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Caledonia Mining Corp Net Income surged on 128% in 2016

21 Mar 2017 • About Caledonia Mining Corp ($CMCL) • By InTwits

Caledonia Mining Corp reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: in FY2016 vs. 18.3% in FY2015 vs. 31.9% in FY2012
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 4.5x while industry average is 2.2x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Caledonia Mining Corp ($CMCL) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue75.27463.23053.51338.35161.99261.6%
Gross Profit40.94429.01718.54310.321-100.0%
SG&A5.968-100.0%
EBITDA24.00024.58514.5177.022-100.0%
Net Income8.726-2.9674.4353.7428.526127.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash28.08523.73223.1069.089-100.0%
Short Term Debt0.0001.6900.0001.221-100.0%
Long Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.000
Cash flow
Capex7.91511.3996.14612.973-100.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth33.6%-16.0%-15.4%-28.3%61.6%
EBITDA growth-13.2%2.4%-41.0%-51.6%
Gross Margin54.4%45.9%34.7%26.9%-26.9%
EBITDA Margin31.9%38.9%27.1%18.3%0.0%-18.3%
Net Income Margin11.6%-4.7%8.3%9.8%13.8%4.0%
SG&A, % of revenue15.6%-15.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue10.5%18.0%11.5%33.8%-33.8%
ROIC37.6%34.9%18.1%8.4%-8.4%
ROE17.9%-5.6%8.9%9.0%-9.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA-1.2x-0.9x-1.6x-1.1x1.1x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 61.6% in FY2016.

Net Income marign increased on 4.0 pp from 9.8% to 13.8% in FY2016.


Appendix 1: Peers in Mining


Below you can find Caledonia Mining Corp benchmarking vs. other companies in Mining industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Coalfield Resources ($CRES)19,087.5%-5.0%803.4%155.8%
Serabi Gold ($SRB)177.8%
Anglo Pacific Group ($APF)-56.3%-2.8%-76.4%149.4%
Griffin Mining ($GFM)-2.8%-7.5%-35.9%31.2%
Kirkland Lake Gold Inc ($KGI)54.7%-5.1%14.2%26.9%
 
Median (30 companies)-3.1%-2.6%-4.7%-7.4%9.5%
Caledonia Mining Corp ($CMCL)-16.0%-15.4%-28.3%61.6%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Polyus Gold Intl Ltd ($PGIL)51.1%40.2%46.1%58.8%62.6%
Coalfield Resources ($CRES)54.4%38.0%
Zccm Investments Hldgs ($ZCC)51.8%71.4%85.6%45.9%26.8%
Mwana Africa ($MWA)42.9%45.9%46.6%38.6%29.1%
Kaz Minerals ($KAZ)39.7%41.1%46.1%35.5%46.1%
 
Median (29 companies)38.5%18.6%22.6%18.1%28.9%
Caledonia Mining Corp ($CMCL)54.4%45.9%34.7%26.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Coalfield Resources ($CRES)1,693,625.0%28.4%0.1%259.6%134.0%
Polyus Gold Intl Ltd ($PGIL)51.1%18.7%45.9%58.0%61.4%
Anglo Pacific Group ($APF)76.2%77.9%-58.0%53.7%
Nord Gold Nv ($NORD)33.0%0.8%40.2%44.9%
Trans-Siberian Gold ($TSG)24.7%8.0%32.7%38.1%
 
Median (31 companies)25.0%16.8%17.3%18.6%24.6%
Caledonia Mining Corp ($CMCL)31.9%38.9%27.1%18.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Kaz Minerals ($KAZ)36.6%136.5%168.8%168.7%41.9%
Weatherly International ($WTI)8.6%161.8%10.2%
Hwange Colliery Co ($HWA)3.5%0.5%45.6%
Goldbridges Global Resources ($GBGR)26.9%17.6%73.9%40.1%
Antofagasta ($ANTO)13.0%22.5%32.0%30.9%22.0%
 
Median (30 companies)21.5%17.2%10.2%14.0%15.1%
Caledonia Mining Corp ($CMCL)10.5%18.0%11.5%33.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Polyus Gold Intl Ltd ($PGIL)27.0%4.3%19.2%29.7%30.9%
Nord Gold Nv ($NORD)6.6%-9.0%13.8%16.1%
Coalfield Resources ($CRES)0.1%0.8%0.0%15.8%11.6%
Kirkland Lake Gold Inc ($KGI)19.7%1.5%-0.7%9.2%
Trans-Siberian Gold ($TSG)-1.1%-6.8%5.0%9.2%
 
Median (31 companies)4.4%2.0%1.2%1.2%5.0%
Caledonia Mining Corp ($CMCL)37.6%34.9%18.1%8.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Kaz Minerals ($KAZ)2.4x2.9x5.5x18.7x8.8x
Goldbridges Global Resources ($GBGR)2.2x1.3x10.9x
Glencore ($GLEN)7.3x6.2x4.6x5.5x4.0x
Griffin Mining ($GFM)0.8x1.4x4.0x4.4x
Bisichi Mining ($BISI)0.9x1.7x1.3x4.0x
 
Median (22 companies)0.8x1.7x0.7x1.1x2.1x
Caledonia Mining Corp ($CMCL)-1.2x-0.9x-1.6x-1.1x