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Zhejiang Expressway Co revenue dropped on 22.2% in 2016 while EBITDA Margin surged on 11.6 pp from 58.0% to 69.6%

27 Mar 2017 • About Zhejiang Expressway Co ($ZHEH) • By InTwits

Zhejiang Expressway Co reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is expanding: 69.6% in FY2016 vs. 58.0% in FY2015 vs. 49.6% in FY2012
  • The company has business model with average profitability: ROIC is at 11.9%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Zhejiang Expressway Co ($ZHEH) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue6,9277,8519,46012,5079,735-22.2%
Gross Profit2,3532,8963,5625,4475,139-5.7%
SG&A868510610982-24.8%
EBITDA3,4354,0095,0647,2586,777-6.6%
Net Income1,6491,9072,2652,9903,0371.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash3,3921,8073,3574,9837,19944.5%
Short Term Debt1,6601,85010,81310,97918,13165.1%
Long Term Debt6803003,1609,1906,700-27.1%
Cash flow
Capex3652521,270327-100.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth2.2%13.3%20.5%32.2%-22.2%
EBITDA growth-4.1%16.7%26.3%43.3%-6.6%
Gross Margin34.0%36.9%37.7%43.6%52.8%9.2%
EBITDA Margin49.6%51.1%53.5%58.0%69.6%11.6%
Net Income Margin23.8%24.3%23.9%23.9%31.2%7.3%
SG&A, % of revenue1.2%1.1%1.1%0.9%0.8%-0.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue5.3%3.2%13.4%2.6%-2.6%
ROIC11.2%13.3%13.2%15.3%11.9%-3.4%
ROE10.6%11.9%13.7%17.7%-17.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.3x0.1x2.1x2.1x2.6x0.5x

Revenue and profitability


Zhejiang Expressway Co's Revenue dropped on 22.2% in FY2016. Revenue decline happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin surged on 11.6 pp from 58.0% to 69.6% in FY2016.

Gross Margin increased on 9.2 pp from 43.6% to 52.8% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2016.

Net Income marign increased on 7.3 pp from 23.9% to 31.2% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 2.6x Net Debt / EBITDA and 3.7x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 0.5x from 2.1x to 2.6x in FY2016. Debt jumped on 23.1% in FY2016 while cash surged on 44.5% in FY2016.

Appendix 1: Peers in Industrial Transportation


Below we provide Zhejiang Expressway Co benchmarking against other companies in Industrial Transportation industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Frontline Ltd ($FRO)-9.4%-55.6%104.5%86.0%
Wisdom Marine Lines Co Limited ($WML)11.2%-0.8%8.8%21.6%
Dp World Ltd ($0P5M)-1.5%12.7%16.7%4.7%
Center Fr Cargo Cont Trf Trcnt PJSC ($TRCN)17.8%7.7%-6.6%16.2%
Globaltrans Investment ($GLTR)28.9%12.9%-7.4%-0.7%
 
Median (14 companies)5.9%-2.3%3.4%-6.2%0.9%
Zhejiang Expressway Co ($ZHEH)13.3%20.5%32.2%-22.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Novorossiysk Commercial Sea Port ($NCSP)57.9%54.3%61.0%72.9%
Global Ports Investments ($GLPR)40.3%58.8%58.8%68.0%
Dp World Ltd ($0P5M)35.8%39.8%41.9%48.4%50.9%
Wisdom Marine Lines Co Limited ($WML)30.3%20.3%20.7%24.1%
Globaltrans Investment ($GLTR)31.4%25.8%23.2%20.2%
 
Median (9 companies)30.3%20.3%20.7%20.2%36.9%
Zhejiang Expressway Co ($ZHEH)34.0%36.9%37.7%43.6%52.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Capital Lease Aviation ($CLA)101.2%88.5%89.2%80.5%
Frontline Ltd ($FRO)17.2%-4.6%64.5%74.6%42.5%
Global Ports Investments ($GLPR)57.1%60.3%69.6%71.2%
Wisdom Marine Lines Co Limited ($WML)56.9%52.0%52.8%55.2%
Dp World Ltd ($0P5M)38.2%39.3%42.4%45.7%48.8%
 
Median (14 companies)22.6%17.1%17.0%16.8%29.1%
Zhejiang Expressway Co ($ZHEH)49.6%51.1%53.5%58.0%69.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Frontline Ltd ($FRO)2.5%0.5%83.6%171.4%82.5%
Dp World Ltd ($0P5M)20.6%33.4%20.7%28.9%25.4%
Yangming Marine Transport Corp ($YMTD)13.1%8.2%7.0%7.7%
Novorossiysk Commercial Sea Port ($NCSP)5.4%10.4%9.9%7.3%
Center Fr Cargo Cont Trf Trcnt PJSC ($TRCN)15.6%16.9%11.5%5.7%
 
Median (14 companies)11.2%9.3%4.2%3.4%15.1%
Zhejiang Expressway Co ($ZHEH)5.3%3.2%13.4%2.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Novorossiysk Commercial Sea Port ($NCSP)11.0%4.5%17.1%16.1%
Global Ports Investments ($GLPR)17.0%7.1%12.1%14.6%
Dx ($DX.)9.3%9.6%14.5%12.8%-52.4%
Frontline Ltd ($FRO)-1.0%-8.9%7.6%12.1%6.3%
Globaltrans Investment ($GLTR)25.5%16.3%6.4%10.3%
 
Median (14 companies)7.3%5.4%6.7%6.7%5.5%
Zhejiang Expressway Co ($ZHEH)11.2%13.3%13.2%15.3%11.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Evergreen Marine Corp(Taiwan) ($EGMD)7.9x33.6x6.7x18.3x
Wisdom Marine Lines Co Limited ($WML)8.5x9.0x9.1x8.4x
Novorossiysk Commercial Sea Port ($NCSP)4.1x7.1x2.6x4.1x
Interbulk Group ($INB)3.3x4.1x3.5x3.6x
Global Ports Investments ($GLPR)0.8x6.6x2.8x3.6x
 
Median (12 companies)3.7x5.4x2.8x3.3x4.1x
Zhejiang Expressway Co ($ZHEH)-0.3x0.1x2.1x2.1x2.6x