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Young & Co'S Brewery reports 11.9% CAPEX decline in 2018 while 3.9% Revenue growth

24 May 2018 • About Young & Co'S Brewery ($YNGN) • By InTwits

Young & Co'S Brewery reported FY2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is relatively stable: 23.4% in FY2018 vs. 23.5% in FY2017 vs. 21.7% in FY2014
  • Young & Co'S Brewery has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 13.1%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 2.4%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $5m in FY2018, $7m in FY2017, $10m in FY2016, $2m in FY2015, $3m in FY2014
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 6.1%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 2.2x while industry average is -2.9x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased on 3.9%. EBITDA Margin showed almost no change in FY2018. EBITDA Margin followed a growing trend at 0.39 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Net Income margin showed almost no change in FY2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


Young & Co'S Brewery's CAPEX/Revenue was 10.9% in FY2018. Young & Co'S Brewery showed decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 3.4 pp from 14.3% in FY2015 to 10.9% in FY2018. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 13.5%. During the last 5 years CAPEX as a % of Revenue topped in FY2016 at 16.9% and was declining since that time.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (6.1%) and ROE (5.8%). ROIC showed almost no change in FY2018. ROE decreased slightly on 0.57 pp from 6.3% to 5.8% in FY2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 2.2x and Debt / EBITDA is 2.3x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 0.1x from 2.0x to 2.2x in FY2018. Debt surged on 10.9% while cash increased on 9.1%.

Young & Co'S Brewery has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 72.0% of short term debt.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 02 Apr 2018

Young & Co'S Brewery ($YNGN) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue210.8227.0245.9268.9279.33.9%
EBITDA45.852.055.663.165.33.5%
Net Income22.126.726.630.030.10.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash2.40.213.26.67.29.1%
Short Term Debt0.05.00.028.510.0-64.9%
Long Term Debt114.4124.2143.4104.7137.731.5%
Cash flow
Capex22.832.441.634.530.4-11.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth8.8%7.7%8.3%9.4%3.9%
EBITDA growth8.6%13.6%6.9%13.5%3.5%

EBITDA Margin21.7%22.9%22.6%23.5%23.4%-0.1%
Net Income Margin10.5%11.8%10.8%11.2%10.8%-0.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue10.8%14.3%16.9%12.8%10.9%-1.9%

ROIC6.3%6.6%6.2%6.5%6.1%-0.4%
ROE6.2%6.8%6.2%6.3%5.8%-0.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.4x2.5x2.3x2.0x2.2x0.1x

Peers in Travel & Leisure


Below we provide Young & Co'S Brewery benchmarking against other companies in Travel & Leisure industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Nektan ($NKTN)75.8%-71.7%995.3%129.1%
Celtic ($CCP)-14.6%-21.1%1.8%74.3%
Webis Holdings ($WEB)-55.0%29.7%45.3%65.8%
Easyhotel ($EZH)34.1%56.4%8.7%39.7%
Eclectic Bar Grp ($BAR)10.5%-1.9%1.4%38.6%
 
Median (23 companies)2.3%7.0%8.7%7.9%9.6%
Young & Co'S Brewery ($YNGN)7.7%8.3%9.4%3.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Intercontinental Hotels Group ($IHG)60.1%64.5%86.0%86.0%
Eclectic Bar Grp ($BAR)79.0%79.4%80.7%82.3%
Paddy Power ($PAP)81.0%74.7%76.9%76.8%
Nektan ($NKTN)57.6%42.6%67.9%64.1%
Dalata Hotel Group ($DAL)62.8%61.5%62.2%63.2%
 
Median (16 companies)48.1%40.4%42.7%38.1%12.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Irish Continental Group ($ICGC)27.3%23.6%25.7%32.8%
Ryanair Hldgs ($RYA)20.1%25.1%28.9%30.6%31.2%
Dalata Hotel Group ($DAL)7.7%20.8%24.5%29.5%
Heavitree Brewery ($HVT)22.7%23.7%25.0%27.8%
Paddy Power ($PAP)29.8%20.4%17.0%26.7%
 
Median (23 companies)12.3%12.5%15.9%17.2%16.3%
Young & Co'S Brewery ($YNGN)21.7%22.9%22.6%23.5%23.4%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Easyhotel ($EZH)209.8%46.8%153.2%269.8%
Dalata Hotel Group ($DAL)26.7%12.7%37.4%39.0%
Everyman Media Group ($EMAN)25.9%56.4%64.2%38.4%
Ryanair Hldgs ($RYA)10.0%13.9%18.6%21.8%20.6%
Marston'S ($MARS)17.5%16.2%15.3%19.4%14.3%
 
Median (23 companies)5.1%5.7%8.1%5.4%13.9%
Young & Co'S Brewery ($YNGN)10.8%14.3%16.9%12.8%10.9%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Intercontinental Hotels Group ($IHG)56.3%96.6%51.2%92.2%
Irish Continental Group ($ICGC)40.0%33.9%30.1%35.4%
Air Partner ($AIP)21.2%20.0%20.4%24.6%
Ryanair Hldgs ($RYA)9.5%13.3%17.2%17.7%18.4%
Hanatour Service Inc ($TOUR)19.6%19.4%8.6%15.7%
 
Median (24 companies)4.8%5.9%5.4%8.5%8.1%
Young & Co'S Brewery ($YNGN)6.3%6.6%6.2%6.5%6.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Marston'S ($MARS)14.0x8.2x6.2x6.9x8.7x
Rotala ($ROL)2.8x3.6x3.6x3.9x
Heavitree Brewery ($HVT)2.9x4.6x4.1x3.7x
Fuller Smith & Turner ($BA80)2.7x2.8x3.2x3.1x3.0x
Mandarin Oriental International ($MDOB)2.5x0.8x2.3x2.6x
 
Median (22 companies)1.1x0.8x1.9x1.7x2.7x
Young & Co'S Brewery ($YNGN)2.4x2.5x2.3x2.0x2.2x