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Caledonian Trust reports 178% Net Income growth in 2018 and 126 pp EBITDA Margin growth from 191% to 317%

21 Dec 2018 • About Caledonian Trust ($CNN) • By InTwits

Caledonian Trust reported FY2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Caledonian Trust is a fast growth stock: FY2018 revenue growth was 65.9%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 22.5% at FY2018 ROIC 11.7%
  • EBITDA Margin is expanding: 316.6% in FY2018 vs. 191.0% in FY2017 vs. -59.1% in FY2014
  • The company has business model with average profitability: ROIC is 11.7%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue surged on 65.9%. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 14.1 pp from 10.4% to -3.8% in FY2018.

Gross Margin decreased on 5.7 pp from 80.5% to 74.8% in FY2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue dropped on 39.6 pp from 110% to 70.5% in FY2018.

Net Income margin surged on 126 pp from 187% to 313% in FY2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2018 Caledonian Trust had CAPEX/Revenue of 0.33%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from FY2015 to FY2018. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 0.73%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (14.1%) while ROIC is low (11.7%). ROIC increased on 7.0 pp from 4.7% to 11.7% in FY2018. ROE increased on 8.5 pp from 5.6% to 14.1% in FY2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 1.4x Net Debt / EBITDA and 1.5x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 2.6x from 4.0x to 1.4x in FY2018. Debt increased on 3.4% while cash surged on 720%.

Caledonian Trust has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (125.3%).

Valuation and dividends


Caledonian Trust's trades at EV/EBITDA 8.5x and P/E 7.2x.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 30 Jun 2018

Caledonian Trust ($CNN) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue0.8450.7440.7890.5550.92165.9%
Gross Profit0.3650.3980.4470.68954.1%
SG&A0.6350.6110.6496.2%
EBITDA-0.4990.1371.0602.916175.1%
Net Income0.1640.1051.0402.886177.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash0.0340.1030.0550.451720.0%
Short Term Debt3.1800.0000.3600.3600.0%
Long Term Debt0.0003.6303.9254.0703.7%
Cash flow
Capex0.0240.0020.0090.003-66.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth153.0%-12.0%6.0%-29.7%65.9%
EBITDA growth8.0%673.7%175.1%

Gross Margin43.2%50.4%80.5%74.8%-5.7%
EBITDA Margin-59.1%17.4%191.0%316.6%125.6%
SG&A, % of revenue80.5%110.1%70.5%-39.6%
Net Income Margin19.4%13.3%187.4%313.4%126.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.8%0.3%1.6%0.3%-1.3%

ROIC-2.5%0.6%4.7%11.7%7.0%
ROE1.0%0.6%5.6%14.1%8.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA25.7x4.0x1.4x-2.6x

Peers in Real Estate Investment & Services


Below we provide Caledonian Trust benchmarking against other companies in Real Estate Investment & Services industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Plaza Centers Nv ($PLAZ)131.0%-13.4%-53.3%664.4%
PIK Group OJSC ($PIK)-2.1%-16.5%17.5%191.5%
London & Associated Properties ($LAS)-22.6%-2.6%-9.1%51.4%
Etalon Group Ltd ($ETLN)29.0%-17.6%15.6%44.1%
Formation Group ($FRM)35.8%199.3%23.8%25.8%
 
Median (20 companies)1.0%7.0%8.9%11.7%24.2%
Caledonian Trust ($CNN)-12.0%6.0%-29.7%65.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Arricano Real Estate ($ARO)96.5%96.1%96.4%96.5%
Summit Germany Ltd ($SMTG)92.3%92.2%92.2%
Panther Securities ($PNS)68.0%73.5%75.2%70.8%
Songbird Estates ($SBD)70.7%72.5%72.8%68.6%
Damac Real Estate Development Ltd ($DMC)59.6%59.4%55.9%48.8%
 
Median (14 companies)35.2%34.5%41.1%28.3%10.5%
Caledonian Trust ($CNN)43.2%50.4%80.5%74.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Summit Germany Ltd ($SMTG)89.3%75.5%129.4%241.4%
Arricano Real Estate ($ARO)-138.3%12.7%190.4%238.1%
Safestore Hldgs ($SAFE)77.7%128.4%95.1%84.8%
Raven Russia Ltd ($RUS)4.7%-52.3%40.4%75.8%
Panther Securities ($PNS)50.3%52.0%52.4%69.3%
 
Median (19 companies)20.4%25.8%32.8%20.8%19.5%
Caledonian Trust ($CNN)-59.1%17.4%191.0%316.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Panther Securities ($PNS)26.0%15.7%3.7%68.6%
Taliesin Property Fund Ltd ($TPFZ)45.2%43.7%37.2%40.5%
Hagl JSC ($HAG)145.6%127.1%55.5%30.0%
St.Modwen Properties ($SMP)36.7%55.8%31.3%19.3%
Safestore Hldgs ($SAFE)6.3%7.2%24.5%16.7%
 
Median (20 companies)6.3%7.2%1.5%1.7%1.5%
Caledonian Trust ($CNN)2.8%0.3%1.6%0.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Arricano Real Estate ($ARO)-12.3%1.7%34.2%43.8%
Damac Real Estate Development Ltd ($DMC)31.3%41.5%24.5%16.0%
Summit Germany Ltd ($SMTG)7.1%5.6%9.2%15.8%
Taliesin Property Fund Ltd ($TPFZ)0.3%-3.0%15.3%15.1%
Etalon Group Ltd ($ETLN)14.3%10.2%6.6%12.6%
 
Median (20 companies)3.7%5.1%6.9%7.1%8.9%
Caledonian Trust ($CNN)-2.5%0.6%4.7%11.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Development Securities ($DSC)10.3x3.5x5.7x70.8x3.9x
Hagl JSC ($HAG)14.2x14.8x30.8x11.7x
Songbird Estates ($SBD)12.3x12.4x11.3x
Farglory Land Development Co Ltd ($FLDS)5.7x4.4x4.8x8.9x
Panther Securities ($PNS)11.8x9.7x9.4x8.5x
 
Median (17 companies)9.7x4.4x4.5x3.4x3.4x
Caledonian Trust ($CNN)25.7x4.0x1.4x