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Crawshaw Group reports 0.75% revenue growth in FY2018 and 27.3 pp EBITDA Margin decline from -0.46% to -27.7%

25 Apr 2018 • About Crawshaw Group ($CRAW) • By InTwits

Crawshaw Group reported FY2018 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -27.7%
  • Crawshaw Group motivates its personel by high Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for FY2014-FY2018 was 0.0% while average EBITDA Margin was -5.3% for the sames years
  • Crawshaw Group has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.5%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 4.8%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: £1m in FY2018, £3m in FY2017, £2m in FY2016, £2m in FY2015, £0m in FY2014
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -91.6%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Crawshaw Group's Revenue increased slightly on 0.75%. During the last 5 years Revenue growth topped in FY2016 at 50.5% and was decelerating since that time. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin surged on 12.0 pp from 5.8% to 17.8% in FY2018. EBITDA Margin followed a declining trend in FY2014-FY2018.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 1.5 pp from 43.5% to 42.0% in FY2018. During FY2014-FY2018 Gross Margin topped in FY2016 at 45.1% and was declining since that time. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.9 pp from 46.8% to 48.7% in FY2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue followed a growing trend at 2.6 pp per annum in FY2014-FY2018.

Net Income margin dropped on 27.0 pp from -2.7% to -29.7% in FY2018. Net Income margin pursued a declining trend in FY2014-FY2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2018 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 2.0%. The company showed decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 4.3 pp from 6.3% in FY2015 to 2.0% in FY2018. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 4.9%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-91.6%) and ROE (-92.1%). ROIC dropped on 84.4 pp from -7.2% to -91.6% in FY2018. ROE dropped on 85.7 pp from -6.4% to -92.1% in FY2018. ROIC followed a declining trend in the last 5 years. ROE followed a declining trend in FY2014-FY2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -0.2x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Debt dropped on 47.5% while cash surged on 118%.

Crawshaw Group has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (20,326.1%).

Financial and operational results


FY ended 28 Jan 2018

Crawshaw Group ($CRAW) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue21.02024.62037.06044.22844.5590.7%
Gross Profit9.20210.92116.70419.24518.734-2.7%
SG&A8.2329.80317.11520.71521.7104.8%
EBITDA1.3681.5730.543-0.202-12.351
Net Income0.8210.895-0.269-1.215-13.242
Balance Sheet
Cash1.4289.0904.8802.1474.675117.7%
Short Term Debt0.1800.0000.0380.0640.023-64.1%
Long Term Debt0.2700.0000.0350.0580.041-29.3%
Cash flow
Capex0.2471.5592.2652.9470.905-69.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth11.9%17.1%50.5%19.3%0.7%
EBITDA growth116.2%15.0%-65.5%-137.2%6,014.4%

Gross Margin43.8%44.4%45.1%43.5%42.0%-1.5%
EBITDA Margin6.5%6.4%1.5%-0.5%-27.7%-27.3%
SG&A, % of revenue39.2%39.8%46.2%46.8%48.7%1.9%
Net Income Margin3.9%3.6%-0.7%-2.7%-29.7%-27.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.2%6.3%6.1%6.7%2.0%-4.6%

ROIC8.6%7.1%-1.9%-7.2%-91.6%-84.4%
ROE7.9%5.8%-1.4%-6.4%-92.1%-85.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.7x-5.8x-8.8x

Peers in Food & Drug Retailers


Below you can find Crawshaw Group benchmarking vs. other companies in Food & Drug Retailers industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)27.6%27.8%25.3%
Lenta Ltd ($LNTA)34.5%30.3%21.2%19.2%
Total Produce ($TOT)1.1%7.8%8.0%18.3%
Ocado Group ($OCDO)19.8%16.7%14.8%14.4%
Jardine Matheson Hldgs ($J36)1.2%-7.3%0.1%6.5%
 
Median (8 companies)10.5%7.8%8.0%10.5%
Crawshaw Group ($CRAW)17.1%50.5%19.3%0.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Ocado Group ($OCDO)33.0%33.9%34.2%34.0%
Dairy Farm International Hldgs ($DFIB)29.9%29.5%30.2%30.4%
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)28.9%28.5%27.5%26.6%
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)24.5%24.5%24.2%23.9%
Jardine Matheson Hldgs ($J36)23.4%23.3%23.8%23.8%
 
Median (8 companies)24.5%24.5%24.2%23.8%
Crawshaw Group ($CRAW)43.8%44.4%45.1%43.5%42.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Jardine Matheson Hldgs ($J36)11.8%12.8%18.3%23.5%
Lenta Ltd ($LNTA)11.0%11.1%10.2%9.7%
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)7.7%7.2%7.0%7.4%
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)11.3%10.9%9.6%7.4%
Dairy Farm International Hldgs ($DFIB)6.6%5.8%6.0%5.2%
 
Median (8 companies)7.3%7.2%6.3%6.3%
Crawshaw Group ($CRAW)6.5%6.4%1.5%-0.5%-27.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Ocado Group ($OCDO)5.6%6.4%6.7%9.0%
Lenta Ltd ($LNTA)17.9%12.3%13.8%7.5%
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)7.3%5.7%4.6%6.4%
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)4.5%6.4%6.6%6.1%
Jardine Matheson Hldgs ($J36)3.5%3.6%3.5%3.9%
 
Median (8 companies)4.5%5.1%3.9%5.0%
Crawshaw Group ($CRAW)1.2%6.3%6.1%6.7%2.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)14.9%15.7%17.0%18.0%
Lenta Ltd ($LNTA)24.5%20.3%16.0%14.4%
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)33.2%32.6%25.1%13.6%
Dairy Farm International Hldgs ($DFIB)31.1%21.6%18.7%13.4%
Total Produce ($TOT)10.3%9.5%9.2%12.6%
 
Median (8 companies)14.9%10.4%9.8%13.0%
Crawshaw Group ($CRAW)8.6%7.1%-1.9%-7.2%-91.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
O'Key Group Sa ($OKEY)2.4x2.6x3.1x3.2x
Ocado Group ($OCDO)1.4x1.6x2.0x3.0x
Lenta Ltd ($LNTA)2.8x1.9x2.8x2.6x
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)2.2x2.3x1.9x1.7x
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)0.9x0.9x1.1x1.3x
 
Median (8 companies)1.4x1.5x1.5x1.5x