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Avingtrans EBITDA dropped on 623% and EBITDA Margin decreased slightly on 2.0 pp from 0.79% to -1.2%

03 Oct 2018 • About Avingtrans ($AVG) • By InTwits

Avingtrans reported FY2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Avingtrans is a growth stock: FY2018 revenue growth was 247%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 11.7% at FY2018 ROIC -5.9%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -1.2% in FY2018, 0.8% in FY2017, 10.7% in FY2016, 7.4% in FY2015, 4.9% in FY2014
  • Avingtrans has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.8%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 4.1%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: £3m in FY2018, £0m in FY2017, £1m in FY2016, £1m in FY2015, £3m in FY2014
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -5.9%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Avingtrans's Revenue surged on 247%. During the last 5 years Revenue growth bottomed in FY2015 at -62.6% and was accelerating since that time. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.1 pp from 5.2% to 6.3% in FY2018. During FY2014-FY2018 EBITDA Margin topped in FY2016 at 10.7% and was declining since that time.

Gross Margin increased on 7.6 pp from 17.9% to 25.5% in FY2018. During FY2014-FY2018 Gross Margin bottomed in FY2015 at 10.7% and was growing since that time. SG&A as a % of Revenue jumped on 10.4 pp from 19.9% to 30.3% in FY2018. During FY2014-FY2018 SG&A as a % of Revenue bottomed in FY2015 at 13.2% and was growing since that time.

Net Income margin decreased on 4.4 pp from -1.3% to -5.7% in FY2018. During the last 5 years Net Income margin topped in FY2016 at 147% and was declining since that time.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


Avingtrans's CAPEX/Revenue was 3.4% in FY2018. CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from FY2015 to FY2018. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 3.5%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-5.9%) and ROE (-7.9%). ROIC decreased on 5.1 pp from -0.80% to -5.9% in FY2018. ROE decreased on 7.3 pp from -0.54% to -7.9% in FY2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -4.3x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 147.8x from -147.8x to in FY2018. Debt jumped on 993% while cash dropped on 76.3%.

Avingtrans has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 83.2% of short term debt.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 31 May 2018

Avingtrans ($AVG) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue60.26522.55721.17722.71478.864247.2%
Gross Profit14.4572.4233.1494.05520.077395.1%
SG&A14.3882.9843.3764.52123.919429.1%
EBITDA2.9471.6652.2760.179-0.936-622.9%
Net Income2.9141.77131.136-0.296-4.486
Balance Sheet
Cash7.2046.33756.50327.7036.574-76.3%
Short Term Debt7.2099.0524.2060.3217.8982,360.4%
Long Term Debt3.5813.1991.2510.9335.810522.7%
Cash flow
Capex2.9920.8321.0620.4842.654448.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth33.1%-62.6%-6.1%7.3%247.2%
EBITDA growth-20.4%-43.5%36.7%-92.1%-622.9%

Gross Margin24.0%10.7%14.9%17.9%25.5%7.6%
EBITDA Margin4.9%7.4%10.7%0.8%-1.2%-2.0%
SG&A, % of revenue23.9%13.2%15.9%19.9%30.3%10.4%
Net Income Margin4.8%7.9%147.0%-1.3%-5.7%-4.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue5.0%3.7%5.0%2.1%3.4%1.2%

ROIC1.9%-1.3%-0.4%-0.8%-5.9%-5.1%
ROE9.2%5.3%62.9%-0.5%-7.9%-7.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.2x3.6x-22.4x-147.8x

Peers in Industrial Engineering


Below you can find Avingtrans benchmarking vs. other companies in Industrial Engineering industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Flowtech Fluidpower ($FLO)17.7%18.7%19.9%45.6%
Corac Group ($CRA)12.2%-5.7%3.8%38.8%
600 Group ($SIXH)5.0%3.4%29.9%12.3%
Molins ($MLIN)-16.9%-0.5%-52.3%28.7%
Mincon Group ($MCON)4.2%28.8%8.4%27.8%
 
Median (20 companies)5.0%5.0%4.0%8.4%14.8%
Avingtrans ($AVG)-62.6%-6.1%7.3%247.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Somero Enterprise Inc ($SOMA)54.0%55.8%56.8%56.9%
Rotork ($76ID)48.0%45.7%44.3%44.2%
Tricorn Group ($TCN)36.1%36.0%40.3%40.6%38.3%
Amiad Water Systems Ltd ($AFS)38.9%40.5%39.3%39.5%
Mincon Group ($MCON)43.2%40.2%40.1%36.5%
 
Median (17 companies)33.2%34.2%32.0%33.9%31.6%
Avingtrans ($AVG)24.0%10.7%14.9%17.9%25.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Somero Enterprise Inc ($SOMA)27.4%28.2%30.1%32.2%
Rotork ($76ID)28.0%25.0%22.8%19.9%
Ab Dynamics ($ABDP)20.1%24.0%22.7%19.0%
Mincon Group ($MCON)22.7%17.6%16.4%14.3%
Northbridge Industrial Services ($NBI)32.4%32.5%9.1%14.1%
 
Median (19 companies)7.5%8.2%7.7%10.0%6.4%
Avingtrans ($AVG)4.9%7.4%10.7%0.8%-1.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Ab Dynamics ($ABDP)2.5%4.2%7.9%32.7%
Chamberlin ($CMH)2.6%3.1%4.2%11.6%7.9%
Ms International ($MSI)2.0%1.8%4.7%7.7%1.6%
Mincon Group ($MCON)4.3%2.5%6.9%5.8%
Renold ($RNO)3.3%2.1%4.8%4.6%4.5%
 
Median (19 companies)2.4%2.2%3.4%3.0%3.7%
Avingtrans ($AVG)5.0%3.7%5.0%2.1%3.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Somero Enterprise Inc ($SOMA)51.7%54.3%51.7%55.2%
Renold ($RNO)-2.5%41.3%39.1%44.7%21.3%
Ab Dynamics ($ABDP)28.4%31.4%28.0%19.3%
Braime(T.F.& J.H.)(Hldgs) ($BMTO)11.9%7.5%10.9%17.2%
Rotork ($76ID)38.1%21.9%17.0%15.7%
 
Median (20 companies)11.0%9.5%7.1%7.6%9.1%
Avingtrans ($AVG)1.9%-1.3%-0.4%-0.8%-5.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Tricorn Group ($TCN)5.8x4.0x7.2x5.1x2.3x
Pressure Technologies ($PRES)-0.7x1.3x2.3x4.8x
Chamberlin ($CMH)2.2x2.2x4.3x5.8x
600 Group ($SIXH)2.2x3.1x4.0x5.2x
Northbridge Industrial Services ($NBI)1.2x1.5x4.9x2.7x
 
Median (18 companies)0.1x0.7x1.3x0.7x2.0x
Avingtrans ($AVG)1.2x3.6x-22.4x-147.8x