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Mobile Streams revenue decline decelerated to 46.5% in FY2018 vs. 55.5% a year earliner

09 Nov 2018 • About Mobile Streams ($MOS) • By InTwits

Mobile Streams reported FY2018 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Mobile Streams is a company in decline: FY2018 revenue growth was -46.5%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -43.7%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -38.7%
  • Mobile Streams motivates its personel by high Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for FY2014-FY2018 was 0.0% while average EBITDA Margin was -2.3% for the sames years
  • Mobile Streams has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 0.3%.
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -117.8%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 46.5%. During the last 5 years Revenue growth bottomed in FY2016 at -56.0% and was accelerating since that time. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 10.7 pp from -28.0% to -38.7% in FY2018. EBITDA Margin stuck to a declining trend at -11.0 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Gross Margin increased on 7.9 pp from 30.8% to 38.7% in FY2018. During the last 5 years Gross Margin bottomed in FY2015 at 26.4% and was growing since that time. SG&A as a % of Revenue jumped on 18.4 pp from 59.1% to 77.5% in FY2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue stuck to a growing trend at 13.2 pp per annum in FY2014-FY2018.

Net Income margin decreased on 3.0 pp from -30.3% to -33.3% in FY2018. Net Income margin declined at -9.6 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


Mobile Streams's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.56% in FY2018. The company's CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from FY2015 to FY2018. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 0.29%. During FY2014-FY2018 CAPEX as a % of Revenue bottomed in FY2016 at 0.063% and was growing since that time.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-117.8%) and ROE (-90.6%). ROIC dropped on 12.1 pp from -106% to -118% in FY2018. ROE surged on 11.0 pp from -102% to -90.6% in FY2018. ROIC followed a declining trend at -38.8 pp per annum in the last 5 years. ROE declined at -26.2 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Leverage (Debt)


The company has no debt. Cash dropped on 54.0%.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 30 Jun 2018

Mobile Streams ($MOS) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue48.57329.06312.7865.6953.046-46.5%
Gross Profit14.2297.6733.5301.7531.178-32.8%
SG&A14.2336.8984.3813.3672.362-29.8%
EBITDA0.4120.834-0.792-1.595-1.178
Net Income-0.5460.337-1.306-1.727-1.015
Balance Sheet
Cash2.9642.0981.3672.2601.039-54.0%
Short Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Long Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Cash flow
Capex0.1180.0490.0080.0150.01713.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth-9.9%-40.2%-56.0%-55.5%-46.5%
EBITDA growth-92.0%102.4%-195.0%101.4%-26.1%

Gross Margin29.3%26.4%27.6%30.8%38.7%7.9%
EBITDA Margin0.8%2.9%-6.2%-28.0%-38.7%-10.7%
SG&A, % of revenue29.3%23.7%34.3%59.1%77.5%18.4%
Net Income Margin-1.1%1.2%-10.2%-30.3%-33.3%-3.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.2%0.2%0.1%0.3%0.6%0.3%

ROIC11.3%24.0%-35.3%-105.7%-117.8%-12.1%
ROE-15.4%9.6%-49.3%-101.6%-90.6%11.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA-7.2x-2.5x

Peers in Mobile Telecommunications


Below you can find Mobile Streams benchmarking vs. other companies in Mobile Telecommunications industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Orascom Telecom Media&Tech Hldg Sae ($OTMT)-89.4%12.8%84.7%190.0%
Megafon OJSC ($MFON)-0.4%0.9%18.0%
Sk Telecom ($SKMD)3.4%-0.2%-0.3%2.5%
Global Telecom Hldg Sae ($GLTD)-13.3%2.1%2.0%
Sistema Jsfc ($SSAA)10.6%-1.5%1.0%
 
Median (6 companies)3.4%-0.3%0.3%2.3%
Mobile Streams ($MOS)-40.2%-56.0%-55.5%-46.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Sk Telecom ($SKMD)90.2%88.6%89.2%89.2%
Megafon OJSC ($MFON)73.1%73.1%69.9%70.7%
Sistema Jsfc ($SSAA)50.4%46.7%49.9%52.0%
Orascom Telecom Media&Tech Hldg Sae ($OTMT)80.0%31.5%42.5%43.9%
Kcell JSC ($KCEL)55.1%46.6%37.5%38.8%
 
Median (5 companies)69.0%49.3%53.7%52.0%
Mobile Streams ($MOS)29.3%26.4%27.6%30.8%38.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Global Telecom Hldg Sae ($GLTD)42.8%43.9%40.3%41.2%
Megafon OJSC ($MFON)43.5%41.9%37.0%36.1%
Sk Telecom ($SKMD)27.5%27.4%26.9%27.3%
Sistema Jsfc ($SSAA)23.9%22.5%25.4%26.2%
Orascom Telecom Media&Tech Hldg Sae ($OTMT)785.3%-8.4%-25.5%24.6%
 
Median (5 companies)35.1%33.7%26.2%27.3%
Mobile Streams ($MOS)0.8%2.9%-6.2%-28.0%-38.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Global Telecom Hldg Sae ($GLTD)36.5%26.2%18.3%29.5%
Orascom Telecom Media&Tech Hldg Sae ($OTMT)82.4%56.3%53.5%19.4%
Megafon OJSC ($MFON)18.5%20.1%18.3%16.5%
Sk Telecom ($SKMD)17.5%14.5%14.6%15.5%
Kcell JSC ($KCEL)9.6%9.5%10.3%15.3%
 
Median (6 companies)15.9%14.8%13.7%16.0%
Mobile Streams ($MOS)0.2%0.2%0.1%0.3%0.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Kcell JSC ($KCEL)62.9%40.2%21.8%21.2%
Global Telecom Hldg Sae ($GLTD)17.4%14.7%17.9%20.7%
Megafon OJSC ($MFON)23.7%19.6%14.8%14.2%
Sistema Jsfc ($SSAA)8.3%7.4%8.6%11.0%
Sk Telecom ($SKMD)8.3%7.3%6.3%5.9%
 
Median (7 companies)17.3%11.0%7.4%11.0%
Mobile Streams ($MOS)11.3%24.0%-35.3%-105.7%-117.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Sistema Jsfc ($SSAA)2.7x3.5x3.0x3.2x
Global Telecom Hldg Sae ($GLTD)2.0x1.6x2.0x2.2x
Megafon OJSC ($MFON)1.4x1.5x1.7x1.7x
Sk Telecom ($SKMD)1.3x1.5x1.3x1.3x
Orascom Telecom Media&Tech Hldg Sae ($OTMT)-0.4x-2.5x
 
Median (5 companies)1.3x1.5x1.7x1.7x