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First Property Group reports 18.8% CAPEX growth in 2018 and 7.6% Revenue growth

08 Jun 2018 • About First Property Group ($FPO) • By InTwits

First Property Group reported FY2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • First Property Group is a fast growth stock: FY2018 revenue growth was 7.6%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 19.1% at FY2018 ROIC 6.7%
  • First Property Group has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 5.0%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 1.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: £2m in FY2018, £2m in FY2017, £1m in FY2016, £0m in FY2015, £0m in FY2014
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 6.7%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 7.7x while industry average is -2.1x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


First Property Group's Revenue increased on 7.6%. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin jumped on 28.2 pp from 18.6% to 46.8% in FY2018. EBITDA Margin stuck to a growing trend at 4.0 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Gross Margin decreased on 2.3 pp from 78.6% to 76.3% in FY2018. During FY2014-FY2018 Gross Margin topped in FY2015 at 83.0% and was declining since that time.

Net Income margin decreased on 6.6 pp from 33.1% to 26.5% in FY2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 9.4% in FY2018. First Property Group's CAPEX/Revenue increased on 9.3 pp from 0.076% in FY2015 to 9.4% in FY2018. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 8.1%. CAPEX as a % of Revenue grew at 2.7 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (15.5%) while ROIC is low (6.7%). ROIC decreased slightly on 0.70 pp from 7.4% to 6.7% in FY2018. ROE decreased on 6.1 pp from 21.6% to 15.5% in FY2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 7.7x Net Debt / EBITDA and 8.8x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA increased on 0.1x from 7.6x to 7.7x in FY2018. Debt showed almost no change in FY2018 while cash decreased on 4.0%.

First Property Group has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (184.1%).

Financial and operational results


FY ended 30 Nov -0001

First Property Group ($FPO) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue18.04518.52321.95523.66325.4607.6%
Gross Profit12.24515.36717.70018.59819.4304.5%
EBITDA7.2577.95011.46213.57413.473-0.7%
Net Income5.2818.1725.0087.8336.755-13.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash11.27912.2408.97515.94615.315-4.0%
Short Term Debt4.34911.7887.66819.6418.319-57.6%
Long Term Debt47.21297.925108.992100.043110.76810.7%
Cash flow
Capex0.0600.0141.4132.0162.39418.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth69.7%2.6%18.5%7.8%7.6%
EBITDA growth81.7%9.5%44.2%18.4%-0.7%

Gross Margin67.9%83.0%80.6%78.6%76.3%-2.3%
EBITDA Margin40.2%42.9%52.2%57.4%52.9%-4.4%
Net Income Margin29.3%44.1%22.8%33.1%26.5%-6.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.3%0.1%6.4%8.5%9.4%0.9%

ROIC12.2%7.0%6.7%7.4%6.7%-0.7%
ROE25.9%31.1%16.1%21.6%15.5%-6.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA5.6x12.3x9.4x7.6x7.7x0.1x

Peers in Financial Services


Below you can find First Property Group benchmarking vs. other companies in Financial Services industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Starvest ($SVE)-52.9%-4.8%346.6%
Henderson Group ($HGG)13.8%13.0%-1.0%90.7%
Arden Partners ($ARDN)-21.3%-31.0%6.8%78.9%
Impax Asset Management Group ($IPX)10.3%-3.1%6.8%55.2%
Afh Financial Group ($AFHP)39.3%39.5%15.0%39.4%
 
Median (33 companies)7.4%2.9%5.0%12.9%24.8%
First Property Group ($FPO)2.6%18.5%7.8%7.6%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Record ($REC)99.6%99.3%99.0%98.8%
London Capital Group Hldgs ($LCG)73.6%67.9%84.2%86.4%
Schroders ($SDRC)77.7%78.3%79.9%80.0%
Walker Crips Group ($WCW)68.2%66.7%67.7%69.8%
S & U ($46IE)67.6%65.3%63.3%58.6%53.8%
 
Median (13 companies)43.8%52.3%55.4%49.4%45.3%
First Property Group ($FPO)67.9%83.0%80.6%78.6%76.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Real Estate Credit Investments Pcc ($RECP)77.0%80.3%79.3%79.5%81.8%
Hargreaves Lansdown ($HL.)58.7%51.2%57.5%69.3%
Plus500 Ltd ($PLUS)63.5%48.2%46.0%59.3%
Livermore Investments Group Ltd ($LIV)78.8%83.5%71.9%56.8%
Starvest ($SVE)-136.5%-2,683.1%63.4%56.4%
 
Median (30 companies)14.4%16.9%17.2%20.9%29.5%
First Property Group ($FPO)40.2%42.9%52.2%57.4%52.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Daishin Securities Co ($DSS)15.0%6.5%15.1%11.2%
Schroders ($SDRC)1.5%1.9%3.0%6.9%
Leeds Group ($LDSG)0.6%0.9%11.5%5.6%
Record ($REC)0.1%0.6%0.1%3.8%
Guinness Peat Group ($GPG)2.9%3.0%2.8%3.3%
 
Median (30 companies)0.8%1.0%0.8%1.0%0.6%
First Property Group ($FPO)0.3%0.1%6.4%8.5%9.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Plus500 Ltd ($PLUS)164.3%116.5%118.9%143.2%
Fulcrum Utility Services Ld ($FCRM)347.2%103.4%29.9%
Hargreaves Lansdown ($HL.)101.0%87.5%90.0%93.3%
Guinness Peat Group ($GPG)10.0%13.7%23.8%28.8%
Lighthouse Group ($LGT)8.6%14.6%25.7%26.6%
 
Median (34 companies)7.6%7.8%8.1%9.9%11.4%
First Property Group ($FPO)12.2%7.0%6.7%7.4%6.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Daishin Securities Co ($DSS)10.7x8.0x13.4x12.7x
Leeds Group ($LDSG)-0.5x-0.3x1.4x2.6x
S & U ($46IE)1.7x3.1x0.5x1.8x3.2x
Guinness Peat Group ($GPG)-2.1x-1.6x-0.4x1.2x
Schroders ($SDRC)-0.7x0.1x0.8x1.1x
 
Median (26 companies)-2.3x-1.2x-1.4x-1.6x-0.9x
First Property Group ($FPO)5.6x12.3x9.4x7.6x7.7x