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Tongaat Hulett Ltd reports 92.8% CAPEX growth in 2018 while 5.2% Revenue decline

28 May 2018 • About Tongaat Hulett Ltd ($THL) • By InTwits

Tongaat Hulett Ltd reported FY2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Tongaat Hulett Ltd has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 7.6%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 7.3%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 2,061 ZARm in FY2018, 1,069 ZARm in FY2017, 1,824 ZARm in FY2016, 808 ZARm in FY2015, 646 ZARm in FY2014
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is 8.3%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Tongaat Hulett Ltd's Revenue decreased on 5.2%. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased slightly on 1.8 pp from 19.3% to 17.5% in FY2018.

Gross Margin decreased on 2.3 pp from 22.9% to 20.6% in FY2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.6 pp from 11.6% to 13.1% in FY2018.

Net Income margin decreased slightly on 1.3 pp from 5.5% to 4.2% in FY2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


Tongaat Hulett Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 12.1% in FY2018. The company showed CAPEX/Revenue growth of 7.1 pp from 5.0% in FY2015 to 12.1% in FY2018. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 9.7%. The company invested a big chunk of EBITDA (69.5%) to CAPEX which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (8.3%) and ROE (6.8%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.5 pp from 9.8% to 8.3% in FY2018. ROE decreased slightly on 1.4 pp from 8.2% to 6.8% in FY2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 2.3x Net Debt / EBITDA and 3.2x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 0.8x from 1.5x to 2.3x in FY2018. Debt surged on 19.7% while cash decreased on 2.9%.

Tongaat Hulett Ltd has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 58.3% of short term debt.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 31 Mar 2018

Tongaat Hulett Ltd ($THL) key annual financial indicators

mln. ZAR201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue15,71616,15516,67617,91516,982-5.2%
Gross Profit4,2083,6233,3224,1013,497-14.7%
SG&A2,0121,9482,1012,0742,2317.6%
EBITDA2,9822,6692,9223,4552,965-14.2%
Net Income1,155989716983713-27.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,0671,6681,8772,7412,662-2.9%
Short Term Debt1,6271,8503,5633,0564,56449.3%
Long Term Debt4,7854,7104,3964,9755,0481.5%
Cash flow
Capex6468081,8241,0692,06192.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth9.3%2.8%3.2%7.4%-5.2%
EBITDA growth14.1%-10.5%9.5%18.2%-14.2%

Gross Margin26.8%22.4%19.9%22.9%20.6%-2.3%
EBITDA Margin19.0%16.5%17.5%19.3%17.5%-1.8%
SG&A, % of revenue12.8%12.1%12.6%11.6%13.1%1.6%
Net Income Margin7.3%6.1%4.3%5.5%4.2%-1.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.1%5.0%10.9%6.0%12.1%6.2%

ROIC12.4%9.7%6.9%9.8%8.3%-1.5%
ROE12.2%8.8%5.7%8.2%6.8%-1.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.8x1.8x2.1x1.5x2.3x0.8x

Peers in Food Producers


Below you can find Tongaat Hulett Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Food Producers industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Narborough Plantations ($NBP)3.5%0.5%38.2%
R.E.A.Hldgs ($RE.B)13.9%-28.1%-12.4%26.5%
Tate & Lyle ($BD15)-15.0%0.6%16.9%-1.6%
Mhp Sa ($MHPC)-14.2%-4.0%13.4%
Carr'S Milling Industries ($CRM)-8.4%-22.8%-4.9%9.9%
 
Median (18 companies)-1.4%-5.3%0.5%6.7%-1.6%
Tongaat Hulett Ltd ($THL)2.8%3.2%7.4%-5.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Narborough Plantations ($NBP)59.7%54.6%56.1%63.0%
Walcom Group Ltd ($WALG)62.2%60.5%58.8%54.6%
Kakuzi ($KAKU)33.0%49.2%46.4%44.7%
Unilever ($ULVR)41.4%42.2%42.7%43.1%
Produce Investments ($PIL)33.5%36.4%37.9%35.7%
 
Median (16 companies)32.5%24.6%26.8%26.5%
Tongaat Hulett Ltd ($THL)26.8%22.4%19.9%22.9%20.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Narborough Plantations ($NBP)39.6%37.4%40.8%48.6%
Mhp Sa ($MHPC)37.0%38.8%37.0%35.3%
Kakuzi ($KAKU)11.8%29.4%31.8%32.7%
R.E.A.Hldgs ($RE.B)33.2%31.1%22.9%20.7%
Unilever ($ULVR)19.4%16.8%18.0%19.8%
 
Median (18 companies)8.7%8.8%10.0%13.0%16.4%
Tongaat Hulett Ltd ($THL)19.0%16.5%17.5%19.3%17.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
R.E.A.Hldgs ($RE.B)11.8%17.4%39.3%32.8%
Ros Agro ($AGRO)7.3%15.3%19.7%21.9%
Cherkizovo Group OJSC ($CHE)9.7%12.2%10.4%10.9%
Kakuzi ($KAKU)22.0%24.9%13.7%10.3%
Real Good Food ($RGD)6.3%1.4%6.4%10.0%
 
Median (18 companies)4.8%4.6%3.5%4.7%4.1%
Tongaat Hulett Ltd ($THL)4.1%5.0%10.9%6.0%12.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Unilever ($ULVR)29.9%26.0%24.3%24.6%
Mhp Sa ($MHPC)17.6%17.6%16.1%17.6%
Kakuzi ($KAKU)4.3%17.4%15.8%15.6%
Tate & Lyle ($BD15)13.2%1.8%7.2%12.1%14.4%
Kerry Group ($KYGA)16.6%15.8%12.8%11.9%
 
Median (19 companies)10.8%8.7%8.1%8.3%14.4%
Tongaat Hulett Ltd ($THL)12.4%9.7%6.9%9.8%8.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Avangardco Investments Public Ltd ($AVGR)1.7x241.4x29.9x
R.E.A.Hldgs ($RE.B)3.9x7.2x10.6x10.8x
Zambeef Products ($ZAM)4.8x3.0x2.1x4.0x
Ros Agro ($AGRO)0.6x1.8x1.9x3.7x
Cherkizovo Group OJSC ($CHE)1.6x3.1x3.8x3.2x
 
Median (16 companies)1.4x1.6x1.4x1.9x0.9x
Tongaat Hulett Ltd ($THL)1.8x1.8x2.1x1.5x2.3x