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Safeland reports 78.8 pp EBITDA Margin growth from 15.2% to 94.0% in 2018 in 2018 while 77.6% Revenue decline

21 Aug 2018 • About Safeland ($SAF) • By InTwits

Safeland reported FY2018 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Safeland is a company in decline: FY2018 revenue growth was -77.6%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -19.5%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 94.0% in FY2018, 15.2% in FY2017, 28.0% in FY2016, 65.8% in FY2015, 7.0% in FY2014
  • Safeland has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.8%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 2.5%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: £0m in FY2018, £0m in FY2017, £0m in FY2016, £2m in FY2015, £0m in FY2014
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is 8.9%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 77.6%. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin surged on 78.8 pp from 15.2% to 94.0% in FY2018.

Gross Margin decreased on 8.4 pp from 18.9% to 10.5% in FY2018. During the last 5 years Gross Margin topped in FY2016 at 33.7% and was declining since that time. SG&A as a % of Revenue jumped on 38.4 pp from 13.3% to 51.7% in FY2018.

Net Income margin surged on 56.1 pp from 17.9% to 74% in FY2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2018 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.5%. Safeland showed big decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 18.0 pp from 19.5% in FY2015 to 1.5% in FY2018. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.0%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (8.9%) and ROE (10.3%). ROIC increased on 2.1 pp from 6.7% to 8.9% in FY2018. ROE decreased slightly on 2.0 pp from 12.3% to 10.3% in FY2018. During FY2014-FY2018 ROE topped in FY2015 at 45.2% and was declining since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 3.4x Net Debt / EBITDA and 3.8x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 2.2x from 1.2x to 3.4x in FY2018. Debt surged on 36.9% while cash dropped on 79.8%.

Safeland has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 10.2% of short term debt.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 31 Mar 2018

Safeland ($SAF) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue10.40810.25621.11612.9722.900-77.6%
Gross Profit2.1392.7617.1132.4550.305-87.6%
SG&A1.5701.2871.7211.498-13.0%
EBITDA0.7316.7525.9201.9722.72538.2%
Net Income0.8105.7334.5352.3222.146-7.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash1.0030.4542.9885.2801.066-79.8%
Short Term Debt0.0001.2580.0007.63910.45536.9%
Long Term Debt8.4007.18510.9270.0000.000
Cash flow
Capex0.1152.0030.1050.1430.044-69.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth21.2%-1.5%105.9%-38.6%-77.6%
EBITDA growth-625.9%823.7%-12.3%-66.7%38.2%

Gross Margin20.6%26.9%33.7%18.9%10.5%-8.4%
EBITDA Margin7.0%65.8%28.0%15.2%94.0%78.8%
SG&A, % of revenue15.3%6.1%13.3%51.7%38.4%
Net Income Margin7.8%55.9%21.5%17.9%74.0%56.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.1%19.5%0.5%1.1%1.5%0.4%

ROIC3.7%31.2%22.5%6.7%8.9%2.1%
ROE8.0%45.2%27.9%12.3%10.3%-2.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA10.1x1.2x1.3x1.2x3.4x2.2x

Peers in Real Estate Investment & Services


Below you can find Safeland benchmarking vs. other companies in Real Estate Investment & Services industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Plaza Centers Nv ($PLAZ)131.0%-13.4%-53.3%664.4%
PIK Group OJSC ($PIK)-2.1%-16.5%17.5%191.5%
London & Associated Properties ($LAS)-22.6%-2.6%-9.1%51.4%
Etalon Group Ltd ($ETLN)29.0%-17.6%15.6%44.1%
Formation Group ($FRM)35.8%199.3%23.8%25.8%
 
Median (20 companies)1.9%7.0%7.6%11.7%32.2%
Safeland ($SAF)-1.5%105.9%-38.6%-77.6%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Arricano Real Estate ($ARO)96.5%96.1%96.4%96.5%
Summit Germany Ltd ($SMTG)92.3%92.2%92.2%
Caledonian Trust ($CNN)43.2%50.4%80.5%
Panther Securities ($PNS)68.0%73.5%75.2%70.8%
Songbird Estates ($SBD)70.7%72.5%72.8%68.6%
 
Median (14 companies)39.3%46.6%42.8%33.4%
Safeland ($SAF)20.6%26.9%33.7%18.9%10.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Summit Germany Ltd ($SMTG)89.3%75.5%129.4%241.4%
Arricano Real Estate ($ARO)-138.3%12.7%190.4%238.1%
Caledonian Trust ($CNN)-59.1%17.4%191.0%
Safestore Hldgs ($SAFE)77.7%128.4%95.1%84.8%
Raven Russia Ltd ($RUS)4.7%-52.3%40.4%75.8%
 
Median (19 companies)20.4%24.8%32.8%28.6%14.7%
Safeland ($SAF)7.0%65.8%28.0%15.2%94.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Panther Securities ($PNS)26.0%15.7%3.7%68.6%
Taliesin Property Fund Ltd ($TPFZ)45.2%43.7%37.2%40.5%
Hagl JSC ($HAG)145.6%127.1%55.5%30.0%
St.Modwen Properties ($SMP)36.7%55.8%31.3%19.3%
Safestore Hldgs ($SAFE)6.3%7.2%24.5%16.7%
 
Median (20 companies)6.3%5.1%1.5%1.8%1.5%
Safeland ($SAF)1.1%19.5%0.5%1.1%1.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Arricano Real Estate ($ARO)-12.3%1.7%34.2%43.8%
Damac Real Estate Development Ltd ($DMC)31.3%41.5%24.5%16.0%
Summit Germany Ltd ($SMTG)7.1%5.6%9.2%15.8%
Taliesin Property Fund Ltd ($TPFZ)0.3%-3.0%15.3%15.1%
Etalon Group Ltd ($ETLN)14.3%10.2%6.6%12.6%
 
Median (20 companies)3.2%4.9%6.4%6.8%7.6%
Safeland ($SAF)3.7%31.2%22.5%6.7%8.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Development Securities ($DSC)10.3x3.5x5.7x70.8x3.9x
Hagl JSC ($HAG)14.2x14.8x30.8x11.7x
Songbird Estates ($SBD)12.3x12.4x11.3x
Farglory Land Development Co Ltd ($FLDS)5.7x4.4x4.8x8.9x
Panther Securities ($PNS)11.8x9.7x9.4x8.5x
 
Median (17 companies)8.7x4.5x5.2x4.0x2.2x
Safeland ($SAF)10.1x1.2x1.3x1.2x3.4x