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Toyota Motor Corp reports 36.2% Net Income growth in 2018 and 6.5% Revenue growth

09 May 2018 • About Toyota Motor Corp ($TYT) • By InTwits

Toyota Motor Corp reported FY2018 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Toyota Motor Corp has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.3%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 5.9%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 3,226,486 KRWm in 2018, 3,055,023 KRWm in 2017, 2,971,161 KRWm in 2016, 8,141,729 KRWm in 2015, 3,353,809 KRWm in 2014
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 6.0%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased on 6.5%. During the last 5 years Revenue growth bottomed in FY2017 at -2.8%. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 0.77 pp from 6.9% to 7.7% in 2018.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 1.1 pp from 17.6% to 18.7% in FY2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2018.

Net Income margin increased slightly on 1.9 pp from 6.6% to 8.5% in FY2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 4.4% in FY2018. CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from FY2015 to FY2018. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 4.4%. During FY2014-FY2018 CAPEX as a % of Revenue topped in FY2016 at 4.5% and was declining since that time.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (13.7%) while ROIC is low (6.0%). ROIC increased slightly on 0.88 pp from 5.1% to 6.0% in FY2018. ROE increased on 3.1 pp from 10.6% to 13.7% in FY2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 3.9x Net Debt / EBITDA and 4.7x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.5x from 4.5x to 3.9x in FY2018. Debt increased slightly on 0.91% while cash increased slightly on 1.9%.

Toyota Motor Corp has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 32.7% of short term debt.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 31 Mar 2018

Toyota Motor Corp ($TYT) key annual financial indicators

mln. JPY201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue25,691,91127,234,52128,403,11827,597,19329,379,5106.5%
Gross Profit4,890,7725,392,8455,797,6534,862,8575,490,35712.9%
SG&A1,688,1431,637,7341,888,0101,830,9572,026,22610.7%
EBITDA3,542,9654,159,6394,479,8083,605,3224,133,89514.7%
Net Income1,823,1202,173,3402,312,6901,831,1102,493,98036.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash2,041,1702,284,5572,939,4282,995,0753,052,2691.9%
Short Term Debt7,780,4838,963,4928,521,0889,248,7749,346,9861.1%
Long Term Debt8,546,91010,014,3959,772,0659,929,20210,006,3740.8%
Cash flow
Capex970,0211,146,3181,282,5451,223,8781,291,1175.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth16.4%6.0%4.3%-2.8%6.5%
EBITDA growth46.0%17.4%7.7%-19.5%14.7%

Gross Margin19.0%19.8%20.4%17.6%18.7%1.1%
EBITDA Margin13.8%15.3%15.8%13.1%14.1%1.0%
SG&A, % of revenue6.6%6.0%6.6%6.6%6.9%0.3%
Net Income Margin7.1%8.0%8.1%6.6%8.5%1.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue3.8%4.2%4.5%4.4%4.4%-0.0%

ROIC7.3%7.5%7.3%5.1%6.0%0.9%
ROE13.7%13.9%13.8%10.6%13.7%3.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA4.0x4.0x3.4x4.5x3.9x-0.5x

Peers in Automobiles & Parts


Below you can find Toyota Motor Corp benchmarking vs. other companies in Automobiles & Parts industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top  FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Hyundai Motor Co ($HYUD)2.2%3.0%1.8%2.9%
Kumho Tire Co Inc ($KHTC)-7.0%-11.6%-3.1%-2.4%
 
Median (2 companies)-2.4%-4.3%-0.6%0.3%
Toyota Motor Corp ($TYT)6.0%4.3%-2.8%6.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top  FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Hyundai Motor Co ($HYUD)21.4%19.9%18.9%18.2%
Kumho Tire Co Inc ($KHTC)29.4%25.5%25.3%16.0%
 
Median (2 companies)25.4%22.7%22.1%17.1%
Toyota Motor Corp ($TYT)19.0%19.8%20.4%17.6%18.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top  FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Hyundai Motor Co ($HYUD)11.3%10.0%9.1%8.4%
Kumho Tire Co Inc ($KHTC)15.8%11.2%11.7%2.2%
 
Median (2 companies)13.6%10.6%10.4%5.3%
Toyota Motor Corp ($TYT)13.8%15.3%15.8%13.1%14.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top  FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Kumho Tire Co Inc ($KHTC)8.2%22.2%12.4%10.1%
Hyundai Motor Co ($HYUD)3.8%8.9%3.2%3.2%
 
Median (2 companies)6.0%15.5%7.8%6.6%
Toyota Motor Corp ($TYT)3.8%4.2%4.5%4.4%4.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top  FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Hyundai Motor Co ($HYUD)6.6%4.9%3.6%3.1%
Kumho Tire Co Inc ($KHTC)9.7%3.6%3.1%-4.5%
 
Median (2 companies)8.2%4.3%3.4%-0.7%
Toyota Motor Corp ($TYT)7.3%7.5%7.3%5.1%6.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top  FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Kumho Tire Co Inc ($KHTC)4.1x7.4x7.5x34.8x
Hyundai Motor Co ($HYUD)4.7x6.3x7.7x7.8x
 
Median (2 companies)4.4x6.9x7.6x21.3x
Toyota Motor Corp ($TYT)4.0x4.0x3.4x4.5x3.9x