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Magnit PJSC reports 12.5% revenue growth in 2016 and 1.3 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 10.9% to 9.6%

24 Mar 2017 • About Magnit PJSC ($MGNT) • By InTwits

Magnit PJSC reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Magnit PJSC is a fast growth stock: 2016 revenue growth was 12.5%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 26.2% at 2016 ROIC 25.1%
  • EBITDA Margin is relatively stable: 9.6% in 2016 vs. 10.9% in 2015 vs. 10.3% in 2012
  • Magnit PJSC has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 7.4%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 5.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 81,700 in 2016, 51,100 in 2015, 53,600 in 2014, 34,500 in 2013, 26,300 in 2012
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 25.1%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 1.1x while industry average is 0.3x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Magnit PJSC ($MGNT) key annual financial indicators

mln. RUB201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue448,234579,994767,556955,1001,074,81212.5%
Gross Profit118,939165,348221,684272,099295,7598.7%
SG&A72,829102,005135,111168,616192,99614.5%
EBITDA46,23163,57586,867103,978103,507-0.5%
Net Income25,09335,63947,93759,34054,409-8.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash12,5285,96118,3188,39616,55997.2%
Short Term Debt25,27536,50353,07243,10850,10616.2%
Long Term Debt38,47937,63145,98359,44677,50030.4%
Cash flow
Capex47,26550,07756,00654,25549,808-8.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth33.5%29.4%32.3%24.4%12.5%
EBITDA growth75.5%37.5%36.6%19.7%-0.5%
Gross Margin26.5%28.5%28.9%28.5%27.5%-1.0%
EBITDA Margin10.3%11.0%11.3%10.9%9.6%-1.3%
Net Income Margin5.6%6.1%6.2%6.2%5.1%-1.2%
SG&A, % of revenue16.2%17.6%17.6%17.7%18.0%0.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue10.5%8.6%7.3%5.7%4.6%-1.0%
ROIC23.1%26.0%33.2%32.6%25.1%-7.5%
ROE28.3%31.4%38.7%40.2%30.1%-10.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.1x1.1x0.9x0.9x1.1x0.2x

Revenue and profitability


Magnit PJSC's Revenue surged on 12.5% in 2016. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.0 pp from 8.6% to 9.6% in 2016.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 0.97 pp from 28.5% to 27.5% in 2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2016.

Net Income marign decreased slightly on 1.2 pp from 6.2% to 5.1% in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 4.6% in 2016. Magnit PJSC's CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 4.0 pp from 8.6% in 2013 to 4.6% in 2016. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 5.9%.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROIC (25.06%) and ROE (30.12%). ROIC decreased on 7.5 pp from 32.6% to 25.1% in 2016. ROE dropped on 10.1 pp from 40.2% to 30.1% in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 1.1x Net Debt / EBITDA and 1.2x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 0.2x from 0.9x to 1.1x in 2016. Debt surged on 24.4% in 2016 while cash jumped on 97.2% in 2016.

Appendix 1: Peers in Food & Drug Retailers


Below you can find Magnit PJSC benchmarking vs. other companies in Food & Drug Retailers industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Lenta Ltd ($LNTA)31.3%34.5%30.3%21.2%
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)8.0%9.0%18.5%27.6%
Crawshaw Group ($CRAW)-0.6%11.9%17.1%50.5%
Total Produce ($TOT)8.5%1.1%7.8%8.0%
O'Key Group Sa ($OKEY)26.0%18.9%9.0%6.9%
 
Median (8 companies)17.0%7.1%7.6%7.4%4.3%
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)29.4%32.3%24.4%12.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Snacktime ($SNAK)56.6%51.8%55.1%53.9%54.0%
Crawshaw Group ($CRAW)43.3%43.7%43.8%44.4%45.1%
Dairy Farm International Hldgs ($DFIB)28.9%29.8%29.9%29.5%30.2%
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)23.6%24.4%24.5%24.5%
O'Key Group Sa ($OKEY)23.5%23.9%24.5%23.6%
 
Median (8 companies)23.6%24.1%24.5%24.1%27.0%
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)26.5%28.5%28.9%28.5%27.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Jardine Matheson Hldgs ($J36)13.1%11.6%11.8%12.8%18.2%
Lenta Ltd ($LNTA)10.7%11.2%11.0%11.1%10.2%
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)6.9%7.1%7.7%7.2%
Crawshaw Group ($CRAW)3.7%3.4%6.5%6.4%1.5%
O'Key Group Sa ($OKEY)8.1%7.3%7.3%6.1%
 
Median (8 companies)6.7%7.0%6.9%6.2%4.1%
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)10.3%11.0%11.3%10.9%9.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Lenta Ltd ($LNTA)13.4%16.2%17.9%12.3%13.8%
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)4.6%3.8%4.5%6.4%
Crawshaw Group ($CRAW)1.1%1.0%1.2%6.3%6.1%
O'Key Group Sa ($OKEY)7.1%8.7%10.6%5.1%
Jardine Matheson Hldgs ($J36)4.9%4.4%3.5%3.6%3.5%
 
Median (8 companies)4.7%4.1%3.4%4.4%3.7%
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)10.5%8.6%7.3%5.7%4.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Dairy Farm International Hldgs ($DFIB)32.8%34.6%31.1%21.6%18.5%
Lenta Ltd ($LNTA)42.9%34.0%24.5%20.3%16.0%
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)3.1%13.0%14.9%15.7%
O'Key Group Sa ($OKEY)25.0%21.8%17.1%10.4%
Total Produce ($TOT)9.0%11.9%10.3%9.5%9.2%
 
Median (8 companies)8.5%12.4%12.6%10.0%9.5%
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)23.1%26.0%33.2%32.6%25.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
O'Key Group Sa ($OKEY)1.0x1.3x2.4x2.6x
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)3.3x2.7x2.2x2.3x
Lenta Ltd ($LNTA)2.2x2.5x2.8x1.9x2.8x
Jardine Matheson Hldgs ($J36)1.4x1.3x1.3x1.3x0.8x
Dairy Farm International Hldgs ($DFIB)-0.8x-0.9x-0.7x0.7x1.0x
 
Median (7 companies)1.2x1.3x1.7x1.3x0.8x
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)1.1x1.1x0.9x0.9x1.1x