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Lighthouse Group reports 205% Net Income growth while 2.0% Revenue decline

21 Feb 2017 • About Lighthouse Group ($LGT) • By InTwits

Lighthouse Group reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 4.6% in 2016, 3.3% in 2015, 2.6% in 2014, 0.4% in 2013, 2.7% in 2012
  • Lighthouse Group has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 0.7%.
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 25.7%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is -3.8x while industry average is -4.1x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Lighthouse Group ($LGT) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue55.04547.88446.79848.88147.919-2.0%
Gross Profit15.05715.02613.35114.82414.467-2.4%
EBITDA1.5090.2151.2021.6102.20837.1%
Net Income-3.516-1.6040.5570.8662.643205.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash10.4899.5079.0648.3898.5011.3%
Short Term Debt0.0000.0001.5050.0340.0340.0%
Long Term Debt0.0001.8580.4730.0000.000
Cash flow
Capex0.1651.2690.0970.1190.1265.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth-8.8%-13.0%-2.3%4.5%-2.0%
EBITDA growth-5.7%-85.8%459.1%33.9%37.1%
Gross Margin27.4%31.4%28.5%30.3%30.2%-0.1%
EBITDA Margin2.7%0.4%2.6%3.3%4.6%1.3%
Net Income Margin-6.4%-3.3%1.2%1.8%5.5%3.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.3%2.7%0.2%0.2%0.3%0.0%
ROIC7.2%-3.9%8.6%14.6%25.7%11.2%
ROE-38.8%-25.2%9.6%13.8%34.0%20.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA-7.0x-35.6x-5.9x-5.2x-3.8x1.4x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased slightly on 2.0% in 2016. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.3 pp from 3.3% to 4.6% in 2016.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in 2016.

Net Income marign increased on 3.7 pp from 1.8% to 5.5% in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Lighthouse Group's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.26% in 2016. The company showed decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 2.4 pp from 2.7% in 2013 to 0.26% in 2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 0.24%.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROIC (25.72%) and ROE (34.05%). ROIC surged on 11.2 pp from 14.6% to 25.7% in 2016. ROE jumped on 20.2 pp from 13.8% to 34.0% in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -3.8x Net Debt / EBITDA and 0.0x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 1.4x from -5.2x to -3.8x in 2016. Debt didn't change in 2016 while cash increased slightly on 1.3% in 2016.

Valuation


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 4.5x and P/E 7.0x while industy averages are 15.6x and 19.1x.

Appendix 1: Peers in Financial Services


Below we provide Lighthouse Group benchmarking against other companies in Financial Services industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Volvere ($VLE)-47.1%149.8%-23.2%124.9%
Real Estate Credit Investments Pcc ($RECP)335.8%-59.6%47.3%-29.8%
Fairpoint Group ($FRP)32.7%-17.5%35.1%41.2%
Afh Financial Group ($AFHP)49.9%39.3%39.5%15.0%
Manx Financial Group ($MFX)5.6%33.3%22.0%28.2%
 
Median (30 companies)5.6%14.7%6.8%2.7%4.1%
Lighthouse Group ($LGT)-13.0%-2.3%4.5%-2.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Record ($REC)98.8%98.8%99.6%99.3%99.0%
Panmure Gordon & Co ($PMR)95.2%95.0%95.3%95.2%
First Property Group ($FPO)86.0%69.5%67.9%83.0%80.6%
Schroders ($SDRC)76.9%76.2%77.7%78.3%
London Capital Group Hldgs ($LCG)64.2%70.5%73.6%67.9%
 
Median (15 companies)56.8%53.3%53.0%52.8%59.3%
Lighthouse Group ($LGT)27.4%31.4%28.5%30.3%30.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Livermore Investments Group Ltd ($LIV)84.9%64.8%78.8%83.5%
Real Estate Credit Investments Pcc ($RECP)58.6%89.3%77.0%80.3%79.3%
Manx Financial Group ($MFX)39.8%49.2%56.5%58.8%
Hargreaves Lansdown ($HL.)64.1%66.4%58.7%51.2%57.5%
Daishin Securities Co ($DSS)53.8%51.5%38.8%49.2%38.9%
 
Median (28 companies)14.9%17.0%16.8%16.9%20.8%
Lighthouse Group ($LGT)2.7%0.4%2.6%3.3%4.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
London Capital Group Hldgs ($LCG)1.8%0.2%3.4%7.7%
Daishin Securities Co ($DSS)6.0%24.7%15.0%6.5%15.1%
Commercial Bank Of Qatar(The) ($CBQS)6.0%3.8%2.8%3.9%
Nmbz Hldgs ($NMB)6.1%3.0%2.1%3.8%
Afh Financial Group ($AFHP)1.6%1.5%0.7%3.8%1.8%
 
Median (29 companies)1.4%1.3%1.3%1.2%1.1%
Lighthouse Group ($LGT)0.3%2.7%0.2%0.2%0.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Hargreaves Lansdown ($HL.)108.7%111.7%101.0%87.5%90.0%
Manx Financial Group ($MFX)8.0%19.7%29.7%40.2%
Record ($REC)23.8%19.6%20.2%20.2%18.5%
Impax Asset Management Group ($IPX)-13.7%17.2%18.7%16.1%15.0%
S & U ($46IE)17.6%19.1%19.7%13.9%14.5%
 
Median (30 companies)5.2%6.3%9.2%7.3%9.9%
Lighthouse Group ($LGT)7.2%-3.9%8.6%14.6%25.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Private & Commercial Finance Group ($PCF)12.8x14.3x13.9x12.9x10.6x
First Property Group ($FPO)3.6x3.0x5.6x12.3x9.4x
Canaccord Genuity Group Inc ($CF.)10.2x
Daishin Securities Co ($DSS)1.5x2.4x10.7x8.0x13.4x
S & U ($46IE)1.4x1.3x1.7x3.1x0.5x
 
Median (25 companies)-1.0x-1.0x-1.9x-0.5x-0.5x
Lighthouse Group ($LGT)-7.0x-35.6x-5.9x-5.2x-3.8x