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Dairy Farm International Hldgs reports 3.1 pp ROIC decline from 21.6% to 18.5% in 2016 while 2.5% EBITDA growth

02 Mar 2017 • About Dairy Farm International Hldgs ($DFIB) • By InTwits

Dairy Farm International Hldgs reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is relatively stable: 6.0% in FY2016 vs. 5.8% in FY2015 vs. 6.6% in FY2012
  • Dairy Farm International Hldgs has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.6%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 14.2%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 5,169 in 2016, 1,998 in 2015, 2,153 in 2014, 2,180 in 2013, 2,344 in 2012
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 18.5%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 1.0x while industry average is 0.3x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Dairy Farm International Hldgs ($DFIB) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue9,80110,35711,00811,13711,2010.6%
Gross Profit2,8303,0873,2913,2853,3863.1%
SG&A2,4992,7142,9263,0253,1052.6%
EBITDA6447177216516672.5%
Net Income44750150942446910.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash66772866225932425.3%
Short Term Debt564893730370-49.3%
Long Term Debt914394115955,513.2%
Cash flow
Capex290296297262213-18.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth7.3%5.7%6.3%1.2%0.6%
EBITDA growth-7.5%11.3%0.5%-9.7%2.5%
Gross Margin28.9%29.8%29.9%29.5%30.2%0.7%
EBITDA Margin6.6%6.9%6.6%5.8%6.0%0.1%
Net Income Margin4.6%4.8%4.6%3.8%4.2%0.4%
SG&A, % of revenue25.5%26.2%26.6%27.2%27.7%0.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue3.0%2.9%2.7%2.4%1.9%-0.5%
ROIC32.8%34.6%31.1%21.6%18.5%-3.1%
ROE42.2%40.5%37.6%30.3%32.6%2.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.8x-0.9x-0.7x0.7x1.0x0.2x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased slightly on 0.57% in FY2016. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 17.2 pp from 29.1% to 11.9% in 2016.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 0.73 pp from 29.5% to 30.2% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.56 pp from 27.2% to 27.7% in FY2016.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2016 Dairy Farm International Hldgs had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.9%. Dairy Farm International Hldgs showed small CAPEX/Revenue decline of 0.96 pp from 2.9% in FY2013 to 1.9% in FY2016. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.3%.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROE (32.56%) while ROIC is a bit lower (18.54%). ROIC decreased on 3.1 pp from 21.6% to 18.5% in FY2016. ROE increased on 2.3 pp from 30.3% to 32.6% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 1.0x and Debt / EBITDA is 1.4x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 0.2x from 0.7x to 1.0x in FY2016. Debt surged on 30.3% in FY2016 while cash jumped on 25.3% in FY2016.

Appendix 1: Peers in Food & Drug Retailers


Below we provide Dairy Farm International Hldgs benchmarking against other companies in Food & Drug Retailers industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Lenta Ltd ($LNTA)31.3%34.5%30.3%21.2%
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)8.0%9.0%18.5%27.6%
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)33.5%29.4%32.3%24.4%
Crawshaw Group ($CRAW)-0.6%11.9%17.1%50.5%
Total Produce ($TOT)8.5%1.1%7.8%8.0%
 
Median (8 companies)26.0%8.7%10.5%12.5%8.0%
Dairy Farm International Hldgs ($DFIB)5.7%6.3%1.2%0.6%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Snacktime ($SNAK)56.6%51.8%55.1%53.9%54.0%
Crawshaw Group ($CRAW)43.3%43.7%43.8%44.4%45.1%
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)26.5%28.5%28.9%28.5%
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)23.6%24.4%24.5%24.5%
O'Key Group Sa ($OKEY)23.5%23.9%24.5%23.6%
 
Median (8 companies)23.6%24.1%24.5%24.1%23.8%
Dairy Farm International Hldgs ($DFIB)28.9%29.8%29.9%29.5%30.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Jardine Matheson Hldgs ($J36)13.1%11.6%11.8%12.8%18.2%
Lenta Ltd ($LNTA)10.7%11.2%11.0%11.1%10.2%
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)10.3%11.0%11.3%10.9%
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)6.9%7.1%7.7%7.2%
Crawshaw Group ($CRAW)3.7%3.4%6.5%6.4%1.5%
 
Median (8 companies)7.5%7.2%7.5%6.8%2.3%
Dairy Farm International Hldgs ($DFIB)6.6%6.9%6.6%5.8%6.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Lenta Ltd ($LNTA)13.4%16.2%17.9%12.3%13.8%
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)4.6%3.8%4.5%6.4%
Crawshaw Group ($CRAW)1.1%1.0%1.2%6.3%6.1%
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)10.5%8.6%7.3%5.7%
O'Key Group Sa ($OKEY)7.1%8.7%10.6%5.1%
 
Median (8 companies)5.1%4.3%4.0%5.4%3.9%
Dairy Farm International Hldgs ($DFIB)3.0%2.9%2.7%2.4%1.9%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)23.1%26.0%33.2%32.6%
Lenta Ltd ($LNTA)42.9%34.0%24.5%20.3%16.0%
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)3.1%13.0%14.9%15.7%
O'Key Group Sa ($OKEY)25.0%21.8%17.1%10.4%
Total Produce ($TOT)9.0%11.9%10.3%9.5%9.2%
 
Median (8 companies)8.5%12.4%12.6%10.0%9.2%
Dairy Farm International Hldgs ($DFIB)32.8%34.6%31.1%21.6%18.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
O'Key Group Sa ($OKEY)1.0x1.3x2.4x2.6x
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)3.3x2.7x2.2x2.3x
Lenta Ltd ($LNTA)2.2x2.5x2.8x1.9x2.8x
Jardine Matheson Hldgs ($J36)1.4x1.3x1.3x1.3x0.8x
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)1.1x1.1x0.9x0.9x
 
Median (7 companies)1.3x1.3x1.7x1.3x0.8x
Dairy Farm International Hldgs ($DFIB)-0.8x-0.9x-0.7x0.7x1.0x