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Leeds Group Debt dropped on 28.6% while Revenue increased slightly on 1.2%

10 Aug 2018 • About Leeds Group ($LDSG) • By InTwits

Leeds Group reported FY2018 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • EBITDA Margin is relatively stable: 4.2% in FY2018 vs. 5.1% in FY2017 vs. 5.6% in FY2014
  • Leeds Group has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.9%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 1.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: £0m in FY2018, £2m in FY2017, £4m in FY2016, £0m in FY2015, £0m in FY2014
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 4.6%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 2.5x while industry average is -2.1x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased slightly on 1.2%. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin surged on 12.0 pp from 5.8% to 17.8% in FY2018. EBITDA Margin stuck to a declining trend at -0.28 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 0.78 pp from 20.9% to 21.7% in FY2018. During FY2014-FY2018 Gross Margin bottomed in FY2017 at 20.9%. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 2.0 pp from 17.1% to 19.0% in FY2018. During FY2014-FY2018 SG&A as a % of Revenue bottomed in FY2016 at 10.9% and was growing since that time.

Net Income margin decreased slightly on 1.4 pp from 2.7% to 1.3% in FY2018. Net Income margin pursued a declining trend in FY2014-FY2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


Leeds Group's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.96% in FY2018. CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from FY2015 to FY2018. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 6.0%. During FY2014-FY2018 CAPEX as a % of Revenue topped in FY2016 at 11.5% and was declining since that time.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (4.6%) and ROE (2.9%). ROIC decreased on 2.2 pp from 6.8% to 4.6% in FY2018. ROE decreased on 3.7 pp from 6.6% to 2.9% in FY2018. ROIC stuck to a declining trend at -1.6 pp per annum in FY2014-FY2018. ROE pursued a declining trend in the last 5 years.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 2.5x and Debt / EBITDA is 2.9x. Net Debt / EBITDA decreased on 0.1x from 2.6x to 2.5x in FY2018. Debt dropped on 28.6% while cash dropped on 63.5%. Net Debt/EBITDA followed a growing trend at 0.9x per annum in the last 5 years.

Leeds Group has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 42.4% of short term debt.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 30 Nov -0001

Leeds Group ($LDSG) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue34.21034.85936.27241.05341.5381.2%
Gross Profit7.7707.7937.7098.5859.0125.0%
SG&A6.0886.1713.9497.0087.91012.9%
EBITDA1.9031.8501.8442.1121.763-16.5%
Net Income1.0791.0531.0391.1140.545-51.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash1.7722.0271.6121.5670.572-63.5%
Short Term Debt0.0440.7660.4153.1031.349-56.5%
Long Term Debt0.8130.6653.8433.9843.708-6.9%
Cash flow
Capex0.2210.2984.1562.2800.400-82.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth9.9%1.9%4.1%13.2%1.2%
EBITDA growth9.6%-2.8%-0.3%14.5%-16.5%

Gross Margin22.7%22.4%21.3%20.9%21.7%0.8%
EBITDA Margin5.6%5.3%5.1%5.1%4.2%-0.9%
SG&A, % of revenue17.8%17.7%10.9%17.1%19.0%2.0%
Net Income Margin3.2%3.0%2.9%2.7%1.3%-1.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.6%0.9%11.5%5.6%1.0%-4.6%

ROIC10.6%10.6%8.5%6.8%4.6%-2.2%
ROE7.8%7.6%7.1%6.6%2.9%-3.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.5x-0.3x1.4x2.6x2.5x-0.1x

Peers in Financial Services


Below you can find Leeds Group benchmarking vs. other companies in Financial Services industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Starvest ($SVE)-52.9%-4.8%346.6%
Henderson Group ($HGG)13.8%13.0%-1.0%90.7%
Arden Partners ($ARDN)-21.3%-31.0%6.8%78.9%
Impax Asset Management Group ($IPX)10.3%-3.1%6.8%55.2%
Afh Financial Group ($AFHP)39.3%39.5%15.0%39.4%
 
Median (33 companies)3.1%2.9%6.8%12.3%16.2%
Leeds Group ($LDSG)1.9%4.1%13.2%1.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Record ($REC)99.6%99.3%99.0%98.8%98.7%
London Capital Group Hldgs ($LCG)73.6%67.9%84.2%86.4%
Schroders ($SDRC)77.7%78.3%79.9%80.0%
First Property Group ($FPO)67.9%83.0%80.6%78.6%76.3%
Walker Crips Group ($WCW)68.2%66.7%67.7%69.8%67.2%
 
Median (13 companies)52.2%52.8%63.3%53.4%67.2%
Leeds Group ($LDSG)22.7%22.4%21.3%20.9%21.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Real Estate Credit Investments Pcc ($RECP)77.0%80.3%79.3%79.5%81.8%
Hargreaves Lansdown ($HL.)58.7%51.2%57.5%69.3%66.8%
Plus500 Ltd ($PLUS)63.5%48.2%46.0%59.3%
First Property Group ($FPO)40.2%42.9%52.2%57.4%52.9%
Livermore Investments Group Ltd ($LIV)78.8%83.5%71.9%56.8%
 
Median (30 companies)16.8%18.3%18.5%22.8%37.2%
Leeds Group ($LDSG)5.6%5.3%5.1%5.1%4.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Daishin Securities Co ($DSS)15.0%6.5%15.1%11.2%
First Property Group ($FPO)0.3%0.1%6.4%8.5%9.4%
Schroders ($SDRC)1.5%1.9%3.0%6.9%
Record ($REC)0.1%0.6%0.1%3.8%1.0%
Guinness Peat Group ($GPG)2.9%3.0%2.8%3.3%
 
Median (30 companies)0.8%0.9%0.8%1.0%1.3%
Leeds Group ($LDSG)0.6%0.9%11.5%5.6%1.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Plus500 Ltd ($PLUS)164.3%116.5%118.9%143.2%
Fulcrum Utility Services Ld ($FCRM)347.2%103.4%29.9%
Hargreaves Lansdown ($HL.)101.0%87.5%90.0%93.3%82.4%
Guinness Peat Group ($GPG)10.0%13.7%23.8%28.8%
Lighthouse Group ($LGT)8.6%14.6%25.7%26.6%
 
Median (34 companies)7.6%7.6%7.5%9.9%11.4%
Leeds Group ($LDSG)10.6%10.6%8.5%6.8%4.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Daishin Securities Co ($DSS)10.7x8.0x13.4x12.7x
First Property Group ($FPO)5.6x12.3x9.4x7.6x7.7x
S & U ($46IE)1.7x3.1x0.5x1.8x3.2x
Guinness Peat Group ($GPG)-2.1x-1.6x-0.4x1.2x
Schroders ($SDRC)-0.7x0.1x0.8x1.1x
 
Median (26 companies)-2.3x-1.2x-1.4x-1.6x-0.9x
Leeds Group ($LDSG)-0.5x-0.3x1.4x2.6x2.5x