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Oxford Metrics CAPEX jumped on 219% in 2017 while Revenue decreased slightly on 1.1%

06 Dec 2017 • About Oxford Metrics ($OMG) • By InTwits

Oxford Metrics reported FY2017 financial results today. Overall looking at the company's long term financial model we can say that:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 19.9% in FY2017, 23.1% in FY2016, 28.4% in FY2015, 14.7% in FY2014, 6.0% in FY2013
  • Oxford Metrics has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.0%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 2.2%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 1.7 in FY2017, 0.53 in FY2016, 0.63 in FY2015, 0.71 in FY2014, 0.66 in FY2013
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 12.7%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Oxford Metrics ($OMG) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201320142015201620172017/2016
P&L
Revenue29.45625.63125.73329.49229.155-1.1%
Gross Profit17.18415.92716.28819.42720.5565.8%
SG&A11.9969.31611.16313.98425.3%
EBITDA1.7573.7747.3196.8085.796-14.9%
Net Income-0.152-0.5708.0422.2711.007-55.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash7.8037.57911.7388.2739.18511.0%
Short Term Debt0.1110.0510.0000.0000.000
Long Term Debt0.0510.0000.0000.0000.000
Cash flow
Capex0.6550.7120.6260.5261.680219.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth-0.2%-13.0%0.4%14.6%-1.1%
EBITDA growth-62.2%114.8%93.9%-7.0%-14.9%
Gross Margin58.3%62.1%63.3%65.9%70.5%4.6%
EBITDA Margin6.0%14.7%28.4%23.1%19.9%-3.2%
Net Income Margin-0.5%-2.2%31.3%7.7%3.5%-4.2%
SG&A, % of revenue46.8%36.2%37.9%48.0%10.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.2%2.8%2.4%1.8%5.8%4.0%
ROIC-0.1%0.8%14.6%16.3%12.7%-3.6%
ROE-0.6%-1.9%26.9%8.1%3.7%-4.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA-4.3x-2.0x-1.6x-1.2x-1.6x-0.4x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased slightly on 1.1% in FY2017. Revenue decline was worsened by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 3.2 pp from 23.1% to 19.9% in FY2017.

Gross Margin increased on 4.6 pp from 65.9% to 70.5% in FY2017. SG&A as a % of Revenue surged on 10.1 pp from 37.9% to 48.0% in FY2017.

Net Income marign decreased on 4.2 pp from 7.7% to 3.5% in FY2017.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2017 Oxford Metrics had CAPEX/Revenue of 5.8%. CAPEX/Revenue increased on 3.0 pp from 2.8% in FY2014 to 5.8% in FY2017. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.3%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROIC (12.75%) while ROE is low (3.72%). ROIC decreased on 3.6 pp from 16.3% to 12.7% in FY2017. ROE decreased on 4.4 pp from 8.1% to 3.7% in FY2017.

Leverage (Debt)


The company has no debt. Cash jumped on 11.0% in FY2017.

Valuation


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 11.6x and P/E 75.7x.

Appendix 1: Peers in Software & Computer Services


Below you can find Oxford Metrics benchmarking vs. other companies in Software & Computer Services industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
Pennant International Group ($PEN)29.1%-4.7%-44.4%74.0%
Sopheon ($SPE)5.3%-16.6%23.0%69.7%
Coms ($COMS)46.8%763.3%110.4%36.1%
Microgen ($MCGN)-7.7%-0.0%7.2%34.5%
IMImobile ($IMO)12.7%12.6%26.1%23.5%
 
Median (34 companies)5.7%4.7%4.1%10.5%21.1%
Oxford Metrics ($OMG)-13.0%0.4%14.6%-1.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
Lombard Risk Management ($LRM)98.8%99.2%98.6%99.3%
Netcall ($NET)89.7%91.0%90.9%91.2%91.7%
Wandisco ($WAND)80.3%80.7%93.2%88.1%
Dotdigital Group ($DOTD)92.7%90.5%89.3%87.4%86.1%
Idox ($IDOX)90.8%89.4%89.3%86.8%
 
Median (24 companies)62.1%57.8%58.8%56.6%86.0%
Oxford Metrics ($OMG)58.3%62.1%63.3%65.9%70.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
Mail.Ru Group Ltd ($61HE)47.4%50.5%34.6%35.2%
Dotdigital Group ($DOTD)39.4%29.2%32.0%30.4%31.7%
Idox ($IDOX)26.1%26.0%28.6%27.3%
Proactis Holdings ($PHD)18.3%22.8%26.4%23.7%3.7%
Escher Group Hldgs ($ESCH)16.2%9.8%17.6%22.7%
 
Median (27 companies)13.4%11.1%12.3%11.0%14.8%
Oxford Metrics ($OMG)6.0%14.7%28.4%23.1%19.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
Mail.Ru Group Ltd ($61HE)5.8%3.0%3.6%5.2%
Csf Group ($CSFG)4.0%2.4%7.1%4.9%
International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM)3.7%4.0%4.4%4.5%
IMImobile ($IMO)3.3%3.9%2.0%3.3%2.8%
Unisys Corp ($USY)2.5%4.1%5.0%3.0%
 
Median (27 companies)1.5%1.9%1.0%1.2%1.0%
Oxford Metrics ($OMG)2.2%2.8%2.4%1.8%5.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
Rm ($RM.)48.6%130.8%289.2%263.8%
Triad Group ($TRD)-3.8%24.5%61.5%74.4%
Dotdigital Group ($DOTD)38.0%28.5%31.4%28.9%29.3%
International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM)31.0%28.1%25.7%18.7%
Idox ($IDOX)12.6%12.5%14.8%15.8%
 
Median (34 companies)11.6%9.8%5.3%8.4%9.0%
Oxford Metrics ($OMG)-0.1%0.8%14.6%16.3%12.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
Zoo Digital Group ($ZOO)3.2x38.3x
Progility ($PGY)1.8x12.8x6.8x
International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM)1.2x1.4x1.7x2.2x
Idox ($IDOX)1.3x1.0x1.3x1.2x
Datatec ($DTC)-0.3x0.3x0.4x1.1x
 
Median (24 companies)-0.4x-0.3x-0.5x-0.8x-1.8x
Oxford Metrics ($OMG)-4.3x-2.0x-1.6x-1.2x-1.6x