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Norsk Hydro Asa reports 216% Net Income growth while 6.5% Revenue decline

09 Feb 2017 • About Norsk Hydro Asa ($NHY) • By InTwits

Norsk Hydro Asa reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Norsk Hydro Asa has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 5.6%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 3.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 6,913 in 2016, 5,254 in 2015, 3,294 in 2014, 2,867 in 2013, 3,256 in 2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 6.6%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Norsk Hydro Asa ($NHY) key annual financial indicators

mln. NOK201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue64,18164,87777,90787,69481,953-6.5%
EBITDA6,5656,4479,82312,77111,067-13.3%
Net Income-1,318-9207972,0206,388216.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash7,0348,4129,2536,9178,03716.2%
Short Term Debt5,9566,2206,0403,5623,283-7.8%
Long Term Debt3,6743,9865,1273,9693,397-14.4%
Cash flow
Capex3,2562,8673,2945,2546,91331.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth-10.2%1.1%20.1%12.6%-6.5%
EBITDA growth-55.5%-1.8%52.4%30.0%-13.3%
EBITDA Margin10.2%9.9%12.6%14.6%13.5%-1.1%
Net Income Margin-2.1%-1.4%1.0%2.3%7.8%5.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue5.1%4.4%4.2%6.0%8.4%2.4%
ROIC1.1%2.2%5.9%8.7%6.6%-2.1%
ROE-1.8%-1.3%1.1%2.7%8.2%5.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.4x0.3x0.2x0.0x-0.1x-0.2x

Revenue and profitability


Norsk Hydro Asa's Revenue decreased on 6.5% in 2016. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased slightly on 1.1 pp from 14.6% to 13.5% in 2016.

Net Income marign increased on 5.5 pp from 2.3% to 7.8% in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2016 Norsk Hydro Asa had CAPEX/Revenue of 8.4%. CAPEX/Revenue increased on 4.0 pp from 4.4% in 2013 to 8.4% in 2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 6.2%.The company invested a big chunk of EBITDA (62.5%) to CAPEX which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (6.62%) and ROE (8.19%). ROIC decreased on 2.1 pp from 8.7% to 6.6% in 2016. ROE increased on 5.5 pp from 2.7% to 8.2% in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -0.1x Net Debt / EBITDA and 0.6x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.2x from 0.048x to -0.1x in 2016. Debt dropped on 11.3% in 2016 while cash surged on 16.2% in 2016.

Appendix 1: Peers in Industrial Metals & Mining


Below we provide Norsk Hydro Asa benchmarking against other companies in Industrial Metals & Mining industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Base Resources Ltd ($BSE)399.7%16.2%
Cheliabinsk Elektrolit Zink Plant ($CHZN)2.4%-0.1%26.4%45.5%
Afarak Group ($AFRK)-19.2%5.4%27.4%8.7%
Vimetco Nv ($VICO)-13.4%-6.5%-12.8%-5.3%
Aluminium Bahrain Bsc ($ALBH)0.8%9.7%-6.7%-12.6%
 
Median (15 companies)-0.4%-1.4%0.7%-14.2%-7.5%
Norsk Hydro Asa ($NHY)1.1%20.1%12.6%-6.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Mmc Norilsk Nickel ($MNOD)49.1%43.4%52.2%55.7%
Severstal PJSC ($SVST)23.5%29.9%34.4%40.4%39.6%
Novolipetsk Iron And Steel Corp ($NLMK)23.8%19.4%28.3%31.4%
Magnitogorsk Iron & Steel Works ($MMK)15.5%14.9%21.9%30.6%
Cheliabinsk Elektrolit Zink Plant ($CHZN)17.7%15.1%28.6%24.8%
 
Median (14 companies)15.5%15.0%18.7%17.0%12.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Mmc Norilsk Nickel ($MNOD)38.6%29.2%46.8%47.0%
Base Resources Ltd ($BSE)-1.8%37.7%35.8%
Severstal PJSC ($SVST)14.9%19.3%26.4%32.4%31.2%
Magnitogorsk Iron & Steel Works ($MMK)13.1%14.0%19.5%28.3%
Novolipetsk Iron And Steel Corp ($NLMK)15.6%13.8%21.8%24.3%
 
Median (15 companies)13.3%13.8%13.0%17.3%18.4%
Norsk Hydro Asa ($NHY)10.2%9.9%12.6%14.6%13.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
First Quantum Minerals ($FQM)46.5%73.2%81.7%72.5%
Mmc Norilsk Nickel ($MNOD)22.3%17.1%10.8%19.0%
Cheliabinsk Elektrolit Zink Plant ($CHZN)7.0%7.9%9.9%8.1%
Novolipetsk Iron And Steel Corp ($NLMK)12.0%6.9%5.4%7.7%
Ezz Steel ($AEZD)2.3%3.9%6.4%6.8%
 
Median (15 companies)7.0%7.7%6.4%6.3%4.4%
Norsk Hydro Asa ($NHY)5.1%4.4%4.2%6.0%8.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Mmc Norilsk Nickel ($MNOD)21.8%14.2%34.1%31.7%
Severstal PJSC ($SVST)10.3%9.6%17.7%30.3%29.7%
Zibao Metals Recycling Hldgs Ltd ($ZBO)41.7%56.6%55.8%26.6%0.9%
Cheliabinsk Elektrolit Zink Plant ($CHZN)6.2%-2.7%25.6%24.4%
Magnitogorsk Iron & Steel Works ($MMK)1.8%1.4%9.1%18.1%
 
Median (15 companies)6.2%4.9%9.1%5.6%4.0%
Norsk Hydro Asa ($NHY)1.1%2.2%5.9%8.7%6.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Vimetco Nv ($VICO)7.7x10.9x14.6x
Ezz Steel ($AEZD)4.8x3.6x19.4x13.3x
First Quantum Minerals ($FQM)0.0x2.5x4.0x10.5x
Base Resources Ltd ($BSE)4.4x3.7x
OAO TMK ($TMKS)3.6x3.9x3.8x4.3x
 
Median (14 companies)2.0x2.1x1.2x1.1x0.5x
Norsk Hydro Asa ($NHY)0.4x0.3x0.2x0.0x-0.1x