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Driver Group reports 26.0% EBITDA growth in 2018 and 4.0% Revenue growth

11 Dec 2018 • About Driver Group ($DRV) • By InTwits

Driver Group reported FY2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 5.5% in FY2018, 4.5% in FY2017, -4.9% in FY2016, 2.2% in FY2015, 8.7% in FY2014
  • Driver Group has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 0.9%.
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 13.2%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Driver Group's Revenue increased on 4.0%. Revenue growth happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 0.95 pp from 4.5% to 5.5% in FY2018. During FY2014-FY2018 EBITDA Margin bottomed in FY2016 at -4.9% and was growing since that time.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 1.4 pp from 24.6% to 26.0% in FY2018. During the last 5 years Gross Margin bottomed in FY2016 at 20.7% and was growing since that time. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 0.76 pp from 22.4% to 21.6% in FY2018.

Net Income margin increased on 3.0 pp from 0.48% to 3.5% in FY2018. During the last 5 years Net Income margin bottomed in FY2016 at -10.0% and was growing since that time.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.56% in FY2018. CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 0.55 pp from 1.1% in FY2015 to 0.56% in FY2018. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 0.80%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROIC (13.2%) and ROE (12.2%). ROIC increased on 5.6 pp from 7.6% to 13.2% in FY2018. ROE increased on 9.7 pp from 2.5% to 12.2% in FY2018. During FY2014-FY2018 ROIC bottomed in FY2016 at -19.2% and was growing since that time. During the last 5 years ROE bottomed in FY2016 at -53.3% and was growing since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -2.0x and Debt / EBITDA is 0.9x. Debt dropped on 32.6% while cash surged on 103%.

Driver Group has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (1,549.1%).

Valuation and dividends


Driver Group's trades at EV/EBITDA 9.8x and P/E 18.7x.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 30 Sep 2018

Driver Group ($DRV) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue39.07847.95052.38560.22762.6154.0%
Gross Profit9.74210.57010.83814.83616.2779.7%
SG&A12.50814.31813.48513.5460.5%
EBITDA3.4091.067-2.5572.7163.42126.0%
Net Income2.293-1.959-5.2300.2912.169645.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash1.4301.1110.5554.93210.007102.9%
Short Term Debt0.3380.4793.3520.5270.64622.6%
Long Term Debt1.2593.1007.1104.0832.460-39.8%
Cash flow
Capex0.4320.5320.7280.2640.35032.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth6.7%22.7%9.2%15.0%4.0%
EBITDA growth4.6%-68.7%-339.6%-206.2%26.0%

Gross Margin24.9%22.0%20.7%24.6%26.0%1.4%
EBITDA Margin8.7%2.2%-4.9%4.5%5.5%1.0%
SG&A, % of revenue26.1%27.3%22.4%21.6%-0.8%
Net Income Margin5.9%-4.1%-10.0%0.5%3.5%3.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.1%1.1%1.4%0.4%0.6%0.1%

ROIC24.0%3.2%-19.2%7.6%13.2%5.6%
ROE20.9%-16.2%-53.3%2.5%12.2%9.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.0x2.3x-0.1x-2.0x-1.9x

Peers in Support Services


Below we provide Driver Group benchmarking against other companies in Support Services industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Mobilityone Ltd ($MBO)3.7%23.0%-5.3%37.9%
Mortice Ltd ($MORT)18.9%51.1%36.1%21.1%
Rws Hldgs ($RWS)1.8%28.1%34.5%86.6%
Empresaria Group ($EMR)-3.3%-0.3%44.4%32.1%
Norish ($NSH)3.7%16.4%16.7%31.4%
 
Median (49 companies)3.7%6.9%2.2%6.9%8.7%
Driver Group ($DRV)22.7%9.2%15.0%4.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Inspired Energy ($INSE)78.7%76.2%80.5%83.1%
Ienergizer Ltd ($IBPO)76.8%72.7%71.3%71.2%69.7%
Spectra Systems Corp ($SPSY)51.4%47.6%68.3%71.1%
Vianet Group ($VNET)58.8%69.2%70.1%69.7%69.9%
Grafenia ($GRA)56.1%70.8%66.3%63.0%57.0%
 
Median (43 companies)29.2%28.4%27.3%28.1%31.6%
Driver Group ($DRV)24.9%22.0%20.7%24.6%26.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Northgate ($67GX)40.6%39.4%38.3%35.9%35.4%
Spectra Systems Corp ($SPSY)12.3%6.0%19.7%34.0%
Inspired Energy ($INSE)1.5%35.4%34.4%32.4%
Vp ($VP.)24.2%26.2%28.4%28.6%27.2%
Rws Hldgs ($RWS)22.8%23.1%26.4%25.5%20.8%
 
Median (49 companies)6.7%7.6%5.7%5.7%7.1%
Driver Group ($DRV)8.7%2.2%-4.9%4.5%5.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Vp ($VP.)21.6%25.7%24.1%26.0%23.6%
Augean ($AUG)12.3%12.3%11.0%10.0%
Petards Group ($PEG)0.5%0.9%1.7%10.0%
Capital Drilling Ltd ($CAPD)13.9%10.1%13.7%9.0%
Billing Services Group ($BILL)2.1%4.1%3.0%4.5%
 
Median (49 companies)1.0%0.9%1.0%0.9%1.1%
Driver Group ($DRV)1.1%1.1%1.4%0.4%0.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Sthree ($STHR)38.1%50.2%46.2%43.4%
Mortice Ltd ($MORT)19.6%21.9%14.5%23.2%18.4%
Petards Group ($PEG)24.7%23.9%22.7%20.3%
Rws Hldgs ($RWS)24.5%23.3%23.5%20.2%12.8%
Latham(James) ($LTHM)17.5%16.8%19.2%19.3%17.4%
 
Median (50 companies)10.0%10.7%7.9%7.4%7.9%
Driver Group ($DRV)24.0%3.2%-19.2%7.6%13.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Nakama Group ($NAK)5.2x1.4x3.1x48.5x
21St Century Technology ($C21)-0.8x-0.2x11.2x
Ceps ($CEPS)6.6x3.8x13.9x5.8x
Ibex Global Solutions ($IBEX)2.7x1.0x1.7x4.5x
Menzies(John) ($68HN)2.0x2.4x1.2x3.0x
 
Median (42 companies)0.3x-0.1x0.1x0.5x0.8x
Driver Group ($DRV)0.0x2.3x-0.1x-2.0x