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Air Partner revenue dropped on 77.5% while EBITDA Margin surged on 10.4 pp from 2.2% to 12.6%

11 Jun 2018 • About Air Partner ($AIP) • By InTwits

Air Partner reported FY2018 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Air Partner is a company in decline: FY2018 revenue growth was -77.5%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -26.1%
  • EBITDA Margin is expanding: 12.6% in FY2018 vs. 2.2% in FY2017 vs. 1.4% in FY2014
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 12.6% in FY2018, 2.2% in FY2017, 1.9% in FY2016, 1.5% in FY2015, 1.4% in FY2014
  • Air Partner has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 0.4%.
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 34.6%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 77.5%. Revenue decline happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin surged on 10.4 pp from 2.2% to 12.6% in FY2018. EBITDA Margin pursued a growing trend in the last 5 years.

Gross Margin jumped on 59.7 pp from 14.7% to 74.4% in FY2018. Gross Margin followed a growing trend in FY2014-FY2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue jumped on 50.9 pp from 12.6% to 63.5% in FY2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue followed a growing trend in the last 5 years.

Net Income margin increased on 6.2 pp from 1.2% to 7.4% in FY2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 1.5% in FY2018. The company's CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 1.0 pp from 0.43% in FY2015 to 1.5% in FY2018. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 0.52%.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROIC (34.6%) and ROE (31.9%). ROIC jumped on 10.0 pp from 24.6% to 34.6% in FY2018. ROE surged on 11.5 pp from 20.3% to 31.9% in FY2018. During the last 5 years ROIC bottomed in FY2015 at 20.0% and was growing since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -2.5x Net Debt / EBITDA and 0.4x Debt / EBITDA. Debt dropped on 15.5% while cash increased slightly on 0.90%.

The company has no short term refinancing risk: short term debt is zero.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 31 Jan 2018

Air Partner ($AIP) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue224.0192.1210.8215.848.5-77.5%
Gross Profit23.822.027.331.736.113.8%
SG&A21.019.424.027.330.812.8%
EBITDA3.12.94.04.86.127.6%
Net Income1.92.82.32.53.641.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash18.418.819.817.818.00.9%
Short Term Debt0.00.00.50.50.0-100.0%
Long Term Debt0.00.03.02.42.52.3%
Cash flow
Capex0.10.80.10.10.7637.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth1.5%-14.2%9.7%2.4%-77.5%
EBITDA growth-25.5%-6.4%38.6%20.8%27.6%

Gross Margin10.6%11.5%12.9%14.7%74.4%59.7%
EBITDA Margin1.4%1.5%1.9%2.2%12.6%10.4%
SG&A, % of revenue9.4%10.1%11.4%12.6%63.5%50.9%
Net Income Margin0.9%1.4%1.1%1.2%7.4%6.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.0%0.4%0.1%0.0%1.5%1.4%

ROIC21.2%20.0%20.4%24.6%34.6%10.0%
ROE14.1%21.5%17.1%20.3%31.9%11.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA-6.0x-6.6x-4.1x-3.1x-2.5x0.6x

Peers in Travel & Leisure


Below you can find Air Partner benchmarking vs. other companies in Travel & Leisure industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Nektan ($NKTN)75.8%-71.7%995.3%129.1%
Celtic ($CCP)-14.6%-21.1%1.8%74.3%
Webis Holdings ($WEB)-55.0%29.7%45.3%65.8%
Easyhotel ($EZH)34.1%56.4%8.7%39.7%
Eclectic Bar Grp ($BAR)10.5%-1.9%1.4%38.6%
 
Median (25 companies)2.8%7.6%8.3%7.9%7.6%
Air Partner ($AIP)-14.2%9.7%2.4%-77.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Intercontinental Hotels Group ($IHG)60.1%64.5%86.0%86.0%
Eclectic Bar Grp ($BAR)79.0%79.4%80.7%82.3%
Paddy Power ($PAP)81.0%74.7%76.9%76.8%
Nektan ($NKTN)57.6%42.6%67.9%64.1%
Dalata Hotel Group ($DAL)62.8%61.5%62.2%63.2%
 
Median (16 companies)56.6%41.5%50.7%38.1%12.4%
Air Partner ($AIP)10.6%11.5%12.9%14.7%74.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Irish Continental Group ($ICGC)27.3%23.6%25.7%32.8%
Ryanair Hldgs ($RYA)20.1%25.1%28.9%30.6%31.2%
Dalata Hotel Group ($DAL)7.7%20.8%24.5%29.5%
Heavitree Brewery ($HVT)22.7%23.7%25.0%27.8%
Paddy Power ($PAP)29.8%20.4%17.0%26.7%
 
Median (25 companies)12.7%12.9%17.0%17.2%16.4%
Air Partner ($AIP)1.4%1.5%1.9%2.2%12.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Easyhotel ($EZH)209.8%46.8%153.2%269.8%
Dalata Hotel Group ($DAL)26.7%12.7%37.4%39.0%
Everyman Media Group ($EMAN)25.9%56.4%64.2%38.4%
Richoux Group ($RIC)14.3%10.0%17.0%34.3%
Ryanair Hldgs ($RYA)10.0%13.9%18.6%21.8%20.6%
 
Median (25 companies)5.4%7.2%14.1%6.0%13.5%
Air Partner ($AIP)0.0%0.4%0.1%0.0%1.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Intercontinental Hotels Group ($IHG)56.3%96.6%51.2%92.2%
Irish Continental Group ($ICGC)40.0%33.9%30.1%35.4%
Ryanair Hldgs ($RYA)9.5%13.3%17.2%17.7%18.4%
Hanatour Service Inc ($TOUR)19.6%19.4%8.6%15.7%
Tui Ag ($TUI)16.1%15.0%15.5%14.4%
 
Median (26 companies)4.8%5.9%5.3%6.8%7.1%
Air Partner ($AIP)21.2%20.0%20.4%24.6%34.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Marston'S ($MARS)14.0x8.2x6.2x6.9x8.7x
Rotala ($ROL)2.8x3.6x3.6x3.9x
Heavitree Brewery ($HVT)2.9x4.6x4.1x3.7x
Fuller Smith & Turner ($BA80)2.7x2.8x3.2x3.1x3.0x
Mandarin Oriental International ($MDOB)2.5x0.8x2.3x2.6x
 
Median (22 companies)1.3x1.5x2.3x1.9x2.3x
Air Partner ($AIP)-6.0x-6.6x-4.1x-3.1x-2.5x