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Global Telecom Hldg Sae reports 28.8% CAPEX decline while 2.1% Revenue growth

27 Feb 2017 • About Global Telecom Hldg Sae ($GLTD) • By InTwits

Global Telecom Hldg Sae reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 40.3% in FY2016, 43.9% in FY2015, 42.8% in FY2014, 12.1% in FY2013, 50.8% in FY2012
  • Global Telecom Hldg Sae has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 21.1%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 12.4%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 540 in FY2016, 758 in FY2015, 1,218 in FY2014, 545 in FY2013, 312 in FY2012
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 18.3%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 1.7x while industry average is 1.2x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Global Telecom Hldg Sae ($GLTD) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue3,6273,4623,3382,8942,9562.1%
Gross Profit2,0882,8422,7842,3671,220-48.5%
SG&A2,4221,3541,093-100.0%
EBITDA1,8414201,4291,2691,190-6.2%
Net Income-232-2,844-465-14161-143.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash2,0272,8392,85450860619.3%
Short Term Debt6815,033288414283-31.6%
Long Term Debt4,0631405,4352,0772,31911.7%
Cash flow
Capex3125451,218758540-28.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth-0.2%-4.6%-3.6%-13.3%2.1%
EBITDA growth2.9%-77.2%240.0%-11.2%-6.2%
Gross Margin57.6%82.1%83.4%81.8%41.3%-40.5%
EBITDA Margin50.8%12.1%42.8%43.9%40.3%-3.6%
Net Income Margin-6.4%-82.2%-13.9%-4.9%2.1%6.9%
SG&A, % of revenue70.0%40.6%37.8%-37.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue8.6%15.7%36.5%26.2%18.3%-7.9%
ROIC17.8%-6.9%17.4%14.7%18.3%3.6%
ROE-13.4%16.3%16.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.5x5.6x2.0x1.6x1.7x0.1x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased on 2.1% in FY2016. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased on 3.1 pp from 4.1% to 7.2% in 2016.

Gross Margin dropped on 40.5 pp from 81.8% to 41.3% in FY2016.

Net Income marign increased on 6.9 pp from -4.9% to 2.1% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2016 Global Telecom Hldg Sae had CAPEX/Revenue of 18.3%. CAPEX/Revenue increased on 2.5 pp from 15.7% in FY2013 to 18.3% in FY2016. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 27.0%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROIC (18.31%) and ROE (16.31%). ROIC increased on 3.6 pp from 14.7% to 18.3% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 1.7x Net Debt / EBITDA and 2.2x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 0.1x from 1.6x to 1.7x in FY2016. Debt increased on 4.5% in FY2016 while cash surged on 19.3% in FY2016.

Valuation


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 1.7x and P/E 0.3x while industy averages are 15.6x and 19.1x. Global Telecom Hldg Sae's EV/(EBITDA-CAPEX) is 3.1x with the industry average at 19.0x.

Appendix 1: Peers in Mobile Telecommunications


Below you can find Global Telecom Hldg Sae benchmarking vs. other companies in Mobile Telecommunications industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Zamano ($ZMNO)28.0%-16.5%23.9%22.3%
Sistema Jsfc ($SSAA)9.7%-44.6%8.7%10.6%
Sk Telecom ($SKMD)2.9%3.4%-0.2%-0.3%
Megafon OJSC ($MFON)12.3%9.1%5.9%-0.4%
Monitise ($MONI)101.7%30.6%-5.7%-24.7%
 
Median (7 companies)12.3%3.1%5.9%-0.4%-18.7%
Global Telecom Hldg Sae ($GLTD)-4.6%-3.6%-13.3%2.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Sk Telecom ($SKMD)92.0%92.2%90.2%88.6%89.2%
Megafon OJSC ($MFON)75.4%74.6%73.1%73.1%
Monitise ($MONI)66.4%75.8%64.9%51.8%57.5%
Sistema Jsfc ($SSAA)59.5%54.4%50.4%46.7%
Kcell JSC ($KCEL)58.1%57.6%55.1%46.6%37.5%
 
Median (7 companies)59.5%57.6%55.1%46.7%47.5%
Global Telecom Hldg Sae ($GLTD)57.6%82.1%83.4%81.8%41.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Kcell JSC ($KCEL)55.3%55.8%55.5%45.8%
Megafon OJSC ($MFON)42.4%44.2%43.5%41.9%
Monitise ($MONI)-36.7%-5.1%-21.1%40.0%-58.6%
Sk Telecom ($SKMD)26.9%29.2%27.5%27.4%26.9%
Sistema Jsfc ($SSAA)20.1%33.3%23.9%22.5%
 
Median (7 companies)20.1%29.2%23.9%27.4%-6.2%
Global Telecom Hldg Sae ($GLTD)50.8%12.1%42.8%43.9%40.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Megafon OJSC ($MFON)17.1%14.5%18.5%20.1%
Sistema Jsfc ($SSAA)11.3%13.3%14.2%15.0%
Sk Telecom ($SKMD)21.0%17.3%17.5%14.5%14.6%
Kcell JSC ($KCEL)12.8%9.2%9.6%9.5%29.8%
Monitise ($MONI)8.7%7.0%5.1%4.6%1.3%
 
Median (7 companies)11.3%9.2%9.6%9.5%7.9%
Global Telecom Hldg Sae ($GLTD)8.6%15.7%36.5%26.2%18.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Kcell JSC ($KCEL)63.7%66.0%62.9%40.2%23.9%
Mobile Streams ($MOS)216.7%11.3%24.0%-35.3%
Zamano ($ZMNO)31.4%30.9%25.5%23.3%
Megafon OJSC ($MFON)21.0%27.7%23.7%19.6%
Sistema Jsfc ($SSAA)11.7%12.1%8.3%7.4%
 
Median (7 companies)16.3%27.7%11.3%19.6%-14.5%
Global Telecom Hldg Sae ($GLTD)17.8%-6.9%17.4%14.7%18.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Sistema Jsfc ($SSAA)2.0x1.5x2.7x3.5x
Megafon OJSC ($MFON)1.2x1.1x1.4x1.5x
Sk Telecom ($SKMD)1.4x1.1x1.3x1.5x1.3x
Kcell JSC ($KCEL)0.5x0.1x0.1x0.2x
Zamano ($ZMNO)-0.1x-0.8x-1.7x-2.1x
 
Median (7 companies)0.9x0.6x0.7x0.2x1.3x
Global Telecom Hldg Sae ($GLTD)1.5x5.6x2.0x1.6x1.7x