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Mosenergo AO Net Income jumped on 848% in 2016 and Revenue jumped on 11.4%

02 Mar 2017 • About Mosenergo AO ($AOMD) • By InTwits

Mosenergo AO reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Mosenergo AO has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 11.8%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 8.3%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 8,192 in 2016, 23,145 in 2015, 17,660 in 2014, 27,780 in 2013, 19,759 in 2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 5.1%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Mosenergo AO ($AOMD) key annual financial indicators

mln. RUB201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue157,139155,932161,432171,163190,65611.4%
EBITDA20,25023,80917,07918,13131,62674.4%
Net Income6,3137,473-2,972-1,79613,438-848.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash12,6322,8719,6775,66610,09778.2%
Short Term Debt1,8987,2751,8243,11321,453589.1%
Long Term Debt16,61619,20247,31545,85721,549-53.0%
Cash flow
Capex19,75927,78017,66023,1458,192-64.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth-2.5%-0.8%3.5%6.0%11.4%
EBITDA growth-15.4%17.6%-28.3%6.2%74.4%
EBITDA Margin12.9%15.3%10.6%10.6%16.6%6.0%
Net Income Margin4.0%4.8%-1.8%-1.0%7.0%8.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue12.6%17.8%10.9%13.5%4.3%-9.2%
ROIC2.7%3.4%0.5%-0.1%5.1%5.3%
ROE3.1%3.2%-1.2%-0.8%5.6%6.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.3x1.0x2.3x2.4x1.0x-1.3x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 11.4% in 2016. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 4.0 pp from 3.0% to 7.0% in FY2016.

Net Income marign increased on 8.1 pp from -1.0% to 7.0% in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Mosenergo AO's CAPEX/Revenue was 4.3% in 2016. The company showed big decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 13.5 pp from 17.8% in 2013 to 4.3% in 2016. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 9.6%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (5.13%) and ROE (5.63%). ROIC increased on 5.3 pp from -0.14% to 5.1% in 2016. ROE increased on 6.4 pp from -0.76% to 5.6% in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 1.0x Net Debt / EBITDA and 1.4x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 1.3x from 2.4x to 1.0x in 2016. Debt dropped on 12.2% in 2016 while cash surged on 78.2% in 2016.

Appendix 1: Peers in Electricity


Below we provide Mosenergo AO benchmarking against other companies in Electricity industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Ksk Power Ventur ($KSK)2.5%-14.5%13.8%76.4%
Good Energy Group ($GOOD)30.7%43.3%42.6%11.6%
Societatea Comerciala De Dis Si Fur ($ELSA)-2.2%2.5%-6.3%9.1%
RusHydro OJSC ($HYDR)-17.6%5.0%5.1%5.4%
Renewable Energy Generation Ltd ($WIND)23.3%10.7%-13.8%4.2%
 
Median (8 companies)7.9%3.0%-4.0%4.8%34.4%
Mosenergo AO ($AOMD)-0.8%3.5%6.0%11.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Infinis Energy ($INFI)44.7%45.0%45.8%45.1%45.9%
Renewable Energy Generation Ltd ($WIND)42.5%42.7%35.9%36.5%
Good Energy Group ($GOOD)33.9%33.6%32.7%33.1%
Datang Intl Power Generation ($DAT)30.7%
Ksk Power Ventur ($KSK)33.9%40.0%27.1%27.0%34.3%
 
Median (5 companies)38.2%41.4%34.3%33.1%40.1%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Renewable Energy Generation Ltd ($WIND)24.4%23.0%10.5%125.2%
Infinis Energy ($INFI)55.1%54.6%45.2%69.8%56.0%
Datang Intl Power Generation ($DAT)28.7%33.6%34.8%38.0%
Ksk Power Ventur ($KSK)43.1%40.6%30.3%26.0%37.3%
Societatea Comerciala De Dis Si Fur ($ELSA)12.2%11.9%16.7%17.8%
 
Median (8 companies)19.8%21.0%18.4%21.9%46.6%
Mosenergo AO ($AOMD)12.9%15.3%10.6%10.6%16.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Renewable Energy Generation Ltd ($WIND)142.1%77.4%167.6%100.1%
Ksk Power Ventur ($KSK)194.9%100.4%59.5%58.3%8.7%
Datang Intl Power Generation ($DAT)34.3%43.2%28.8%29.7%
Good Energy Group ($GOOD)1.0%23.2%31.8%27.6%
RusHydro OJSC ($HYDR)27.8%19.7%23.8%22.8%
 
Median (8 companies)25.7%27.7%26.3%25.2%32.6%
Mosenergo AO ($AOMD)12.6%17.8%10.9%13.5%4.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Societatea Comerciala De Dis Si Fur ($ELSA)3.2%4.0%6.5%7.9%
Good Energy Group ($GOOD)10.8%12.2%7.0%5.8%
Infinis Energy ($INFI)4.6%5.0%3.0%5.2%3.5%
Datang Intl Power Generation ($DAT)5.7%5.9%4.8%4.6%
RusHydro OJSC ($HYDR)-0.7%3.0%4.3%4.2%
 
Median (8 companies)3.7%3.8%4.0%4.4%4.0%
Mosenergo AO ($AOMD)2.7%3.4%0.5%-0.1%5.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Ksk Power Ventur ($KSK)12.8x16.0x26.5x30.7x12.7x
Good Energy Group ($GOOD)-0.1x1.5x5.7x7.8x
Datang Intl Power Generation ($DAT)8.4x7.7x8.3x7.5x
Public Power Corp S.A. ($PPCD)5.3x4.1x4.3x4.8x
Infinis Energy ($INFI)3.3x4.2x5.1x4.3x5.4x
 
Median (8 companies)6.6x3.5x5.4x4.5x9.1x
Mosenergo AO ($AOMD)0.3x1.0x2.3x2.4x1.0x