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Shoe Zone Net Income jumped on 20.7% and EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 0.95 pp from 8.1% to 9.0%

09 Jan 2019 • About Shoe Zone ($SHOE) • By InTwits

Shoe Zone reported FY2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is relatively stable: 9.0% in FY2018 vs. 8.1% in FY2017 vs. 9.3% in FY2014
  • Shoe Zone has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.1%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 30.5%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: £5m in FY2018, £5m in FY2017, £3m in FY2016, £2m in FY2015, £2m in FY2014
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 31.7%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased slightly on 1.8%. Revenue decline was slowing down on average by 2.7 pp per annum in FY2014-FY2018. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased slightly on 1.1 pp from 13.9% to 12.8% in FY2018.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in FY2018. Gross Margin grew at 0.77 pp per annum in the last 5 years. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 0.98 pp from 12.9% to 11.9% in FY2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue grew at 1.6 pp per annum in FY2014-FY2018.

Net Income margin increased slightly on 0.93 pp from 5.0% to 5.9% in FY2018. The efficient tax rate was 15.4% in FY2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2018 Shoe Zone had CAPEX/Revenue of 3.2%. Shoe Zone showed CAPEX/Revenue growth of 2.0 pp from 1.1% in FY2015 to 3.2% in FY2018. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.8%. CAPEX as a % of Revenue grew at 0.61 pp per annum in FY2014-FY2018.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROIC (31.7%) and ROE (27.4%). ROIC increased slightly on 0.97 pp from 30.7% to 31.7% in FY2018. ROE increased slightly on 1.5 pp from 25.9% to 27.4% in FY2018. During the last 5 years ROIC bottomed in FY2015 at 30.0% and was growing since that time. During the last 5 years ROE bottomed in FY2015 at 23.8% and was growing since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


The company has no debt. Cash jumped on 33.1%.

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 6.4x and P/E 11.5x.

The company paid 52.5% of Net Income as dividends in FY2018.

Management team


50.7% of the company is owned by insiders.

The company has 3,489 employees. Average revenue per employee in FY2018 was £46,035.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 29 Sep 2018

Shoe Zone ($SHOE) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue172.9166.8159.8157.8160.61.8%
Gross Profit28.627.327.830.130.51.4%
SG&A11.810.917.420.319.1-5.9%
EBITDA16.014.013.512.814.513.7%
EBIT11.4
Interest expence0.2
Tax1.7
Net Income8.08.18.57.99.520.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash9.114.215.011.815.733.1%
Inventory27.8
Short Term Debt0.00.00.00.0
Long Term Debt0.00.00.00.00.0
Cash flow
Capex2.01.93.25.15.1-0.8%
Dividends5.0
Ratios
Revenue growth-10.8%-3.5%-4.2%-1.3%1.8%
EBITDA growth31.4%-12.7%-3.3%-5.8%13.7%

Gross Margin16.5%16.4%17.4%19.1%19.0%-0.1%
EBITDA Margin9.3%8.4%8.5%8.1%9.0%0.9%
EBIT Margin7.1%
SG&A, % of revenue6.8%6.6%10.9%12.9%11.9%-1.0%
Net Income Margin4.7%4.9%5.3%5.0%5.9%0.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.2%1.1%2.0%3.3%3.2%-0.1%

ROIC34.2%30.0%30.6%30.7%31.7%1.0%
ROE24.8%23.8%25.6%25.9%27.4%1.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.6x-1.0x-1.1x-0.9x-1.1x-0.2x
People
Insider ownership50.7%
Employees3,489
Revenue/Employee, th. £46

Peers in General Retailers


Below we provide Shoe Zone benchmarking against other companies in General Retailers industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Just Eat ($JE.)57.7%51.7%45.4%
7Digital Group ($7DIG)171.6%1.5%14.8%41.2%
AO World ($AO.)23.8%25.7%17.0%13.6%
Mysale Group ($MYSL)5.1%7.0%6.4%8.9%
Aa ($AA.)1.0%-5.0%-0.2%2.9%
 
Median (11 companies)-0.4%4.4%6.1%-0.8%1.5%
Shoe Zone ($SHOE)-3.5%-4.2%-1.3%1.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Just Eat ($JE.)89.7%90.2%90.6%82.4%
7Digital Group ($7DIG)59.0%68.1%71.0%71.6%
Aa ($AA.)64.7%64.8%64.0%63.5%62.5%
United Carpets Group ($UCG)61.7%64.3%63.8%61.2%61.5%
French Connection Group ($FCCN)47.6%46.7%46.3%45.8%45.2%
 
Median (11 companies)34.6%36.2%37.3%42.0%37.5%
Shoe Zone ($SHOE)16.5%16.4%17.4%19.1%19.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Aa ($AA.)42.2%37.9%37.4%37.6%39.4%
Signet Jewelers Ltd ($SIG)16.2%12.7%13.4%14.9%12.5%
United Carpets Group ($UCG)4.8%6.6%7.9%8.2%8.1%
Lotte Shopping Co Ltd ($LOTS)7.4%6.3%7.2%7.8%
Mysale Group ($MYSL)2.3%-4.7%1.8%2.0%1.8%
 
Median (11 companies)4.1%6.6%1.8%1.9%1.7%
Shoe Zone ($SHOE)9.3%8.4%8.5%8.1%9.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
7Digital Group ($7DIG)3.4%8.2%3.8%27.2%
Aa ($AA.)1.0%3.8%8.0%7.6%6.6%
Lotte Shopping Co Ltd ($LOTS)6.6%3.8%5.0%4.9%
Signet Jewelers Ltd ($SIG)3.6%3.8%3.5%4.3%3.8%
Just Eat ($JE.)3.4%2.3%2.5%2.7%
 
Median (11 companies)1.5%2.3%1.6%2.2%1.9%
Shoe Zone ($SHOE)1.2%1.1%2.0%3.3%3.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Aa ($AA.)61.1%34.9%32.0%30.8%32.3%
United Carpets Group ($UCG)36.7%37.1%33.7%29.9%
Signet Jewelers Ltd ($SIG)20.4%15.5%15.2%16.0%13.0%
Caffyns ($78GL)11.1%37.3%10.4%7.1%5.5%
Mysale Group ($MYSL)10.0%-19.0%0.3%-0.0%-1.9%
 
Median (10 companies)6.9%9.1%1.3%-0.0%1.8%
Shoe Zone ($SHOE)34.2%30.0%30.6%30.7%31.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Aa ($AA.)7.7x7.9x8.0x7.6x7.0x
Caffyns ($78GL)3.0x0.7x2.2x2.2x4.0x
Mysale Group ($MYSL)-14.4x-6.0x-1.7x1.2x
Signet Jewelers Ltd ($SIG)-0.3x1.7x1.4x1.4x0.6x
United Carpets Group ($UCG)-1.7x-1.9x-0.9x-1.5x-1.5x
 
Median (5 companies)-0.6x-0.4x1.4x1.8x1.2x
Shoe Zone ($SHOE)-0.6x-1.0x-1.1x-0.9x-1.1x