.4%39.3%32.8%
Ros Agro ($AGRO)7.3%15.3%19.7%21.9%
Cherkizovo Group OJSC ($CHE)9.7%12.2%10.4%10.9%
Kakuzi ($KAKU)22.0%24.9%13.7%10.3%
Real Good Food ($RGD)6.3%1.4%6.4%10.0%8.4%
 
Median (19 companies)4.8%5.0%5.0%4.7%3.5%
Wynnstay Group ($WYN)0.6%0.5%0.7%0.5%0.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Unilever ($ULVR)29.9%26.0%24.3%24.6%
Mhp Sa ($MHPC)17.6%17.6%16.1%17.6%
Kakuzi ($KAKU)4.3%17.4%15.8%15.6%
Tate & Lyle ($BD15)13.2%1.8%7.2%12.1%14.4%
Kerry Group ($KYGA)16.6%15.8%12.8%11.9%
 
Median (20 companies)12.4%8.9%8.0%8.1%5.9%
Wynnstay Group ($WYN)10.0%9.7%8.0%8.3%9.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Avangardco Investments Public Ltd ($AVGR)1.7x241.4x29.9x
R.E.A.Hldgs ($RE.B)3.9x7.2x10.6x10.8x
Ukrproduct Group ($UKR)3.4x17.7x6.2x
Zambeef Products ($ZAM)4.8x3.0x2.1x4.0x2.0x
Ros Agro ($AGRO)0.6x1.8x1.9x3.7x
 
Median (17 companies)1.6x1.8x1.8x2.0x0.9x
Wynnstay Group ($WYN)-0.3x-0.2x-0.4x-0.4x0.1x