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International Bus Mach Corp Net Income surged on 51.7% and Revenue increased slightly on 0.57%

22 Jan 2019 • About International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM) • By InTwits

International Bus Mach Corp reported 2018 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • International Bus Mach Corp has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.2%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 2.5%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 19,836 PKRm in FY2018, 11,353 PKRm in FY2017, 7,389 PKRm in FY2016, 9,857 PKRm in FY2015, 5,603 PKRm in FY2014
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 19.8%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 1.7x while industry average is -1.9x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased slightly on 0.57%. Revenue growth showed slowdown in 18Q4 - it was -3.5% YoY. During the last 5 years Revenue growth bottomed in 2015 at -11.9% and was accelerating since that time. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 7.6 pp from 19.7% to 12.1% in FY2018. During the last 5 years EBITDA Margin bottomed in 2016 at 19.8% and was growing since that time.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in 2018. Gross Margin followed a declining trend at -1.0 pp per annum in 2014-2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 0.54 pp from 24.9% to 24.3% in 2018. During the last 5 years SG&A as a % of Revenue topped in 2016 at 26.4% and was declining since that time. Stock Based Compensation (SBC) as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2018. During the last 5 years SBC as a % of Revenue topped in 2016 at 0.68% and was declining since that time.

Net Income margin increased on 3.7 pp from 7.3% to 11.0% in 2018. The efficient tax rate was 23.1% in 2018 while the average for the last five years was 23.1%.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In 2018 International Bus Mach Corp had CAPEX/Revenue of 4.3%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from 2015 to 2018. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 4.3%.

Inventories as a % of Revenue showed almost no change at 2.1% in 2018. Accounts payable as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2018.

International Bus Mach Corp has spent $139m on M&A in 2018 which accounts for 0.17% of revenue.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROE (50.8%) while ROIC is a bit lower (19.8%). ROIC showed almost no change in 2018. ROE surged on 18.7 pp from 32.1% to 50.8% in 2018. ROIC declined at -3.4 pp per annum in 2014-2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 1.7x Net Debt / EBITDA and 2.4x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA decreased on 0.1x from 1.8x to 1.7x in 2018. Debt decreased slightly on 2.0% while cash decreased on 5.0%. Net Debt/EBITDA grew at 0.2x per annum in 2014-2018.

International Bus Mach Corp has good short term financial stability: Interest coverage ratio (ICR) is 16.9x. International Bus Mach Corp has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (111.5%).

Average interest expence paid by the company was 1.8% in 2018.
The company paid 64.9% of Net Income as dividends in 2018. Dividends grew on average at 5.8% per annum in the last 5 years).

Management team


The company's CEO is Virginia M Rometty "Ginni". Virginia M Rometty "Ginni" has 7 years tenure with the company. CEO total compensation was $17,552,218 in 2018 which included $1,600,000 salary. James J Kavanaugh "Jim" is a the company's CFO. James J Kavanaugh "Jim" has spent 2 years at the company.

Insider ownership is 0.086%. Insider ownership didn't change in 2018.

At the end of financial year the company had 350,600 employees. The number of employees decreased on 4.4%. Average revenue per employee in 2018 was $227,014 and it increased on 5.2%.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 31 Dec 2018

International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue92,79381,74179,91979,13979,5910.6%
Gross Profit46,40740,68438,29436,94336,936-0.0%
SG&A23,18020,43021,06919,68019,366-1.6%
EBITDA22,28218,86215,85516,21416,6712.8%
EBIT17,79015,00711,47411,67312,1914.4%
Interest expence48446863061572317.6%
Tax4,2342,5814495,6422,619-53.6%
Net Income12,02213,19011,8725,7538,72851.7%
Stock Based Compensation512468544534510-4.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash8,4767,6867,82611,97211,379-5.0%
Inventory2,1031,5511,5531,5831,6826.3%
Accounts Payable6,8646,0286,2096,4516,5581.7%
Short Term Debt5,7316,4617,5136,98710,20746.1%
Long Term Debt27,24425,48326,81133,36629,344-12.1%
Cash flow
Capex3,7403,5793,5673,2293,3955.1%
Dividends4,2654,8975,2565,5065,6662.9%
Acquisitions6563,3495,679496139-72.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth-5.7%-11.9%-2.2%-1.0%0.6%
EBITDA growth-7.8%-15.3%-15.9%2.3%2.8%

Gross Margin50.0%49.8%47.9%46.7%46.4%-0.3%
EBITDA Margin24.0%23.1%19.8%20.5%20.9%0.5%
EBIT Margin19.2%18.4%14.4%14.7%15.3%0.6%
SG&A, % of revenue25.0%25.0%26.4%24.9%24.3%-0.5%
SBC, % of revenue0.6%0.6%0.7%0.7%0.6%-0.0%
Net Income Margin13.0%16.1%14.9%7.3%11.0%3.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.0%4.4%4.5%4.1%4.3%0.2%

ROIC31.6%29.7%21.5%19.5%19.8%0.3%
ROE69.4%101.0%73.0%32.1%50.8%18.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.1x1.3x1.7x1.8x1.7x-0.1x
Interest expence / Average debt1.5%1.4%1.9%1.6%1.8%0.2%
People
Insider ownership0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.0%
Employees379,592377,757380,300366,600350,600-4.4%
Revenue/Employee, th. $2442162102162275.2%

International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $18Q118Q218Q318Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue19,07220,00318,75521,760 5.1%3.7%-2.1%-3.5%
EBITDA2,5114,0944,3265,740 -0.8%13.2%8.5%-1.2%
Net Income1,6792,4042,6941,951 -4.1%3.1%-1.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash11,94910,74111,56311,379 18.4%-8.2%5.9%-5.0%
Short Term Debt5,9777,64610,93210,207 -28.3%-5.1%154.3%46.1%
Long Term Debt33,71831,49829,69529,344 27.4%17.0%-0.5%-12.1%
Ratios
Gross Margin43.2%46.0%46.9%49.1% -0.5%-0.5%1.0%0.1%
EBITDA Margin 13.2% 20.5% 23.1% 26.4% -0.8%1.7%2.3%0.6%
Net Income Margin 8.8% 12.0% 14.4% 9.0% -0.8%-0.1%0.1%13.6%

Peers in Software & Computer Services


Below we provide International Bus Mach Corp benchmarking against other companies in Software & Computer Services industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Pinnacle Technology Group ($PINN)-17.1%108.6%
Wandisco ($WAND)40.0%-2.0%3.5%72.6%
Microgen ($MCGN)-0.0%7.2%34.5%45.7%
Lombard Risk Management ($LRM)21.6%5.4%10.3%44.8%
Zoo Digital Group ($ZOO)19.9%1.5%41.7%73.2%
 
Median (39 companies)0.6%6.3%11.7%12.4%34.8%
International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM)-11.9%-2.2%-1.0%0.6%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Lombard Risk Management ($LRM)99.2%98.6%99.3%99.6%
Netcall ($NET)91.0%90.9%91.2%91.7%90.2%
Wandisco ($WAND)80.7%93.2%88.1%90.0%
Eleco ($ELCO)87.8%88.9%86.7%87.9%
Dotdigital Group ($DOTD)90.5%89.3%87.4%86.1%78.9%
 
Median (33 companies)57.6%58.8%60.0%57.0%40.4%
International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM)50.0%49.8%47.9%46.7%46.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Rightster Group ($RSTR)-146.3%-64.1%-19.9%114.2%
Dotdigital Group ($DOTD)29.2%32.0%30.4%31.7%26.9%
Sopheon ($SPE)6.8%19.8%22.6%27.9%
Mail.Ru Group Ltd ($61HE)50.5%34.6%35.2%25.1%
Gresham Computing ($GHT)8.8%18.1%20.6%22.6%
 
Median (39 companies)10.3%12.3%10.2%10.7%7.4%
International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM)24.0%23.1%19.8%20.5%20.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Actual Experience ($ACT)2.6%6.0%39.9%48.7%3.6%
Csf Group ($CSFG)2.4%7.1%4.9%8.5%16.5%
Pennant International Group ($PEN)1.4%0.2%6.3%7.1%
Nasstar ($NASA)2.1%5.2%8.9%6.5%
Oxford Metrics ($OMG)2.8%2.4%1.8%5.8%3.9%
 
Median (39 companies)1.7%1.1%1.2%1.3%1.0%
International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM)4.0%4.4%4.5%4.1%4.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Rm ($RM.)130.8%289.2%254.7%73.8%
Triad Group ($TRD)24.5%61.5%74.4%61.1%41.0%
Sopheon ($SPE)-10.5%14.7%22.7%32.3%
Dotdigital Group ($DOTD)28.5%31.4%28.9%29.3%26.6%
Microgen ($MCGN)9.0%12.1%15.4%18.4%
 
Median (41 companies)9.0%4.0%7.1%6.3%6.0%
International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM)31.6%29.7%21.5%19.5%19.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Datatec ($DTC)0.3x0.4x1.1x10.2x
Progility ($PGY)1.8x12.8x6.8x3.9x
Zoo Digital Group ($ZOO)38.3x3.2x0.9x
Statpro Group ($SOG)-0.3x-0.2x3.0x
Idox ($IDOX)1.0x1.3x1.2x2.2x
 
Median (31 companies)-0.3x-0.6x-0.9x-0.5x-0.5x
International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM)1.1x1.3x1.7x1.8x1.7x